玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.61-8.32-0.946.579.091.98N/A-
2024/90.66-6.07-9.215.9710.232.190.64-
2024/80.71-13.738.145.313.262.110.66-
2024/70.8238.6220.754.610.212.040.69-
2024/60.59-6.93-20.053.788.171.990.74-
2024/50.63-16.946.563.1915.742.160.68-
2024/40.760.7831.152.5518.271.860.79-
2024/30.76126.622.381.7913.511.790.79-
2024/20.33-52.01-39.111.037.771.620.87-
2024/10.717.4670.960.770.961.890.75因去年同期適逢農曆春節工作天數較少,致使去年同期營收較低
2023/120.59-1.13-4.387.22-3.921.810.74-
2023/110.6-2.23-3.866.63-3.881.940.69-
2023/100.61-15.9811.966.03-3.891.860.72-
2023/90.7342.910.525.41-5.411.920.72-
2023/80.51-24.56-31.864.68-6.271.750.79-
2023/70.6820.1117.114.0-5.851.840.75-
2023/60.56-5.2-12.823.32-9.471.740.73-
2023/50.62.21-15.632.75-8.761.80.71-
2023/40.58-5.95-16.262.16-6.661.750.73-
2023/30.6212.724.61.58-2.531.580.86-
2023/20.5534.7481.850.96-6.651.580.86去年同期因農曆春節放假,致使去年同期營收較少
2023/10.41-34.3-43.620.41-43.621.650.82-
2022/120.62-0.59-15.17.510.991.790.75-
2022/110.6213.8612.346.892.741.90.71-
2022/100.55-24.5621.656.271.882.030.67-
2022/90.73-3.1356.025.720.312.060.6去年同期因受國際疫情影響而有延遲出貨導致營收減少。
2022/80.7529.6520.674.99-4.631.980.62-
2022/70.58-10.59-12.874.24-8.041.930.64-
2022/60.65-8.2627.583.67-7.232.050.54-
2022/50.711.452.793.02-12.361.990.55-
2022/40.717.48-5.682.31-16.131.590.69-
2022/30.5995.96-27.51.62-19.951.620.76-
2022/20.3-58.23-11.351.03-14.831.760.7-
2022/10.72-1.06-16.20.72-16.22.010.61-
2021/120.7331.55-1.377.4410.141.740.73-
2021/110.5623.29-22.036.7111.561.470.86-
2021/100.45-3.25-10.856.1516.081.540.83-
2021/90.47-25.08-37.945.718.921.750.75-
2021/80.62-6.3832.385.2429.481.790.74-
2021/70.6630.9225.494.6229.11.860.71-
2021/60.51-26.0840.893.9529.731.930.59-
2021/50.69-6.9181.963.4428.232.240.51因受國際疫情影響而有延遲出貨,導致109年上半年營收減少。
2021/40.74-9.6833.352.7619.451.890.6-
2021/30.82139.613.132.0215.072.020.56-
2021/20.34-60.516.491.216.431.940.59-
2021/10.8616.4320.890.8620.892.320.49-
2020/120.743.995.516.75-10.61.960.57-
2020/110.7140.984.336.01-12.251.970.57-
2020/100.51-32.65-12.115.3-14.091.730.65-
2020/90.7559.829.584.8-14.291.750.46-
2020/80.47-11.25-17.054.04-17.621.360.59-
2020/70.5346.98-22.293.57-17.71.270.63-
2020/60.36-4.54-42.483.05-16.841.290.74-
2020/50.38-31.77-41.752.69-11.561.650.58-
2020/40.55-23.38-14.712.31-3.371.590.6-
2020/30.72125.5313.61.760.841.760.51-
2020/20.32-55.177.851.03-6.481.740.52-
2020/10.711.62-11.740.71-11.742.10.43-
2019/120.72.838.637.56-6.410.0N/A-
2019/110.6818.75-0.566.85-7.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.72023/10.412022/10.722021/10.862020/10.71
2024/20.332023/20.552022/20.32021/20.342020/20.32
2024/30.762023/30.622022/30.592021/30.822020/30.72
2024/40.762023/40.582022/40.72021/40.742020/40.55
2024/50.632023/50.62022/50.712021/50.692020/50.38
2024/60.592023/60.562022/60.652021/60.512020/60.36
2024/70.822023/70.682022/70.582021/70.662020/70.53
2024/80.712023/80.512022/80.752021/80.622020/80.47
2024/90.662023/90.732022/90.732021/90.472020/90.75
2024/100.612023/100.612022/100.552021/100.452020/100.51
N/AN/A2023/110.62022/110.622021/110.562020/110.71
N/AN/A2023/120.592022/120.622021/120.732020/120.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.040.0-20.0
24Q2 (19)0.0433.330.0
24Q1 (18)0.030.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.03-40.0-25.0
23Q3 (16)0.0525.0-44.44
23Q2 (15)0.040.0-33.33
23Q1 (14)0.040.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.04-55.56-60.0
22Q3 (12)0.0950.0125.0
22Q2 (11)0.0650.0100.0
22Q1 (10)0.04-60.0-55.56
21Q4 (9)0.1150.0150.0
21Q3 (8)0.0433.33-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.03-66.6750.0
21Q1 (6)0.09125.0200.0
20Q4 (5)0.04-20.0-20.0
20Q3 (4)0.05150.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.02-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.03-40.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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