玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.9717.511.649.85-20.353.41N/A-
2024/90.83-48.72-30.548.88-22.193.350.63-
2024/81.6176.25-8.958.05-21.223.40.62-
2024/70.914.16-40.246.44-23.782.80.75-
2024/60.88-12.73-20.485.53-20.152.860.72-
2024/51.03.12-16.314.65-20.093.010.68-
2024/40.97-5.01-18.843.65-21.072.740.75-
2024/31.0339.01-25.632.67-21.852.670.92-
2024/20.74-18.68-34.071.65-19.293.090.8-
2024/10.91-37.32-1.320.91-1.323.730.66-
2023/121.455.11-1.8215.19-2.083.780.67-
2023/111.3844.346.4113.74-2.113.520.72-
2023/100.95-19.69-32.6412.36-2.983.910.65-
2023/91.19-32.78-22.4511.410.724.490.55-
2023/81.7715.6726.7310.224.354.40.56-
2023/71.5338.6224.428.450.633.830.65-
2023/61.1-8.17-36.656.92-3.443.50.96-
2023/51.20.020.115.827.213.780.89-
2023/41.2-12.9566.24.624.293.70.91本月營收較去年同期增加,主係因去年受大陸疫情封控影響,客戶訂單延遲收貨,致使去年同期營收銳減。
2023/31.3823.245.13.42-7.763.420.92-
2023/21.1221.696.842.04-14.823.510.9-
2023/10.92-37.64-31.680.92-31.683.690.85-
2022/121.4813.93-22.6515.514.04.190.69-
2022/111.29-8.63-16.9714.047.914.240.68-
2022/101.42-7.54-16.3512.7411.34.340.67-
2022/91.539.8422.3211.3316.14.160.72-
2022/81.413.56-11.369.7915.184.360.69-
2022/71.23-29.4230.748.421.223.970.75-
2022/61.7474.1382.277.1719.723.460.88本月營收較去年同期增加,主係因本月認列工裝收入所致。
2022/51.038.38-5.415.437.853.031.0-
2022/40.72-44.95-25.594.4311.383.080.99-
2022/31.3125.28-4.213.7123.333.710.94-
2022/21.05-22.1969.512.3946.434.30.81本月營收增加主係因金屬沖壓件受惠於各車型銷量成長,致使該產品出貨量增加營收隨之成長。
2022/11.35-29.432.391.3532.394.810.72-
2021/121.9122.314.7314.9253.855.160.65本月累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/111.56-7.9539.213.0161.944.510.75本月及累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/101.6935.290.7611.4565.634.520.75本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/91.25-20.4127.819.7661.923.770.83本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/81.5767.5291.788.568.553.470.9本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/70.94-1.66.336.9364.042.951.06本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/60.96-9.6431.95.9979.312.980.95本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/51.068.8583.585.0392.443.40.83本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/40.97-29.1356.673.9894.942.960.95本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響致營收減少。
2021/31.37121.71180.413.01111.643.010.84本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響導致營收減少。
2021/20.62-39.22234.521.6375.563.30.77本月及本年累計營收增加,係因109/12取得對河南寶合元之控制力,本期併入該公司營收,且去年受新冠肺炎疫情影響導致營收減少。
2021/11.02-38.8136.221.0236.223.80.67-
2020/121.6648.3874.489.694.983.670.712月營收較去年同期大幅成長,係因本公司109年12月取得對河南寶合元汽車配件有限公司之控制,併入該公司之營收所致。
2020/111.1226.13-28.448.03-3.012.990.86-
2020/100.89-9.412.556.912.912.690.96-
2020/90.9819.426.536.022.962.690.35-
2020/80.82-7.1231.975.042.32.430.39-
2020/70.8822.0674.674.22-1.982.180.43本月營收較去年同期增加,除了本公司自108年9月起併入湖南寶元之營收外,主係襄陽元創之金屬沖壓件及模具收入均較去年同期成長。
2020/60.7225.7542.233.34-12.181.920.51-
2020/50.58-7.09-36.172.62-20.591.680.58-
2020/40.6226.832.162.04-14.711.290.76-
2020/30.49164.5-33.161.42-20.451.420.74-
2020/20.18-75.25-52.330.93-11.631.880.56本月營收較去年同期大幅減少,主要係受武漢新冠肺炎疫情影響,大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫政策要求延後春節復工日期所致。
2020/10.75-21.6312.030.7512.033.260.32-
2019/120.95-39.1444.479.23-21.730.0N/A-
2019/111.5780.7796.468.28-25.650.0N/A本月營收較去年同期增加,主係因本月襄陽元創公司認列模具收入74,672千元所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.912023/10.922022/11.352021/11.022020/10.75
2024/20.742023/21.122022/21.052021/20.622020/20.18
2024/31.032023/31.382022/31.312021/31.372020/30.49
2024/40.972023/41.22022/40.722021/40.972020/40.62
2024/51.02023/51.22022/51.02021/51.062020/50.58
2024/60.882023/61.12022/61.742021/60.962020/60.72
2024/70.912023/71.532022/71.232021/70.942020/70.88
2024/81.612023/81.772022/81.42021/81.572020/80.82
2024/90.832023/91.192022/91.532021/91.252020/90.98
2024/100.972023/100.952022/101.422021/101.692020/100.89
N/AN/A2023/111.382022/111.292021/111.562020/111.12
N/AN/A2023/121.452022/121.482021/121.912020/121.66
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.03%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.473.91110.53
24Q2 (19)0.2343.759.52
24Q1 (18)0.160.0-11.11
23Q4 (17)0.16-15.7977.78
23Q3 (16)0.19-9.5258.33
23Q2 (15)0.2116.67110.0
23Q1 (14)0.18100.063.64
22Q4 (13)0.09-25.080.0
22Q3 (12)0.1220.0-67.57
22Q2 (11)0.1-9.09-70.59
22Q1 (10)0.11120.0-56.0
21Q4 (9)0.05-86.49-87.8
21Q3 (8)0.378.82-38.33
21Q2 (7)0.3436.0-41.38
21Q1 (6)0.25-39.0225.0
20Q4 (5)0.41-31.6786.36
20Q3 (4)0.63.450.0
20Q2 (3)0.58190.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2-9.090.0
19Q4 (1)0.220.00.0

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