玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.19.2515.7147.02-17.8314.88N/A-
2024/104.66-8.98-5.4141.93-20.6314.45N/A-
2024/95.129.96-5.3237.26-22.214.320.43-
2024/84.662.69-19.232.14-24.3513.410.46-
2024/74.547.74-30.4127.48-25.1612.430.5-
2024/64.2114.58-20.4422.94-24.0212.070.46-
2024/53.68-12.13-29.218.73-24.7811.590.48-
2024/44.1812.04-19.2715.05-23.6210.780.51-
2024/33.7330.46-39.7210.87-25.1710.870.54-
2024/22.86-32.99-38.527.13-14.3411.170.52-
2024/14.275.8616.34.2716.312.710.46-
2023/124.03-8.38-17.7861.26-3.0913.370.49-
2023/114.4-10.69-17.657.23-1.8514.750.45-
2023/104.93-8.9110.3352.83-0.2616.110.41-
2023/95.41-6.15-0.6947.89-1.2417.70.47-
2023/85.77-11.5629.6242.48-1.3117.590.48-
2023/76.5223.1929.1936.71-4.8717.010.49-
2023/65.291.971.4530.19-10.015.670.66-
2023/55.190.18-14.5824.9-12.1116.570.63-
2023/45.18-16.33-9.6319.7-11.4416.030.65-
2023/36.1933.06-2.1214.52-12.0714.520.84-
2023/24.6526.7718.318.33-18.2513.230.92-
2023/13.67-25.16-41.273.67-41.2713.920.87-
2022/124.91-8.18-8.8763.222.5814.720.89-
2022/115.3419.596.258.313.6815.260.86-
2022/104.47-18.01-4.3152.973.4314.370.91-
2022/95.4522.49-6.0148.54.2114.950.95-
2022/84.45-11.85-21.2243.055.6714.720.96-
2022/75.05-3.26-11.7638.610.016.350.87-
2022/65.22-14.131.9633.5514.2417.030.93-
2022/56.085.9814.3828.3316.8418.140.87-
2022/45.74-9.377.1622.2517.5316.00.99-
2022/36.3360.8534.1716.5221.6116.520.98-
2022/23.93-37.0717.9810.1914.9315.571.04-
2022/16.2516.1113.096.2513.0916.670.97-
2021/125.387.024.9161.6223.1915.090.98-
2021/115.037.7313.3456.2423.0315.50.96-
2021/104.67-19.4716.4751.2124.0716.120.92-
2021/95.82.6729.9546.5324.8917.170.82-
2021/85.65-1.2625.6240.7324.216.490.85-
2021/75.7211.7827.3935.0923.9816.150.87-
2021/65.12-3.689.7529.3623.3315.780.91-
2021/55.31-0.76.4124.2526.6415.380.93-
2021/45.3513.469.8518.9333.7813.41.07-
2021/34.7241.4321.7313.5846.3513.580.97-
2021/23.33-39.6765.798.8664.013.171.0配合客戶需求出貨量增加
2021/15.5328.2462.945.5362.9414.280.92配合客戶需求出貨量增加
2020/124.31-2.894.9750.027.1912.760.91-
2020/114.4410.714.6245.717.4112.910.9-
2020/104.01-10.163.7341.277.7212.970.9-
2020/94.46-0.742.7737.268.1613.450.84-
2020/84.50.125.4932.88.9413.650.82-
2020/74.49-3.6913.2728.39.5114.150.8-
2020/64.66-6.6125.5923.818.8314.530.74-
2020/54.992.531.5319.145.413.740.78-
2020/44.8725.7327.0914.15-1.4910.761.0-
2020/33.8792.63-4.179.28-11.99.281.15-
2020/22.01-40.71-13.925.4-16.719.511.13-
2020/13.39-17.37-18.283.39-18.280.0N/A-
2019/124.11-3.225.0146.664.360.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.272023/13.672022/16.252021/15.532020/13.39
2024/22.862023/24.652022/23.932021/23.332020/22.01
2024/33.732023/36.192022/36.332021/34.722020/33.87
2024/44.182023/45.182022/45.742021/45.352020/44.87
2024/53.682023/55.192022/56.082021/55.312020/54.99
2024/64.212023/65.292022/65.222021/65.122020/64.66
2024/74.542023/76.522022/75.052021/75.722020/74.49
2024/84.662023/85.772022/84.452021/85.652020/84.5
2024/95.122023/95.412022/95.452021/95.82020/94.46
2024/104.662023/104.932022/104.472021/104.672020/104.01
2024/115.12023/114.42022/115.342021/115.032020/114.44
N/AN/A2023/124.032022/124.912021/125.382020/124.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.54%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3612.5500.0
24Q2 (19)0.32540.0357.14
24Q1 (18)0.05-70.59-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.17183.336.25
23Q3 (16)0.06-14.29-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.07-30.0-75.0
23Q1 (14)0.1-37.5-60.0
22Q4 (13)0.1633.33-40.74
22Q3 (12)0.12-57.14-57.14
22Q2 (11)0.2812.0-22.22
22Q1 (10)0.25-7.41-13.79
21Q4 (9)0.27-3.578.0
21Q3 (8)0.28-22.22-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.3624.14-23.4
21Q1 (6)0.2916.03.57
20Q4 (5)0.25-28.5778.57
20Q3 (4)0.35-25.530.0
20Q2 (3)0.4767.860.0
20Q1 (2)0.28100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.140.00.0

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