玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.46-26.29-7.978.0-2.4822.85N/A-
2024/108.7715.24-13.771.54-1.9626.05N/A-
2024/97.61-21.26-18.5762.77-0.0626.690.99-
2024/89.672.7-5.1155.163.1726.810.99-
2024/79.4121.762.1945.495.1224.471.08-
2024/67.735.5-5.4436.085.9221.220.92-
2024/57.3318.8615.3628.359.5119.01.03-
2024/46.1611.8633.1121.027.615.91.23-
2024/35.5130.5-19.2314.86-0.3114.861.43-
2024/24.22-17.610.559.3515.6517.281.23-
2024/15.12-35.3731.995.1231.9920.071.06-
2023/127.9312.9718.5887.9259.6625.110.84營收成長
2023/117.02-30.935.7679.9965.3426.530.79營收成長
2023/1010.168.7378.0272.9774.8129.70.71營收成長
2023/99.35-8.2477.8562.8174.3128.750.83營收成長
2023/810.1910.695.7553.4673.727.570.87營收成長
2023/79.2112.6692.0743.2769.2123.741.01營收成長
2023/68.1828.7234.9834.0663.9419.161.27營收成長
2023/56.3537.1543.1725.8975.8517.81.37營收成長
2023/44.63-32.1359.4619.5389.9515.651.55營收成長
2023/36.8262.49117.0614.9101.9514.91.54營收成長
2023/24.28.1497.68.0890.7514.771.56營收成長
2023/13.88-41.9483.853.8883.8517.211.34營收成長
2022/126.690.76166.955.0659.3519.031.22營收成長
2022/116.6416.24132.2748.3850.9417.61.32營收成長
2022/105.718.6388.9441.7442.9816.171.44營收成長
2022/95.260.9833.336.0337.6715.261.67-
2022/85.28.5254.430.7838.4516.061.59營收成長
2022/74.8-20.8272.6525.5735.5915.291.67營收成長
2022/66.0636.5379.7220.7829.1913.41.59營收成長
2022/54.4452.7565.7614.7215.810.482.03營收成長
2022/42.9-7.6110.2410.282.488.172.6-
2022/33.1447.927.97.38-0.277.382.16-
2022/22.120.61-0.694.24-5.596.742.36-
2022/12.11-15.71-10.052.11-10.057.472.13-
2021/122.51-12.35.834.5615.58.381.49-
2021/112.86-5.4430.1132.0516.349.821.27-
2021/103.02-23.3643.2229.1915.1410.341.21-
2021/93.9416.9672.0326.1712.610.091.09營收成長
2021/83.3721.3519.3722.236.099.521.15-
2021/72.78-17.578.9218.864.038.821.24-
2021/63.3725.9327.5816.083.228.681.12-
2021/52.681.592.3112.71-1.748.221.18-
2021/42.63-9.5722.3310.03-2.777.691.26-
2021/32.9136.141.817.4-9.397.41.3-
2021/22.14-8.87-18.454.49-15.436.861.4-
2021/12.35-0.85-12.472.35-12.476.911.39-
2020/122.377.84-47.8829.92-20.546.671.43-
2020/112.24.08-41.9327.55-16.796.61.45-
2020/102.11-7.94-7.8125.35-13.557.231.32-
2020/92.29-18.83-23.4623.24-14.047.671.08-
2020/82.8210.72-6.1120.95-12.878.011.03-
2020/72.55-3.45-27.9218.13-13.837.811.06-
2020/62.640.995.5715.58-10.987.411.03-
2020/52.6221.4620.7612.94-13.757.631.0-
2020/42.15-24.7423.910.32-19.577.641.0-
2020/32.869.04-20.278.17-26.388.170.89-
2020/22.62-2.19-36.425.31-29.39.850.74-
2020/12.68-40.95-20.612.68-20.610.0N/A-
2019/124.5420.1433.8537.6531.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.122023/13.882022/12.112021/12.352020/12.68
2024/24.222023/24.22022/22.122021/22.142020/22.62
2024/35.512023/36.822022/33.142021/32.912020/32.86
2024/46.162023/44.632022/42.92021/42.632020/42.15
2024/57.332023/56.352022/54.442021/52.682020/52.62
2024/67.732023/68.182022/66.062021/63.372020/62.64
2024/79.412023/79.212022/74.82021/72.782020/72.55
2024/89.672023/810.192022/85.22021/83.372020/82.82
2024/97.612023/99.352022/95.262021/93.942020/92.29
2024/108.772023/1010.162022/105.712021/103.022020/102.11
2024/116.462023/117.022022/116.642021/112.862020/112.2
N/AN/A2023/127.932022/126.692021/122.512020/122.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.63%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.5-5.66-82.46
24Q2 (19)0.53-50.93-91.86
24Q1 (18)1.088.0-76.0
23Q4 (17)1.0-64.91-61.98
23Q3 (16)2.85-56.2240.39
23Q2 (15)6.5144.67232.14
23Q1 (14)4.571.1341.18
22Q4 (13)2.6329.561284.21
22Q3 (12)2.033.57968.42
22Q2 (11)1.9692.161052.94
22Q1 (10)1.02436.841175.0
21Q4 (9)0.190.0-29.63
21Q3 (8)0.1911.765.56
21Q2 (7)0.17112.50
21Q1 (6)0.08-70.370
20Q4 (5)0.2750.00
20Q3 (4)0.1800.0

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