玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.69-2.86-1.4717.378.735.27N/A-
2024/91.74-5.274.6115.689.955.530.52-
2024/81.84-5.845.013.9410.665.540.52-
2024/71.9511.6524.7612.111.575.440.53-
2024/61.750.515.5410.159.355.190.56-
2024/51.742.4612.188.48.145.140.57-
2024/41.7-0.082.456.667.144.880.6-
2024/31.714.699.834.968.844.960.59-
2024/21.48-16.77-3.483.268.335.030.58-
2024/11.780.920.621.7820.625.250.55-
2023/121.763.66-0.4219.45-3.265.180.57-
2023/111.7-0.85-4.3317.68-3.535.080.58-
2023/101.723.13-3.4715.98-3.445.130.57-
2023/91.66-4.92-5.3514.26-3.444.980.59-
2023/81.7511.86-0.612.6-3.184.830.61-
2023/71.573.4-8.7810.85-3.594.630.63-
2023/61.51-2.41-9.89.28-2.654.720.63-
2023/51.55-6.41-3.887.77-1.134.760.63-
2023/41.667.15.386.22-0.424.740.63-
2023/31.550.78-0.474.56-2.384.560.72-
2023/21.544.015.133.01-3.334.780.69-
2023/11.48-16.71-10.81.48-10.85.030.65-
2022/121.77-0.417.3720.110.125.330.62-
2022/111.780.046.1418.339.465.320.62-
2022/101.781.137.3216.559.835.30.63-
2022/91.76-0.1528.814.7710.145.240.67-
2022/81.762.6610.6513.018.035.160.68-
2022/71.722.2416.2511.257.635.010.7-
2022/61.683.997.619.546.214.860.73-
2022/51.612.66.637.865.924.740.75-
2022/41.571.1517.866.245.744.590.77-
2022/31.556.463.934.672.24.670.73-
2022/21.46-11.75-6.443.121.354.630.73-
2022/11.669.69.411.669.414.840.7-
2021/121.51-9.93-15.5318.25-6.34.840.65-
2021/111.681.15-4.6916.74-5.374.70.67-
2021/101.6621.37-3.615.07-5.444.620.68-
2021/91.37-14.22-19.9913.41-5.674.430.69-
2021/81.597.86-7.1712.05-3.714.630.66-
2021/71.48-5.35-13.1210.45-3.164.550.67-
2021/61.563.04-4.678.98-1.34.410.69-
2021/51.5113.4-4.817.42-0.564.340.7-
2021/41.33-10.8-8.975.90.584.390.69-
2021/31.5-4.160.474.573.764.570.65-
2021/21.563.2-0.363.075.444.860.61-
2021/11.51-15.3912.191.5112.195.060.59-
2020/121.791.6327.4419.484.85.270.5-
2020/111.762.39.817.72.955.190.51-
2020/101.720.731.1115.942.255.140.52-
2020/91.71-0.4811.0514.222.395.120.5-
2020/81.720.956.8412.511.315.050.51-
2020/71.73.846.1310.80.484.920.52-
2020/61.642.890.979.1-0.54.690.56-
2020/51.598.46-0.257.46-0.814.550.57-
2020/41.47-1.55-3.595.87-0.974.520.58-
2020/31.49-4.96-5.354.4-0.064.40.64-
2020/21.5716.2218.552.922.864.320.66-
2020/11.35-3.89-10.831.35-10.834.350.65-
2019/121.4-12.431.4618.5915.20.0N/A-
2019/111.6-5.7813.2917.1916.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.782023/11.482022/11.662021/11.512020/11.35
2024/21.482023/21.542022/21.462021/21.562020/21.57
2024/31.72023/31.552022/31.552021/31.52020/31.49
2024/41.72023/41.662022/41.572021/41.332020/41.47
2024/51.742023/51.552022/51.612021/51.512020/51.59
2024/61.752023/61.512022/61.682021/61.562020/61.64
2024/71.952023/71.572022/71.722021/71.482020/71.7
2024/81.842023/81.752022/81.762021/81.592020/81.72
2024/91.742023/91.662022/91.762021/91.372020/91.71
2024/101.692023/101.722022/101.782021/101.662020/101.72
N/AN/A2023/111.72022/111.782021/111.682020/111.76
N/AN/A2023/121.762022/121.772021/121.512020/121.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.06%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.425.0-6.67
24Q2 (19)0.4-2.4460.0
24Q1 (18)0.417.895.13
23Q4 (17)0.38-15.56-15.56
23Q3 (16)0.4580.045.16
23Q2 (15)0.25-35.9-62.12
23Q1 (14)0.39-13.332.63
22Q4 (13)0.4545.1660.71
22Q3 (12)0.31-53.03-20.51
22Q2 (11)0.6673.68214.29
22Q1 (10)0.3835.7152.0
21Q4 (9)0.28-28.21-50.88
21Q3 (8)0.3985.71-18.75
21Q2 (7)0.21-16.0-56.25
21Q1 (6)0.25-56.14-40.48
20Q4 (5)0.5718.7554.05
20Q3 (4)0.480.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.4814.290.0
20Q1 (2)0.4213.510.0
19Q4 (1)0.370.00.0

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