玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.617.7713.1337.9818.5711.75N/A-
2024/93.9120.8824.9633.3719.3611.311.7-
2024/83.23-22.364.6329.4618.6611.091.74-
2024/74.1612.733.2226.2320.6511.81.63-
2024/63.7-6.1915.1622.0718.5411.411.67-
2024/53.944.4124.9918.3719.2411.691.63-
2024/43.77-5.0626.914.4317.7610.711.78-
2024/33.9734.025.3510.6614.8410.661.72-
2024/22.96-20.292.846.6821.3410.151.8-
2024/13.727.3441.643.7241.6410.991.66-
2023/123.47-8.9720.7439.324.0211.341.49-
2023/113.81-6.4216.1135.8324.3411.01.54-
2023/104.0730.0831.0532.0325.410.291.64-
2023/93.131.221.2127.9624.629.341.74-
2023/83.09-1.1536.1724.8328.369.421.73-
2023/73.13-2.5750.0121.7427.329.491.72主要係本月美國、日本及歐洲區域營收較去年同期增加。
2023/63.211.812.0318.6124.179.331.58-
2023/53.156.034.6815.4127.049.91.49-
2023/42.97-21.1824.4512.2525.219.631.53-
2023/33.7730.8329.229.2825.469.281.46-
2023/22.889.7730.645.5123.08.381.62-
2023/12.63-8.515.592.6315.598.781.54-
2022/122.87-12.4627.0531.6923.259.251.41-
2022/113.285.6132.9228.8222.889.471.37-
2022/103.10.4620.6325.5421.78.461.54-
2022/93.0936.1742.422.4321.857.441.68-
2022/82.278.8918.8619.3419.117.221.73-
2022/72.08-27.23-1.1417.0719.147.291.71-
2022/62.8622.3979.3614.9922.647.591.55主要是去年110年6月疫情嚴重,今年111年各國疫情趨緩,故各區營收皆較去年同期增加,其中以中南美洲.歐洲及國內增加為主要。
2022/52.34-2.0416.1712.1314.127.651.54-
2022/42.39-18.161.789.7913.647.511.56-
2022/32.9232.289.287.418.087.41.56-
2022/22.21-2.8738.484.4824.616.741.71-
2022/12.270.5713.562.2713.567.01.65-
2021/122.26-8.42-7.3325.719.767.31.51-
2021/112.47-4.1511.7223.4511.747.211.53-
2021/102.5718.5920.2520.9811.756.651.66-
2021/92.1713.663.2618.4110.656.191.88-
2021/81.91-9.43-8.7916.2411.725.612.07-
2021/72.1132.02-8.5114.3315.175.722.03-
2021/61.6-20.72-16.8712.2220.565.961.94-
2021/52.01-14.1710.3810.6329.317.031.64-
2021/42.35-12.12102.218.6134.716.611.75係因去年台灣內銷市場、美國及歐洲子公司受COVID-19影響,致使109年4月較110年4月營收減少102.22%
2021/32.6767.6153.546.2619.746.261.82係因去年台灣內銷市場、美國及歐洲子公司受COVID-19影響,致使109年3月較110年3月營收減少53.55%
2021/21.59-20.34-20.323.592.96.031.89-
2021/12.0-17.9334.042.034.046.651.72-
2020/122.4410.4110.023.42-3.876.791.66-
2020/112.213.155.7120.98-5.266.451.75-
2020/102.141.84-0.6618.78-6.46.331.78-
2020/92.10.382.1516.64-7.16.51.72-
2020/82.09-9.1527.214.54-8.36.321.77-
2020/72.319.959.4712.44-12.416.051.84-
2020/61.925.2710.2710.14-16.224.912.32-
2020/51.8257.21-19.778.22-20.674.722.41-
2020/41.16-33.27-52.556.39-20.924.92.32因國內內銷、美國子公司及法國子公司受到新型冠狀病毒(COVID-19)影響,致使單月收入減少52.55%。
2020/31.74-13.02-10.335.23-7.215.232.24-
2020/22.034.0121.323.49-5.575.712.05-
2020/11.49-32.65-27.21.49-27.25.82.02-
2019/122.226.113.0924.374.470.0N/A-
2019/112.09-3.062.1522.153.680.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.722023/12.632022/12.272021/12.02020/11.49
2024/22.962023/22.882022/22.212021/21.592020/22.0
2024/33.972023/33.772022/32.922021/32.672020/31.74
2024/43.772023/42.972022/42.392021/42.352020/41.16
2024/53.942023/53.152022/52.342021/52.012020/51.82
2024/63.72023/63.212022/62.862021/61.62020/61.92
2024/74.162023/73.132022/72.082021/72.112020/72.3
2024/83.232023/83.092022/82.272021/81.912020/82.09
2024/93.912023/93.132022/93.092021/92.172020/92.1
2024/104.62023/104.072022/103.12021/102.572020/102.14
N/AN/A2023/113.812022/113.282021/112.472020/112.21
N/AN/A2023/123.472022/122.872021/122.262020/122.44
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.1%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-50.0-90.0
24Q2 (19)0.02-33.33-75.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-25.0-88.0
23Q4 (17)0.04-60.0-75.0
23Q3 (16)0.125.0-16.67
23Q2 (15)0.08-68.00.0
23Q1 (14)0.2556.2525.0
22Q4 (13)0.1633.3314.29
22Q3 (12)0.1250.0-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.08-60.0-57.89
22Q1 (10)0.242.8653.85
21Q4 (9)0.14-12.5100.0
21Q3 (8)0.16-15.7945.45
21Q2 (7)0.1946.15533.33
21Q1 (6)0.1385.71116.67
20Q4 (5)0.07-36.3675.0
20Q3 (4)0.11266.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.03-50.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0650.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.040.00.0

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