玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.4718.3416.4813.05-0.393.85N/A-
2024/91.248.87-2.3811.58-2.193.560.58-
2024/81.14-3.62-12.6410.34-2.173.730.55-
2024/71.18-15.75-1.89.2-0.693.930.52-
2024/61.44.896.758.02-0.533.980.43-
2024/51.347.74-3.36.61-1.953.980.43-
2024/41.24-11.2-12.965.27-1.63.880.45-
2024/31.413.351.64.032.514.030.61-
2024/21.23-11.773.142.633.04.030.61-
2024/11.40.052.881.42.884.230.58-
2023/121.4-2.630.2615.9423.364.090.7-
2023/111.4413.885.3514.5426.163.970.73-
2023/101.26-0.8210.213.128.953.840.75-
2023/91.27-2.579.9111.8431.333.780.61-
2023/81.38.3327.7210.5734.483.820.61-
2023/71.2-8.4125.429.2635.493.90.59-
2023/61.32-4.9841.828.0637.134.130.5-
2023/51.38-3.0256.686.7436.254.190.49去年同期Covid-19疫情升溫,致使影響營收。
2023/41.433.6746.795.3631.824.00.51-
2023/31.3815.0747.963.9327.113.930.53-
2023/21.2-12.019.432.5618.143.950.53-
2023/11.36-2.4917.031.3617.034.120.51-
2022/121.392.332.012.9225.493.90.63-
2022/111.3619.1234.0711.5224.743.660.67-
2022/101.14-1.0721.6710.1623.593.320.74-
2022/91.1613.2138.699.0223.843.140.66-
2022/81.026.3829.97.8621.912.910.71-
2022/70.963.5559.396.8420.82.770.75去年同期Covid-19疫情升溫,政府宣布第三級警戒致使影響營收。
2022/60.934.9788.475.8816.212.780.7去年同期Covid-19疫情升溫,政府宣布第三級警戒致使影響營收。
2022/50.88-9.1421.794.958.422.790.7-
2022/40.974.50.924.075.892.90.67-
2022/30.93-7.115.153.097.563.090.62-
2022/21.0-13.761.512.168.633.220.6-
2022/11.169.9715.611.1615.613.230.59-
2021/121.063.9115.7510.292.013.010.56-
2021/111.028.112.619.240.652.790.61-
2021/100.9412.7610.228.22-0.652.560.66-
2021/90.836.04-10.297.28-1.92.220.66-
2021/80.7930.53-1.776.45-0.71.880.78-
2021/70.622.44-17.785.66-0.551.820.81-
2021/60.49-32.16-31.255.061.992.180.7-
2021/50.73-24.71-7.194.577.62.570.59-
2021/40.968.8820.073.8410.942.840.54-
2021/30.88-10.3324.692.888.192.880.55-
2021/20.99-1.790.811.992.182.90.54-
2021/11.010.13.561.03.562.820.56-
2020/120.911.08-16.3510.09-14.612.670.55-
2020/110.95.81-9.589.18-14.432.690.55-
2020/100.85-8.22-12.418.27-14.932.580.57-
2020/90.9316.121.087.42-15.212.460.64-
2020/80.89.25-8.36.49-17.122.250.7-
2020/70.732.38-18.75.69-18.222.230.71-
2020/60.72-8.42-28.434.96-18.152.30.85-
2020/50.78-2.59-26.014.24-16.122.290.85-
2020/40.813.07-21.83.46-13.512.490.78-
2020/30.71-27.5-32.892.66-10.652.660.82-
2020/20.980.883.891.951.593.040.72-
2020/10.97-11.07-0.610.97-0.613.060.71-
2019/121.099.2715.2211.821.610.0N/A-
2019/111.02.4915.3910.730.40.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.42023/11.362022/11.162021/11.02020/10.97
2024/21.232023/21.22022/21.02021/20.992020/20.98
2024/31.42023/31.382022/30.932021/30.882020/30.71
2024/41.242023/41.432022/40.972021/40.962020/40.8
2024/51.342023/51.382022/50.882021/50.732020/50.78
2024/61.42023/61.322022/60.932021/60.492020/60.72
2024/71.182023/71.22022/70.962021/70.62020/70.73
2024/81.142023/81.32022/81.022021/80.792020/80.8
2024/91.242023/91.272022/91.162021/90.832020/90.93
2024/101.472023/101.262022/101.142021/100.942020/100.85
N/AN/A2023/111.442022/111.362021/111.022020/110.9
N/AN/A2023/121.42022/121.392021/121.062020/120.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 120.94%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.39-3.52-10.41
24Q2 (19)4.55-8.82-7.33
24Q1 (18)4.99-10.7311.63
23Q4 (17)5.5914.0816.22
23Q3 (16)4.9-0.27.22
23Q2 (15)4.919.8414.99
23Q1 (14)4.47-7.0718.88
22Q4 (13)4.815.2528.27
22Q3 (12)4.577.0320.9
22Q2 (11)4.2713.5620.28
22Q1 (10)3.760.2714.29
21Q4 (9)3.75-0.7922.15
21Q3 (8)3.786.4832.63
21Q2 (7)3.557.925.89
21Q1 (6)3.297.174.11
20Q4 (5)3.077.724.07
20Q3 (4)2.851.060.0
20Q2 (3)2.82-10.760.0
20Q1 (2)3.167.120.0
19Q4 (1)2.950.00.0

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