玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.48-3.92-4.05.5514.411.56N/A-
2024/90.5-13.8512.685.0716.531.70.26-
2024/80.58-6.8410.084.5716.961.740.25-
2024/70.6215.867.653.9918.031.750.25-
2024/60.54-9.148.013.3620.181.70.21-
2024/50.594.1512.112.8322.811.760.2-
2024/40.57-5.9832.162.2425.991.640.22-
2024/30.628.082.911.6724.021.670.21-
2024/20.47-20.5821.761.0640.331.630.21-
2024/10.594.3659.660.5959.661.670.21112年1月適逢春節假期,工作天數減少,致113年1月營收增加幅度較大。
2023/120.5711.793.665.928.151.580.22-
2023/110.511.7711.725.368.651.450.24-
2023/100.512.7821.874.858.341.470.24-
2023/90.44-15.8413.824.356.981.550.2-
2023/80.53-8.8910.663.96.251.60.19-
2023/70.5816.2426.03.385.591.60.19-
2023/60.5-5.6927.182.82.181.450.23-
2023/50.5322.7820.742.3-1.981.540.22-
2023/40.43-26.78-16.651.78-7.171.40.24-
2023/30.5951.540.571.35-3.671.350.25-
2023/20.394.121.790.76-6.721.310.25-
2023/10.37-32.23-14.190.37-14.191.380.24-
2022/120.5520.4923.275.485.441.410.22-
2022/110.4611.0118.084.933.771.250.25-
2022/100.415.326.844.472.511.280.24-
2022/90.39-18.17-6.114.062.091.320.44-
2022/80.483.729.273.673.051.330.44-
2022/70.4617.32-11.713.22.181.290.45-
2022/60.39-10.46-31.762.744.951.340.42-
2022/50.44-15.2410.622.3515.271.540.37-
2022/40.52-11.6517.361.9116.391.480.39-
2022/30.5853.3720.921.416.041.40.32-
2022/20.38-12.232.620.8112.781.260.36-
2022/10.43-2.6423.50.4323.51.260.36-
2021/120.4515.41-5.395.216.651.210.49-
2021/110.390.45-1.114.7519.261.180.51-
2021/100.38-7.4523.944.3621.471.230.49-
2021/90.41-4.754.153.9821.241.370.52-
2021/80.44-16.222.543.5723.61.530.46-
2021/70.52-9.3219.653.1323.751.490.48-
2021/60.5745.1665.132.6124.61.410.39本月商品銷售,收入增加
2021/50.39-10.0818.512.0416.551.320.42-
2021/40.44-8.9623.431.6416.091.290.43-
2021/30.4830.1624.451.213.621.20.5-
2021/20.375.622.770.727.381.190.5-
2021/10.35-25.4212.720.3512.721.210.5-
2020/120.4720.632.414.453.41.170.47-
2020/110.3925.9126.873.983.521.10.5-
2020/100.31-22.22-16.053.591.51.060.52-
2020/90.412.0531.413.283.541.190.55-
2020/80.36-18.17-2.222.880.61.140.57-
2020/70.4325.1414.642.531.011.110.58-
2020/60.354.18-1.572.1-1.411.040.64-
2020/50.33-6.35-16.21.75-1.381.080.61-
2020/40.36-8.21-12.661.422.891.10.6-
2020/30.397.486.191.069.441.060.58-
2020/20.3615.8445.390.6711.41.130.54-
2020/10.31-32.24-12.340.31-12.341.080.57-
2019/120.4649.4511.284.3112.830.0N/A-
2019/110.31-16.691.223.8513.020.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.592023/10.372022/10.432021/10.352020/10.31
2024/20.472023/20.392022/20.382021/20.372020/20.36
2024/30.62023/30.592022/30.582021/30.482020/30.39
2024/40.572023/40.432022/40.522021/40.442020/40.36
2024/50.592023/50.532022/50.442021/50.392020/50.33
2024/60.542023/60.52022/60.392021/60.572020/60.35
2024/70.622023/70.582022/70.462021/70.522020/70.43
2024/80.582023/80.532022/80.482021/80.442020/80.36
2024/90.52023/90.442022/90.392021/90.412020/90.4
2024/100.482023/100.52022/100.412021/100.382020/100.31
N/AN/A2023/110.512022/110.462021/110.392020/110.39
N/AN/A2023/120.572022/120.552021/120.452020/120.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-30.0-36.36
24Q2 (19)0.125.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.080.0-27.27
23Q4 (17)0.08-27.27-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.1110.0-31.25
23Q2 (15)0.1-9.09-44.44
23Q1 (14)0.1110.0-50.0
22Q4 (13)0.1-37.5-52.38
22Q3 (12)0.16-11.11-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.18-18.18-14.29
22Q1 (10)0.224.76-21.43
21Q4 (9)0.21-12.5-8.7
21Q3 (8)0.2414.299.09
21Q2 (7)0.21-25.0-4.55
21Q1 (6)0.2821.747.69
20Q4 (5)0.234.5535.29
20Q3 (4)0.220.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.22-15.380.0
20Q1 (2)0.2652.940.0
19Q4 (1)0.170.00.0

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