玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.7310.173.4747.637.2513.91N/A-
2024/94.3-11.855.942.897.6813.860.66-
2024/84.884.068.7338.67.8814.230.64-
2024/74.680.354.4933.727.7614.740.62-
2024/64.67-13.339.4829.048.3114.730.5-
2024/55.3915.31-3.3224.378.0915.550.47-
2024/44.67-14.9815.1218.9811.8414.150.52-
2024/35.537.9910.614.3110.814.310.5-
2024/23.98-17.582.568.8110.9313.090.55-
2024/14.8312.8818.934.8318.9313.880.52-
2023/124.28-10.230.9953.466.0313.620.46-
2023/114.774.25.749.186.513.40.47-
2023/104.5812.7511.4344.416.5813.120.48-
2023/94.06-9.49-6.5939.836.0513.030.52-
2023/84.480.015.6735.787.7113.230.51-
2023/74.485.141.331.298.0114.320.47-
2023/64.26-23.47-0.2426.819.2113.890.47-
2023/55.5737.3133.2922.5411.2114.60.45-
2023/44.06-18.32-6.6716.975.4712.910.51-
2023/34.9727.9616.9812.919.9712.910.57-
2023/23.88-4.4215.317.956.012.180.6-
2023/14.06-4.14-1.584.06-1.5812.810.57-
2022/124.24-6.058.6250.4114.9612.860.56-
2022/114.519.8612.8546.1815.5812.960.55-
2022/104.11-5.4813.5241.6615.8912.690.56-
2022/94.342.3924.9437.5616.1513.010.53-
2022/84.24-4.121.5933.2115.0912.940.54-
2022/74.433.5317.9828.9717.3812.880.54-
2022/64.272.2522.7124.5417.2712.80.47-
2022/54.18-3.8523.6420.2716.1812.780.47-
2022/44.352.3732.6516.0914.3911.960.5-
2022/34.2526.134.0711.748.8411.740.47-
2022/23.37-18.435.767.511.7411.40.49-
2022/14.135.817.134.1317.1312.030.46-
2021/123.9-2.3921.3143.8512.6411.520.48-
2021/114.010.5125.1139.9511.8611.090.5-
2021/103.624.019.9935.9510.5611.270.49-
2021/93.48-16.74-0.9932.3310.6311.40.47-
2021/84.1811.3427.528.8612.2111.410.47-
2021/73.757.6814.224.689.9810.610.5-
2021/63.483.029.6820.939.2610.140.66-
2021/53.383.1417.3117.459.1810.740.62-
2021/43.28-19.677.414.077.3910.540.63-
2021/34.0828.1811.9910.797.3810.790.49-
2021/23.18-9.66-6.426.714.769.920.53-
2021/13.529.5717.453.5217.459.930.53-
2020/123.220.66-4.1338.93-5.279.70.61-
2020/113.19-2.83-10.0235.71-5.3710.00.59-
2020/103.29-6.38-11.9432.52-4.8810.080.58-
2020/93.517.224.329.23-4.0210.070.51-
2020/83.28-0.26-3.9225.72-5.059.740.53-
2020/73.283.41-12.0822.44-5.229.340.55-
2020/63.1810.194.5819.16-3.939.110.67-
2020/52.88-5.56-19.8115.98-5.469.580.64-
2020/43.05-16.24-7.1313.1-1.5910.10.6-
2020/33.647.19.9810.050.2210.050.55-
2020/23.413.3713.316.4-4.599.760.57-
2020/13.0-10.56-19.093.0-19.099.910.56-
2019/123.35-5.5124.3541.099.290.0N/A-
2019/113.55-4.9119.7137.748.120.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.832023/14.062022/14.132021/13.522020/13.0
2024/23.982023/23.882022/23.372021/23.182020/23.4
2024/35.52023/34.972022/34.252021/34.082020/33.64
2024/44.672023/44.062022/44.352021/43.282020/43.05
2024/55.392023/55.572022/54.182021/53.382020/52.88
2024/64.672023/64.262022/64.272021/63.482020/63.18
2024/74.682023/74.482022/74.432021/73.752020/73.28
2024/84.882023/84.482022/84.242021/84.182020/83.28
2024/94.32023/94.062022/94.342021/93.482020/93.51
2024/104.732023/104.582022/104.112021/103.622020/103.29
N/AN/A2023/114.772022/114.512021/114.02020/113.19
N/AN/A2023/124.282022/124.242021/123.92020/123.22
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03-25.0-81.25
24Q2 (19)0.040.0-60.0
24Q1 (18)0.04-55.56-55.56
23Q4 (17)0.09-43.7580.0
23Q3 (16)0.1660.0300.0
23Q2 (15)0.111.1111.11
23Q1 (14)0.0980.0-50.0
22Q4 (13)0.0525.0-82.76
22Q3 (12)0.04-55.56-96.64
22Q2 (11)0.09-50.0800.0
22Q1 (10)0.18-37.93125.0
21Q4 (9)0.29-75.632800.0
21Q3 (8)1.1911800.05850.0
21Q2 (7)0.01-87.50.0
21Q1 (6)0.08700.0100.0
20Q4 (5)0.01-50.00
20Q3 (4)0.02100.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.01-75.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0400.0

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