玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.94-1.250.6910.2612.422.94N/A-
2024/100.95-8.6729.519.3213.752.96N/A-
2024/91.048.4735.818.3712.23.160.55-
2024/80.96-17.041.467.339.493.010.57-
2024/71.1630.0123.296.3710.813.080.56-
2024/60.89-13.6420.475.218.372.860.69-
2024/51.0310.9332.534.316.172.830.7-
2024/40.937.3631.493.28-0.082.430.82-
2024/30.8738.08-4.842.35-8.762.350.94-
2024/20.63-26.58-32.41.48-10.92.30.97-
2024/10.865.2916.230.8616.232.60.85-
2023/120.81-13.06-15.79.94-34.212.480.84-
2023/110.9327.0-15.339.13-35.472.440.85-
2023/100.74-4.23-36.048.2-37.172.450.85-
2023/90.77-18.96-42.817.46-37.282.660.84-
2023/80.950.8-29.816.69-36.582.630.85-
2023/70.9427.04-25.875.74-37.572.460.91-
2023/60.74-4.99-40.654.8-39.442.231.07-
2023/50.7810.06-40.464.06-39.212.41.0-
2023/40.71-22.3-41.713.28-38.912.550.94-
2023/30.91-1.9-35.852.58-38.092.580.93-
2023/20.9326.24-26.971.66-39.252.630.91-
2023/10.74-23.63-49.890.74-49.892.80.86-
2022/120.96-12.67-37.7515.11-16.963.220.73-
2022/111.1-4.06-35.1414.15-15.033.60.65-
2022/101.15-14.37-27.2913.05-12.743.840.61-
2022/91.34-0.52-18.6811.9-11.023.960.59-
2022/81.356.44-20.7410.55-9.943.870.61-
2022/71.271.71-24.599.2-8.13.830.61-
2022/61.25-4.69-24.837.93-4.773.770.62-
2022/51.317.75-11.086.690.213.940.59-
2022/41.21-14.49-14.75.383.423.910.6-
2022/31.4211.672.244.1610.264.160.57-
2022/21.27-13.3718.542.7414.934.290.56-
2022/11.47-5.1411.971.4711.974.720.51-
2021/121.55-9.0217.0618.254.564.830.43本年度受惠於東南亞因疫情影響產生之轉單效應及巿場需求增加,致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/111.77.5436.9716.6559.34.940.42本年度受惠於東南亞因疫情影響產生之轉單效應及巿場需求增加,致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/101.58-4.2337.9414.9562.314.940.42去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年則受惠於東南亞因疫情影響產生之轉單效應及巿場需求增加,致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/91.65-3.0445.8913.3765.785.040.35去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年則受惠於東南亞因疫情影響產生之轉單效應及巿場需求增加,致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/81.71.2768.4311.7269.035.050.34去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年則受惠於東南亞因疫情影響產生之轉單效應及巿場需求增加,致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/71.681.3891.0810.0169.134.810.36去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年市場需求回升,以致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/61.6612.73121.348.3365.34.560.37去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年市場需求回升,以致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/51.473.37228.266.6755.54.290.39去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年市場需求回升,以致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/41.422.49175.765.235.333.890.43去年同期受新冠疫情衝擊,今年市場需求回升,以致今年營收較去年同期增加。
2021/31.3929.4840.433.7713.523.770.5-
2021/21.07-18.17-6.012.382.113.710.51-
2021/11.31-0.839.91.319.93.880.48-
2020/121.326.457.8511.78-18.83.710.46-
2020/111.248.33.1610.45-21.263.520.48-
2020/101.151.28-6.869.21-23.693.290.52-
2020/91.1311.93-4.088.06-25.613.020.7-
2020/81.0114.89-20.666.93-28.242.640.8-
2020/70.8817.43-39.925.92-29.392.081.02-
2020/60.7567.19-38.885.04-30.731.711.49-
2020/50.45-13.15-69.934.29-29.071.951.3本月營收較去年同期減少,主要受新冠病毒疫情影響,客戶訂單交期遞延所致
2020/40.52-47.8-57.13.84-15.72.650.96本月營收較去年同期減少,主要受新冠病毒疫情影響,客戶訂單交期遞延所致
2020/30.99-13.34-11.723.32-0.833.320.0-
2020/21.14-4.3147.012.3411.343.560.0-
2020/11.19-2.67-9.631.19-9.630.0N/A-
2019/121.231.8212.7714.5-8.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.862023/10.742022/11.472021/11.312020/11.19
2024/20.632023/20.932022/21.272021/21.072020/21.14
2024/30.872023/30.912022/31.422021/31.392020/30.99
2024/40.932023/40.712022/41.212021/41.422020/40.52
2024/51.032023/50.782022/51.312021/51.472020/50.45
2024/60.892023/60.742022/61.252021/61.662020/60.75
2024/71.162023/70.942022/71.272021/71.682020/70.88
2024/80.962023/80.952022/81.352021/81.72020/81.01
2024/91.042023/90.772022/91.342021/91.652020/91.13
2024/100.952023/100.742022/101.152021/101.582020/101.15
2024/110.942023/110.932022/111.12021/111.72020/111.24
N/AN/A2023/120.812022/120.962021/121.552020/121.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0433.33100.0
24Q2 (19)0.03-57.14-40.0
24Q1 (18)0.07-41.67133.33
23Q4 (17)0.12500.0300.0
23Q3 (16)0.02-60.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.0566.67-79.17
23Q1 (14)0.030.0-88.89
22Q4 (13)0.03-25.0-78.57
22Q3 (12)0.04-83.33-60.0
22Q2 (11)0.24-11.1171.43
22Q1 (10)0.2792.86145.45
21Q4 (9)0.1440.0366.67
21Q3 (8)0.1-28.57233.33
21Q2 (7)0.1427.270
21Q1 (6)0.11266.670
20Q4 (5)0.030.00
20Q3 (4)0.0300.0

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