玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.95-0.43-15.1436.6517.199.09N/A-
2024/102.96-6.986.1333.721.2310.11N/A-
2024/93.18-19.918.2330.7522.9110.590.97-
2024/83.9715.7223.2427.5624.8710.870.94-
2024/73.43-0.8721.2323.5925.1510.730.95-
2024/63.46-9.7627.420.1625.8411.070.93-
2024/53.841.6923.3816.725.5210.90.94-
2024/43.7714.7435.0312.8626.189.551.08-
2024/33.2932.280.969.0922.839.091.05-
2024/22.49-24.89-0.995.840.049.061.05-
2024/13.311.3103.363.31103.3610.050.95本月及本年增減百分比達50%以上:主為客戶庫存調整告一段落及市場需求明顯回升,與農曆春節假期月份差異.
2023/123.27-5.8914.3234.54-18.219.530.88-
2023/113.4724.5346.6431.27-20.579.20.91-
2023/102.79-5.1416.5327.8-24.878.950.93-
2023/92.94-8.818.8625.01-27.748.990.9-
2023/83.2213.8412.7922.07-30.838.770.93-
2023/72.834.17-25.2518.85-35.128.660.94-
2023/62.72-12.61-28.7816.02-36.618.621.02-
2023/53.1111.29-23.2913.3-38.09.160.96-
2023/42.79-14.2-28.4410.19-41.438.561.03-
2023/33.2629.71-39.817.4-45.187.41.32-
2023/22.5154.27-26.084.14-48.787.01.39-
2023/11.63-43.05-65.251.63-65.256.851.42本月及本年增減百分比達50%以上:主要來自農曆春節假期月份差異。
2022/122.8620.71-34.9242.23-12.547.621.36-
2022/112.37-1.03-47.3339.38-10.37.461.39-
2022/102.39-11.38-47.5137.01-6.087.951.31-
2022/92.7-5.52-29.5534.62-0.669.351.22-
2022/82.86-24.55-29.3331.922.910.461.09-
2022/73.79-0.74-5.2629.067.7411.660.98-
2022/63.82-5.87-7.5125.2710.011.780.95-
2022/54.053.8116.421.4513.8413.370.84-
2022/43.91-27.83-2.9817.413.2612.720.88-
2022/35.4159.319.2313.4919.0313.490.75-
2022/23.4-27.4730.178.0818.912.470.81-
2022/14.686.6411.884.6811.8813.570.74-
2021/124.39-2.296.248.2926.3113.450.76-
2021/114.5-1.3628.5243.928.7512.890.79-
2021/104.5618.9240.1339.4128.7812.430.82-
2021/93.83-5.2211.5134.8527.4311.880.81-
2021/84.041.1330.331.0129.7112.170.79-
2021/74.0-3.142.0226.9729.6211.610.83-
2021/64.1318.4763.2222.9727.6811.640.77本月營收較去年同期增加63.23%,主受海運缺櫃影響,導致上月部分貨物延至本月出貨.
2021/53.48-13.4824.4718.8421.8712.050.74-
2021/44.03-11.327.7215.3621.311.170.8-
2021/34.5473.929.5911.3419.1711.340.68-
2021/22.61-37.66-9.216.826.5710.930.71-
2021/14.191.2367.814.1967.8111.820.66本月及本年增減百分比達50%以上:主要來自農曆春節假期月份差異及大陸營收增加所致.
2020/124.1418.2228.038.23-10.8810.890.62-
2020/113.57.545.6234.1-14.0510.190.66-
2020/103.25-5.35-9.3930.6-15.849.790.69-
2020/93.4410.733.0327.35-16.559.360.78-
2020/83.110.23-6.7223.91-18.778.450.86-
2020/72.8211.36-17.5920.81-20.318.140.89-
2020/62.53-9.65-26.417.99-20.728.480.95-
2020/52.8-11.22-27.715.46-19.710.090.8-
2020/43.15-23.89-22.6312.66-17.6910.170.8-
2020/34.1444.073.839.51-15.99.510.74-
2020/22.8715.22-12.635.37-26.668.60.82-
2020/12.49-22.78-38.112.49-38.110.0N/A-
2019/123.23-2.43-14.342.9-9.630.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.312023/11.632022/14.682021/14.192020/12.49
2024/22.492023/22.512022/23.42021/22.612020/22.87
2024/33.292023/33.262022/35.412021/34.542020/34.14
2024/43.772023/42.792022/43.912021/44.032020/43.15
2024/53.842023/53.112022/54.052021/53.482020/52.8
2024/63.462023/62.722022/63.822021/64.132020/62.53
2024/73.432023/72.832022/73.792021/74.02020/72.82
2024/83.972023/83.222022/82.862021/84.042020/83.1
2024/93.182023/92.942022/92.72021/93.832020/93.44
2024/102.962023/102.792022/102.392021/104.562020/103.25
2024/112.952023/113.472022/112.372021/114.52020/113.5
N/AN/A2023/123.272022/122.862021/124.392020/124.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.9%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.09125.050.0
24Q2 (19)0.04-66.67-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.12140.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.05-16.6725.0
23Q3 (16)0.060.0100.0
23Q2 (15)0.060.050.0
23Q1 (14)0.0650.0-14.29
22Q4 (13)0.0433.33-66.67
22Q3 (12)0.03-25.0-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.04-42.86-63.64
22Q1 (10)0.07-41.67-30.0
21Q4 (9)0.12200.071.43
21Q3 (8)0.04-63.64-20.0
21Q2 (7)0.1110.0266.67
21Q1 (6)0.142.86233.33
20Q4 (5)0.0740.040.0
20Q3 (4)0.0566.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.030.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.03-40.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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