玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.4-23.28-20.775.26-3.121.41N/A-
2024/90.526.668.264.86-1.31.570.66-
2024/80.49-12.633.324.33-2.341.540.67-
2024/70.5614.15-0.33.84-3.021.570.66-
2024/60.49-5.68-30.373.28-3.471.590.58-
2024/50.52-9.84-25.642.793.571.70.54-
2024/40.58-4.3817.22.2713.831.550.59-
2024/30.663.461.551.6912.731.690.5-
2024/20.37-48.45-35.591.0920.081.50.56-
2024/10.7274.07116.620.72116.621.730.49銷貨增加
2023/120.41-31.45-16.566.4434.991.520.57-
2023/110.618.7639.776.0340.951.590.54-
2023/100.514.8411.275.4341.081.460.59-
2023/90.481.7919.894.9245.081.520.48-
2023/80.47-15.714.844.4448.471.740.42-
2023/70.56-20.2737.443.9653.871.970.37銷貨增加
2023/60.710.7243.473.456.971.90.47銷貨增加
2023/50.742.09147.182.6960.941.790.5銷貨增加
2023/40.49-17.1597.521.9943.361.660.54銷貨增加
2023/30.63.6646.411.531.511.50.51-
2023/20.5773.3682.280.9123.261.40.55防火工程增加
2023/10.33-32.95-21.050.33-21.051.260.61-
2022/120.4914.8377.494.77-11.171.380.58本月增加營收超過50%以上為年底銷貨增加
2022/110.43-5.44-17.384.28-16.021.290.62-
2022/100.4512.96-23.33.85-15.861.270.63-
2022/90.4-2.49-31.053.39-14.751.230.67-
2022/80.410.88-24.882.99-11.951.310.62-
2022/70.41-16.77-18.312.58-9.451.180.69-
2022/60.4973.54-21.382.17-7.551.020.76-
2022/50.2813.54-36.931.67-2.510.940.83-
2022/40.25-38.58-19.641.399.690.970.8-
2022/30.4129.0656.81.1419.211.140.84去年同期因疫情影響,外銷訂單減少
2022/20.31-24.914.860.735.241.010.95-
2022/10.4250.735.530.425.531.220.79-
2021/120.28-46.54-14.775.375.761.390.76-
2021/110.52-12.232.275.097.171.70.62-
2021/100.591.5535.924.577.761.730.61-
2021/90.586.2324.943.984.531.640.63-
2021/80.559.723.423.391.671.680.61-
2021/70.5-19.8916.822.84-1.671.580.65-
2021/60.6339.223.862.34-4.841.390.56-
2021/50.4544.673.361.72-12.311.020.77-
2021/40.3119.84-7.21.27-16.790.870.9-
2021/30.26-13.68-48.90.96-19.490.960.81-
2021/20.3-24.43-6.290.72.391.020.76-
2021/10.421.7310.120.410.121.230.63-
2020/120.33-35.85-43.015.08-11.331.270.57-
2020/110.5116.643.934.75-7.811.410.51-
2020/100.44-6.64-2.234.24-9.041.350.53-
2020/90.474.9311.863.81-9.771.340.54-
2020/80.453.8326.243.34-12.141.380.53-
2020/70.43-15.07-16.992.89-16.071.370.53-
2020/60.5116.174.582.46-15.961.270.47-
2020/50.4329.88-59.451.96-19.961.280.47外銷與工程認列收入減少
2020/40.33-34.02.911.5210.851.160.52-
2020/30.5158.2732.871.1913.311.190.46-
2020/20.32-11.240.170.682.121.250.44-
2020/10.36-37.0-17.710.36-17.711.420.39-
2019/120.5716.9918.695.7317.440.0N/A-
2019/110.499.72-3.35.1517.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.722023/10.332022/10.422021/10.42020/10.36
2024/20.372023/20.572022/20.312021/20.32020/20.32
2024/30.62023/30.62022/30.412021/30.262020/30.51
2024/40.582023/40.492022/40.252021/40.312020/40.33
2024/50.522023/50.72022/50.282021/50.452020/50.43
2024/60.492023/60.712022/60.492021/60.632020/60.51
2024/70.562023/70.562022/70.412021/70.52020/70.43
2024/80.492023/80.472022/80.412021/80.552020/80.45
2024/90.522023/90.482022/90.42021/90.582020/90.47
2024/100.42023/100.512022/100.452021/100.592020/100.44
N/AN/A2023/110.62022/110.432021/110.522020/110.51
N/AN/A2023/120.412022/120.492021/120.282020/120.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.31121.4314.81
24Q2 (19)0.1440.0-54.84
24Q1 (18)0.1-60.0-58.33
23Q4 (17)0.25-7.4125.0
23Q3 (16)0.27-12.935.0
23Q2 (15)0.3129.1763.16
23Q1 (14)0.2420.041.18
22Q4 (13)0.20.025.0
22Q3 (12)0.25.2617.65
22Q2 (11)0.1911.76-20.83
22Q1 (10)0.176.25-19.05
21Q4 (9)0.16-5.88-30.43
21Q3 (8)0.17-29.17-37.04
21Q2 (7)0.2414.29-54.72
21Q1 (6)0.21-8.7-60.38
20Q4 (5)0.23-14.81-54.9
20Q3 (4)0.27-49.060.0
20Q2 (3)0.530.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.533.920.0
19Q4 (1)0.510.00.0

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