玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.14-84.1-60.296.0519.61.8N/A本年子公司增加,故導致本年累計營業收入增加。
2024/90.8915.2-4.885.9125.642.140.32本年子公司增加,故導致本年累計營業收入增加。
2024/80.7761.2362.845.0233.192.310.3本月子公司增加,故導致營業收入增加
2024/70.48-54.83-4.024.2528.942.420.29-
2024/61.0619.72228.173.7834.82.320.31本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係本期光纖銷售訂單較去年同期增加,及本期工程案件實際投入較去年同期增加所致。
2024/50.88136.5865.452.729.641.650.44本⽉合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係本期光纖銷售訂單較去年同期增加所致。
2024/40.37-4.8572.771.83-5.681.090.66本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係本期光纖銷售訂單較去年同期增加,及本期工程案件實際投入較去年同期增加所致。
2024/30.3923.02-48.111.46-15.491.460.6-
2024/20.32-57.37-20.831.079.92.050.43-
2024/10.75-23.5131.710.7531.712.570.34-
2023/120.9816.5458.866.88-16.232.170.4本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係本期光纖銷售訂單較去年同期增加,及本期工程案件實際投入較去年同期增加所致。
2023/110.84136.324.815.9-22.322.130.4-
2023/100.36-61.91-63.765.06-25.521.760.49本月合併營業收入較去年同期減少,主係本期光纖銷售訂單較去年同期減少,及本期工程案件實際投入比較去年同期減少所致。
2023/90.9397.23-12.824.71-19.071.90.41-
2023/80.47-4.97-37.213.77-20.481.290.61-
2023/70.554.42-26.713.3-17.321.350.58-
2023/60.32-39.63-66.032.8-15.41.070.79本月合併營業收入較去年同期減少,主係去年同期系統工程達成收入認列要件所致
2023/50.53147.043.542.484.951.510.56-
2023/40.22-71.42-34.691.945.341.380.62-
2023/30.7687.7169.691.7314.091.730.37本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係光纖金額較大之訂單於本月達成收入認列要件所致
2023/20.4-29.0712.010.97-9.11.590.4-
2023/10.57-7.74-19.810.57-19.811.990.32-
2022/120.62-23.11-42.248.211.492.40.33-
2022/110.8-18.3130.587.68.132.850.28本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係光纖金額較大之訂單於本月達成收入認列要件及系統工程完工進度較去年增加所致
2022/100.98-8.36185.976.81.762.80.28本月合併營業收入較去年同期增加,主係光纖金額較大之訂單於本月達成收入認列要件及系統工程完工進度較去年增加所致
2022/91.0742.0523.495.81-8.212.50.33-
2022/80.7510.91-43.14.74-13.232.380.35-
2022/70.68-28.4324.383.99-3.682.140.39-
2022/60.9584.0365.523.31-7.951.80.48本月合併營業收入較去年同期大幅增加,主係系統工程於本月達成收入認列要件所致
2022/50.5255.8281.172.36-21.891.290.67本月合併營業收入較去年同期大幅增加,主係光纖金額較大之訂單於本月達成收入認列要件所致
2022/40.33-25.76-36.11.85-32.61.140.76-
2022/30.4523.9-34.811.51-31.781.510.59-
2022/20.36-49.23-4.351.07-30.432.140.42-
2022/10.71-33.54-38.890.71-38.892.120.42-
2021/121.07206.95104.778.09-19.281.760.51採完工百分比法認列營收之專案完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/110.351.31-6.717.03-26.081.560.57-
2021/100.34-60.42-74.676.68-26.872.530.35採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/90.87-34.5562.786.33-18.552.740.22本月依完工百分比法認列之營業收入較去年同期增加所致。
2021/81.32142.49115.245.47-24.532.440.25本月採完工百分比法認列之營收較去年度較多所致
2021/70.55-4.7660.194.14-37.511.40.43採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/60.57101.4275.663.6-42.81.380.47採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/50.28-45.04-63.383.02-49.291.490.44採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/40.52-24.26-67.482.74-47.181.580.41採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/30.6881.81-2.992.22-38.162.220.29-
2021/20.38-67.56-80.841.54-46.762.060.32採完工百分比法認列營收之專案去年完工進度較大認列較多營收所致
2021/11.16122.7125.921.1625.922.050.32-
2020/120.5239.82-0.7210.0317.732.250.41-
2020/110.37-72.48-44.359.518.952.260.41-
2020/101.35154.3207.99.1324.742.50.37子公司若干採全部完工法之專案於10月完工並認列營收所致
2020/90.53-13.46-4.387.7813.031.490.48-
2020/80.6280.48-5.217.2514.561.280.56-
2020/70.344.43-31.696.6317.831.450.5-
2020/60.33-58.01-53.636.2921.512.70.28本期認列營收金額減少
2020/50.78-51.2-23.35.9633.343.080.25-
2020/41.59125.96171.835.1849.964.260.18因子公司聯瑞科技本月認列工程收入131,410仟元,故本月合併營收上升
2020/30.71-64.1-46.193.5925.073.590.18-
2020/21.96113.25315.882.8984.943.410.19重要子公司聯瑞認列台電工程收入增加所致
2020/10.9275.57-15.320.92-15.322.120.3-
2019/120.52-21.61-57.118.52-4.530.0N/A係因系統工程及服務收入減少所致
2019/110.6752.223.157.993.820.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.752023/10.572022/10.712021/11.162020/10.92
2024/20.322023/20.42022/20.362021/20.382020/21.96
2024/30.392023/30.762022/30.452021/30.682020/30.71
2024/40.372023/40.222022/40.332021/40.522020/41.59
2024/50.882023/50.532022/50.522021/50.282020/50.78
2024/61.062023/60.322022/60.952021/60.572020/60.33
2024/70.482023/70.52022/70.682021/70.552020/70.34
2024/80.772023/80.472022/80.752021/81.322020/80.62
2024/90.892023/90.932022/91.072021/90.872020/90.53
2024/100.142023/100.362022/100.982021/100.342020/101.35
N/AN/A2023/110.842022/110.82021/110.352020/110.37
N/AN/A2023/120.982022/120.622021/121.072020/120.52
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.67191.381.08
24Q2 (19)0.23-17.86-39.47
24Q1 (18)0.28-6.6775.0
23Q4 (17)0.3-18.92100.0
23Q3 (16)0.37-2.63164.29
23Q2 (15)0.38137.5442.86
23Q1 (14)0.166.67220.0
22Q4 (13)0.157.14275.0
22Q3 (12)0.14100.075.0
22Q2 (11)0.0740.0-75.86
22Q1 (10)0.0525.0-73.68
21Q4 (9)0.04-50.0-88.57
21Q3 (8)0.08-72.41-66.67
21Q2 (7)0.2952.63-36.96
21Q1 (6)0.19-45.71-60.42
20Q4 (5)0.3545.83-64.65
20Q3 (4)0.24-47.830.0
20Q2 (3)0.46-4.170.0
20Q1 (2)0.48-51.520.0
19Q4 (1)0.990.00.0

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