玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)1.53-39.29-46.871.62-38.17-25.6959.5465.0288.5456.0861.3334.1326.24-29.44-87.789.37165.59163.83
23Q4 (19)2.52-43.88-42.072.6233.67-8.0736.0877.9172.3834.76-25.229.037.19-22.03-66.7533.6576.55157.0
23Q3 (18)4.49189.6836.471.9650.77-22.2220.28-65.47-26.6846.48-33.4328.8647.70-75.71-28.9419.06128.12660.59
23Q2 (17)1.55-46.18-24.391.30-40.37-28.1858.7486.032.0669.8266.9939.06196.34-7.99278.82-67.7751.6-258.16
23Q1 (16)2.88-33.7967.442.18-23.5154.6131.5850.88-40.1841.8131.11-35.3213.4090.7983.16-140.01-137.18-15831.46
22Q4 (15)4.3532.22105.192.8513.128.3820.93-24.33-51.1831.89-11.59-22.07111.8566.628.98-59.03-1636.18-213.16
22Q3 (14)3.2960.4916.672.5239.23-30.1927.66-37.81-14.3436.07-28.1642.9667.1329.5266.49-3.40-107.93-119.78
22Q2 (13)2.0519.1948.551.8128.375.2344.48-15.74-32.7150.21-22.3-4.9851.83-55.517.5842.854714.61-39.45
22Q1 (12)1.72-18.87-30.921.41-36.49-41.2552.7923.1444.7164.6257.9270.14116.5113.52267.660.89104.72-97.92
21Q4 (11)2.12-24.82-3.642.22-38.5-7.8842.8732.773.6540.9262.198.25102.63154.5420.09-18.85-209.66-199.21
21Q3 (10)2.82104.35154.053.61109.8899.4532.29-51.15-60.5225.23-52.25-49.9540.32-16.31-81.3517.19-75.71120.46
21Q2 (9)1.38-44.58-22.911.72-28.33-51.5566.1081.229.6652.8439.13105.8448.1852.04-56.4970.7765.47307.54
21Q1 (8)2.4913.1820.872.40-0.41-49.4736.48-11.8-17.4337.980.4898.1231.69-62.92-51.442.77778.892411.89
20Q4 (7)2.2098.2136.562.4133.157.5941.36-49.43-57.8637.80-25.01-7.0685.46-60.48-9.94-6.3092.5-114.35
20Q3 (6)1.11-37.9915.631.81-49.01-21.381.7960.44-13.6250.4196.3827.59216.2295.25138.39-84.02-146.39-293.19
20Q2 (5)1.79-13.1177.233.55-25.2653.6850.9815.39-43.2825.6733.91-34.75110.7469.8520.58-34.10-1743.24-191.2
20Q1 (4)2.06121.510.04.75112.050.044.18-54.980.019.17-52.860.065.20-31.290.0-1.85-104.210.0
19Q4 (3)0.93-3.120.02.24-2.610.098.143.640.040.672.940.094.894.620.043.910.970.0
19Q3 (2)0.96-4.950.02.30-0.430.094.695.350.039.510.430.090.70-1.240.043.4916.310.0
19Q2 (1)1.010.00.02.310.00.089.880.00.039.340.00.091.840.00.037.390.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)7.75-45.887.64-12.3947.0884.7747.7714.15114.90-21.2-20.050
2022 (9)14.3247.178.7214.4425.48-32.0941.85-12.61145.8177.84-78.480
2021 (8)9.7329.567.62-31.137.52-22.847.8945.1781.9954.873.42-88.06
2020 (7)7.51177.1211.0629.0548.60-63.8532.99-22.5252.94-53.9828.65-53.79
2019 (6)2.71-4.918.57-2.72134.455.1342.582.75115.0325.7462.00-20.36
2018 (5)2.85-43.688.81-12.08127.8977.3841.4413.7291.4828.6177.85108.1
2017 (4)5.06-0.3910.02-20.3572.100.3836.4425.5771.1336.537.41-23.26
2016 (3)5.08-18.5912.58-24.3571.8322.7729.0232.2152.11-4.048.7586.21
2015 (2)6.240.016.63-25.9258.510.0221.9534.9954.2815.226.18-5.28
2014 (1)6.2423.8122.4557.9958.50-19.1816.26-36.6847.12-16.8127.64-33.29

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