玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.03403.95-99.8848.0446.814.27N/A餘屋出售
2024/100.01-99.96-98.848.01390.014.62N/A餘屋出售
2024/914.243693.2761.4946.14393.2315.194.57餘屋出售
2024/80.38-34.0569429.631.95856.234.3216.09餘屋出售
2024/70.57-83.11113768.031.525792.0710.176.82餘屋出售
2024/63.37-45.91635919.030.955691.0628.862.6餘屋出售
2024/56.23-67.631175910.027.585065.5326.752.8餘屋銷售
2024/419.261435.073520.8821.353902.2720.933.58建案過戶入帳
2024/31.25198.88236600.02.09130678.02.0944.89餘屋銷售
2024/20.420.3677627.80.8478212.12.1244.22餘屋銷售
2024/10.42-67.4978807.50.4278807.524.633.81餘屋銷售
2023/121.29-94.38-3.5734.01932.7324.653.55餘屋銷售
2023/1122.925073.024245040.032.721570.5932.192.72建案過戶入帳
2023/100.44-94.9783511.39.8400.369.269.45餘屋銷售
2023/98.821633080.01336140.09.35377.868.8211.45建案過戶入帳
2023/80.08.0-63.510.54-72.630.064305.73租賃收入
2023/70.0-5.66-84.270.54-72.640.064717.95租賃收入
2023/60.00.0-70.390.53-72.620.53191.8租賃收入
2023/50.0-99.9-70.390.53-72.620.53191.8租賃收入
2023/40.53100249.099.440.53-72.620.53191.79餘屋銷售
2023/30.0-1.85-99.960.0-99.90.059450.0租賃收入
2023/20.01.88-69.830.0-98.731.3471.23租賃收入
2023/10.0-99.96-99.360.0-99.361.3471.23租賃收入
2022/121.33247002.0-86.393.29-77.931.3468.45公設景觀工程收入入帳
2022/110.01.88-99.791.96-61.730.052838.15租賃收入
2022/100.0-19.69-99.881.96-59.650.034235.96租賃收入
2022/90.0-55.4-67.961.96-55.310.0115661.65租賃收入
2022/80.0-53.45-27.81.96-55.310.0112917.83租賃收入
2022/70.077.6554.361.96-55.320.0112325.44租賃收入
2022/60.00.0-99.191.95-55.370.27275.89租賃收入
2022/50.0-99.32-99.471.95-53.041.8739.96租賃收入
2022/40.27-83.353.891.95-48.921.8739.96餘屋銷售
2022/31.689130.76.121.68-53.811.6842.34建案過戶入帳
2022/20.0-97.84-99.90.08-96.039.897.2租賃收入
2022/10.08-99.15-67.880.08-67.8810.167.01餘屋銷售
2021/129.813603.331.314.93-9.2710.556.21建案過戶入帳
2021/110.26-43.9797.285.12-24.410.7488.58餘屋銷售
2021/100.4722845.651.494.85-26.870.48137.4餘屋銷售
2021/90.00.48-99.74.38-30.740.0110944.89租賃收入
2021/80.0-0.48-99.264.38-22.060.23299.6租賃收入
2021/70.0-99.06-99.734.38-18.050.56120.18租賃收入
2021/60.22-34.6324.94.38-4.30.7386.63餘屋銷售
2021/50.3495.38643.614.15-5.482.0231.49餘屋銷售
2021/40.17-88.48-76.133.82-12.283.5617.86餘屋銷售
2021/31.51-19.8761.433.640.513.6415.41餘屋銷售
2021/21.88626.51-23.992.14-20.5911.824.75餘屋銷售
2021/10.26-97.3217.60.2617.610.075.57餘屋銷售
2020/129.687111.56-13.6816.458.9410.135.62建案交屋入帳及餘屋銷售
2020/110.13-56.97-41.16.7774.221.1549.35餘屋銷售
2020/100.31-55.8718583.86.6481.411.343.9餘屋銷售
2020/90.71154.99434.776.3372.961.7533.65餘屋銷售
2020/80.28-63.95-52.915.6259.381.2248.22餘屋銷售
2020/70.77334.27204.335.3481.910.9959.48餘屋銷售
2020/60.18289.158.974.5770.380.9560.59餘屋銷售
2020/50.05-93.72-95.314.3970.871.733.73餘屋銷售
2020/40.73-22.12139.54.35171.754.1313.92餘屋銷售
2020/30.93-62.27197.963.62179.293.6215.39餘屋銷售
2020/22.471024.08235.832.69173.3513.914.01餘屋銷售
2020/10.22-98.03-11.560.22-11.560.0N/A餘屋銷售
2019/1211.224820.881593.0615.1-17.30.0N/A建案過戶入帳及餘屋銷售
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.422023/10.02022/10.082021/10.262020/10.22
2024/20.422023/20.02022/20.02021/21.882020/22.47
2024/31.252023/30.02022/31.62021/31.512020/30.93
2024/419.262023/40.532022/40.272021/40.172020/40.73
2024/56.232023/50.02022/50.02021/50.342020/50.05
2024/63.372023/60.02022/60.02021/60.222020/60.18
2024/70.572023/70.02022/70.02021/70.02020/70.77
2024/80.382023/80.02022/80.02021/80.02020/80.28
2024/914.242023/98.822022/90.02021/90.02020/90.71
2024/100.012023/100.442022/100.02021/100.472020/100.31
2024/110.032023/1122.922022/110.02021/110.262020/110.13
N/AN/A2023/121.292022/121.332021/129.812020/129.68
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 96.49%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)11.4-19.66-45.64
24Q2 (19)14.19-23.42-24.24
24Q1 (18)18.5311.769.58
23Q4 (17)16.58-20.932.16
23Q3 (16)20.9711.9635.55
23Q2 (15)18.7310.7628.38
23Q1 (14)16.914.1923.07
22Q4 (13)16.234.9122.49
22Q3 (12)15.476.035.96
22Q2 (11)14.596.199.7
22Q1 (10)13.743.719.27
21Q4 (9)13.25-9.2516.95
21Q3 (8)14.69.7747.18
21Q2 (7)13.315.4566.67
21Q1 (6)11.521.6887.93
20Q4 (5)11.3314.21136.53
20Q3 (4)9.9224.310.0
20Q2 (3)7.9830.180.0
20Q1 (2)6.1327.970.0
19Q4 (1)4.790.00.0

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