玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.43-8.0-1.3157.2516.0718.34N/A-
2024/95.9-15.7919.0851.8218.2619.660.39-
2024/87.013.7836.0845.9218.1519.440.4-
2024/76.7518.9228.3238.9115.4118.640.41-
2024/65.68-8.572.4332.1513.0318.080.38-
2024/56.210.4-5.9426.4715.5917.910.38-
2024/46.1912.2413.9720.2624.3214.680.47-
2024/35.5184.6322.514.0829.4814.080.44-
2024/22.98-46.51.368.5734.4213.310.47-
2024/15.5817.5862.835.5862.8315.660.4主要係客戶調節拉貨所致。
2023/124.75-11.06-17.9759.4-38.9115.580.32-
2023/115.34-3.01-27.7954.65-40.2315.790.32-
2023/105.511.01-41.4949.32-41.3315.610.32-
2023/94.96-3.77-46.8343.81-41.3115.370.5-
2023/85.15-2.13-53.1738.86-40.5215.960.48主要係客戶需求趨緩所致。
2023/75.26-5.06-54.333.71-37.9617.410.44主要係客戶調節拉貨所致。
2023/65.54-16.05-29.428.45-33.5617.570.47-
2023/56.621.666.5722.9-34.516.530.5-
2023/45.4320.6324.8116.3-43.3412.870.64-
2023/34.552.77-53.1910.87-55.4810.870.94主要係客戶需求趨緩所致。
2023/22.94-14.05-54.826.37-56.9712.160.84主要係客戶需求趨緩所致。
2023/13.43-40.76-58.653.43-58.6516.60.61主要係因春節假期工作日減少及客戶調節拉貨所致。
2022/125.79-21.71-37.5697.24-10.6522.580.55-
2022/117.39-21.41-24.3691.45-8.1426.120.47-
2022/109.40.8819.1384.06-6.3829.730.42-
2022/99.32-15.25-1.8874.66-8.8431.840.46-
2022/811.0-4.4922.9565.33-9.7530.370.48-
2022/711.5246.6621.8954.33-14.3625.570.57-
2022/67.8526.72-13.1742.82-20.7118.40.73-
2022/56.242.5-27.6334.97-22.2220.160.67-
2022/44.35-54.76-55.1228.77-20.9520.480.65本月及本年累計營收較去年同期減少,主要係因客戶拉貨較為緩慢所致。
2022/39.6147.45-10.2424.42-8.5524.420.54-
2022/26.52-21.34-12.8114.81-7.4224.070.55-
2022/18.29-10.55-2.78.29-2.727.330.49-
2021/129.27-5.16-23.77108.83-2.8726.930.48-
2021/119.7723.78-22.3499.56-0.3327.170.48-
2021/107.89-16.91-22.7589.792.8326.340.49-
2021/99.56.19-19.4781.96.2227.90.45-
2021/88.95-5.31-16.9272.410.8727.440.46-
2021/79.454.46-19.3363.4516.3527.060.46-
2021/69.045.61-12.8254.026.1227.30.37-
2021/58.56-11.63-9.1744.9638.5828.960.35-
2021/49.69-9.514.9936.458.1427.880.36本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2021/310.7143.2377.6126.7193.7326.710.55本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2021/27.48-12.22110.6116.0106.2628.150.52本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2021/18.52-29.93102.598.52102.5933.260.44本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/1212.16-3.38149.09112.06111.9734.960.28本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/1112.5823.12140.6499.9108.234.60.28本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/1010.22-13.3769.3287.32104.2332.790.3本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/911.89.55146.5377.1109.9734.280.34本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/810.77-8.06118.7465.3104.4932.860.35本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/711.7112.9147.6354.53101.8931.520.37本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/610.3710.03179.8642.8292.1829.030.39本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/59.432.14142.8632.4474.6824.690.46本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致
2020/49.2353.08142.4723.0156.6718.810.6本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/36.0369.8347.613.7826.6513.780.72-
2020/23.55-15.5650.647.7514.0712.640.78本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨數量增加所致。
2020/14.2-13.84-5.334.2-5.3314.310.69-
2019/124.88-6.6520.1552.86-2.540.0N/A-
2019/115.23-13.3611.7547.98-4.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.582023/13.432022/18.292021/18.522020/14.2
2024/22.982023/22.942022/26.522021/27.482020/23.55
2024/35.512023/34.52022/39.612021/310.712020/36.03
2024/46.192023/45.432022/44.352021/49.692020/49.23
2024/56.212023/56.62022/56.22021/58.562020/59.43
2024/65.682023/65.542022/67.852021/69.042020/610.37
2024/76.752023/75.262022/711.522021/79.452020/711.71
2024/87.012023/85.152022/811.02021/88.952020/810.77
2024/95.92023/94.962022/99.322021/99.52020/911.8
2024/105.432023/105.52022/109.42021/107.892020/1010.22
N/AN/A2023/115.342022/117.392021/119.772020/1112.58
N/AN/A2023/124.752022/125.792021/129.272020/1212.16
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.23%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.030.0-57.14
24Q2 (19)0.03-40.0-25.0
24Q1 (18)0.0566.6766.67
23Q4 (17)0.03-57.1450.0
23Q3 (16)0.0775.040.0
23Q2 (15)0.0433.33-33.33
23Q1 (14)0.0350.0-25.0
22Q4 (13)0.02-60.0-50.0
22Q3 (12)0.05-16.670.0
22Q2 (11)0.0650.020.0
22Q1 (10)0.040.0300.0
21Q4 (9)0.04-20.0-20.0
21Q3 (8)0.050.0-28.57
21Q2 (7)0.05400.0-44.44
21Q1 (6)0.01-80.0-91.67
20Q4 (5)0.05-28.57-44.44
20Q3 (4)0.07-22.220.0
20Q2 (3)0.09-25.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.1233.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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