玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.33-0.29-10.5246.78-7.9213.54N/A-
2024/94.35-10.49-17.7742.44-7.6514.170.24-
2024/84.86-2.29-13.438.1-6.3414.710.23-
2024/74.971.72-7.8333.24-5.2115.270.22-
2024/64.89-9.67-6.4328.27-4.7315.080.24-
2024/55.4113.12-2.0923.38-4.3714.580.25-
2024/44.788.990.0217.97-5.0312.650.29-
2024/34.3926.11-8.0113.19-6.7513.190.29-
2024/23.48-34.67-27.848.8-6.113.830.28-
2024/15.335.9516.895.3316.8915.250.25-
2023/125.032.531.8760.73-22.4814.770.23-
2023/114.91.19-14.855.71-24.1215.030.23-
2023/104.84-8.37-7.7250.81-24.9115.740.22-
2023/95.29-5.73-15.345.96-26.3516.290.25-
2023/85.613.98-10.5240.68-27.5816.220.25-
2023/75.393.27-13.0835.07-29.7316.140.25-
2023/65.22-5.47-28.1829.67-32.0915.530.26-
2023/55.5215.56-17.0524.45-32.8715.080.26-
2023/44.780.22-36.4718.93-36.4114.370.28-
2023/34.77-1.07-39.1714.15-36.3914.150.3-
2023/24.825.84-33.929.38-34.8814.310.3-
2023/14.56-7.65-35.874.56-35.8715.240.28-
2022/124.93-14.25-40.6778.35-10.3615.940.25-
2022/115.759.6-27.3473.42-7.1717.240.23-
2022/105.25-15.89-28.2667.66-4.9217.760.22-
2022/96.24-0.42-14.8762.41-2.2518.710.24-
2022/86.271.01-14.1556.17-0.6119.740.23-
2022/76.21-14.67-13.1849.91.3920.140.23-
2022/67.279.17-5.3543.73.8721.460.25-
2022/56.66-11.48-8.0336.435.9322.030.24-
2022/47.53-4.036.1929.779.6622.660.24-
2022/37.847.463.7522.2410.8822.240.25-
2022/27.32.7136.0814.415.1922.720.25-
2022/17.1-14.58-0.497.1-0.4923.340.24-
2021/128.325.0119.1387.4121.623.550.22-
2021/117.928.228.4579.0921.8722.570.23-
2021/107.32-0.194.0971.1721.1821.950.24-
2021/97.330.413.4163.8523.521.780.23-
2021/87.32.1610.1656.5226.722.130.23-
2021/77.15-6.9720.8549.2229.5822.070.23-
2021/67.686.0714.342.0731.1922.010.22-
2021/57.242.216.334.3935.6821.890.22-
2021/47.09-6.2327.9627.1441.9920.010.24-
2021/37.5640.9537.2820.0647.7120.060.24-
2021/25.36-24.8969.7712.554.8219.480.25訂單增加致出貨量增加
2021/17.142.2645.227.1445.2220.280.24-
2020/126.9813.234.0571.87-5.5320.180.2-
2020/116.16-12.31-5.1964.89-6.4620.290.2-
2020/107.03-0.83-7.358.73-6.5920.750.19-
2020/97.096.963.551.7-6.519.630.19-
2020/86.6312.080.644.61-7.9119.260.2-
2020/75.91-12.02-10.1237.98-9.2518.860.2-
2020/66.727.9319.4132.07-9.0918.490.22-
2020/56.2312.4513.3225.34-14.5117.270.23-
2020/45.540.59-3.7819.12-20.8414.20.28-
2020/35.5174.31-11.0213.58-26.1813.580.34-
2020/23.16-35.75-46.768.07-33.8614.780.31-
2020/14.92-26.72-21.674.92-21.6718.130.25-
2019/126.713.162.7276.096.70.0N/A-
2019/116.5-14.27-14.1669.387.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.332023/14.562022/17.12021/17.142020/14.92
2024/23.482023/24.822022/27.32021/25.362020/23.16
2024/34.392023/34.772022/37.842021/37.562020/35.51
2024/44.782023/44.782022/47.532021/47.092020/45.54
2024/55.412023/55.522022/56.662021/57.242020/56.23
2024/64.892023/65.222022/67.272021/67.682020/66.72
2024/74.972023/75.392022/76.212021/77.152020/75.91
2024/84.862023/85.612022/86.272021/87.32020/86.63
2024/94.352023/95.292022/96.242021/97.332020/97.09
2024/104.332023/104.842022/105.252021/107.322020/107.03
N/AN/A2023/114.92022/115.752021/117.922020/116.16
N/AN/A2023/125.032022/124.932021/128.322020/126.98
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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