玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/119.122.8310.9493.5316.9526.78N/A-
2024/108.870.8214.8484.4117.6426.38N/A-
2024/98.790.8314.3775.5417.9826.120.0-
2024/88.721.3917.3966.7518.4725.590.0-
2024/78.64.0321.3858.0218.6425.310.0-
2024/68.27-2.0416.7949.4218.1725.240.0-
2024/58.44-1.0119.341.1518.4525.240.0-
2024/48.533.1319.732.7118.2424.30.0-
2024/38.2710.1415.7224.1917.7324.190.0-
2024/27.51-10.789.6915.9218.824.370.0-
2024/18.41-0.3928.38.4128.325.080.0-
2023/128.452.7719.288.4111.2224.390.0-
2023/118.226.4415.5279.9710.4423.630.0-
2023/107.720.4114.8871.759.8922.840.0-
2023/97.693.59.4964.039.3122.20.0-
2023/87.434.846.2456.349.2921.590.0-
2023/77.090.094.7148.919.7721.240.0-
2023/67.080.057.2741.8210.6721.280.0-
2023/57.07-0.6710.0534.7411.3921.340.0-
2023/47.12-0.2810.0427.6711.7421.110.0-
2023/37.144.49.1820.5412.3520.540.0-
2023/26.844.3418.9913.414.1120.490.0-
2023/16.56-7.459.436.569.4320.760.0-
2022/127.09-0.416.6879.4928.6620.920.0-
2022/117.115.8520.072.429.9720.860.0-
2022/106.72-4.2923.1565.2931.1620.740.0-
2022/97.020.4328.9858.5732.1420.780.0-
2022/86.993.3233.2951.5532.5920.360.0-
2022/76.772.5427.8844.5532.4819.80.0-
2022/66.62.6531.5937.7933.3319.50.0-
2022/56.43-0.6834.2231.1933.7119.440.0-
2022/46.47-1.0633.6124.7633.5818.770.0-
2022/36.5413.7737.1418.2933.5618.290.0-
2022/25.75-4.0334.3711.7431.6517.810.0-
2022/15.99-1.3229.145.9929.1417.990.0-
2021/126.072.4232.5161.7821.1117.460.0-
2021/115.938.6230.6355.7119.9816.830.0-
2021/105.460.2329.8349.7818.8316.150.0-
2021/95.443.7820.9944.3217.615.980.0-
2021/85.25-0.8617.7238.8817.1415.550.0-
2021/75.295.5118.7533.6317.0515.10.0-
2021/65.014.7113.9928.3416.7414.650.0-
2021/54.79-1.1315.4123.3217.3514.40.0-
2021/44.841.5411.8418.5317.8613.890.0-
2021/34.7711.4820.9413.6920.1613.690.0-
2021/24.28-7.7725.338.9219.7413.50.0-
2021/14.641.2515.014.6415.0113.760.0-
2020/124.580.975.0551.01-4.1813.320.0-
2020/114.547.956.3746.43-5.013.240.0-
2020/104.2-6.580.5741.89-6.0913.160.0-
2020/94.50.976.6537.69-6.7813.410.0-
2020/84.460.0-1.1633.19-8.3413.310.0-
2020/74.461.29-6.5228.73-9.3713.00.0-
2020/64.46.01-7.3724.27-9.8712.880.0-
2020/54.15-4.19-11.119.87-10.412.430.0-
2020/44.339.81-7.215.72-10.2211.690.0-
2020/33.9415.52-12.0911.39-11.3211.390.0-
2020/23.41-15.36-14.677.45-10.911.810.0-
2020/14.03-7.51-7.444.03-7.440.0N/A-
2019/124.362.248.7753.2334.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.412023/16.562022/15.992021/14.642020/14.03
2024/27.512023/26.842022/25.752021/24.282020/23.41
2024/38.272023/37.142022/36.542021/34.772020/33.94
2024/48.532023/47.122022/46.472021/44.842020/44.33
2024/58.442023/57.072022/56.432021/54.792020/54.15
2024/68.272023/67.082022/66.62021/65.012020/64.4
2024/78.62023/77.092022/76.772021/75.292020/74.46
2024/88.722023/87.432022/86.992021/85.252020/84.46
2024/98.792023/97.692022/97.022021/95.442020/94.5
2024/108.872023/107.722022/106.722021/105.462020/104.2
2024/119.122023/118.222022/117.112021/115.932020/114.54
N/AN/A2023/128.452022/127.092021/126.072020/124.58
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2-4.7611.11
24Q2 (19)0.215.0-16.0
24Q1 (18)0.20.0-13.04
23Q4 (17)0.211.1125.0
23Q3 (16)0.18-28.0-10.0
23Q2 (15)0.258.747.06
23Q1 (14)0.2343.7553.33
22Q4 (13)0.16-20.06.67
22Q3 (12)0.217.6511.11
22Q2 (11)0.1713.33-15.0
22Q1 (10)0.150.015.38
21Q4 (9)0.15-16.67-25.0
21Q3 (8)0.18-10.012.5
21Q2 (7)0.253.8525.0
21Q1 (6)0.13-35.0-31.58
20Q4 (5)0.225.042.86
20Q3 (4)0.160.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.16-15.790.0
20Q1 (2)0.1935.710.0
19Q4 (1)0.140.00.0

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