玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.62.99-1.4764.474.3620.01N/A-
2024/96.41-8.53-7.7357.875.0819.991.02-
2024/87.06.48-17.8951.476.9219.491.04-
2024/76.5811.3814.6344.4612.2719.431.04-
2024/65.91-14.950.5437.8911.8719.621.04-
2024/56.942.5817.1931.9814.2520.610.99-
2024/46.77-1.8423.9425.0413.4617.911.14-
2024/36.962.48-2.4518.2710.0118.271.19-
2024/24.24-40.46-25.4211.3719.2617.421.24-
2024/17.1317.8685.437.1385.4321.21.02112年1月逢農曆過年工作天數為15天,相較113年1月工作天數較少,導致本年度營收較去年同期增加。
2023/126.05-24.63-3.6875.85-16.0420.771.02-
2023/118.0219.8410.9669.8-16.9621.660.97-
2023/106.7-3.55-12.861.77-19.5922.170.95-
2023/96.94-18.61-10.1255.08-20.3421.210.92-
2023/88.5348.6812.8948.13-21.6320.140.97-
2023/75.74-2.3-29.3739.6-26.4717.541.11-
2023/65.87-0.87-26.1533.87-25.9617.261.19-
2023/55.928.49-26.1827.99-25.9218.461.12-
2023/45.46-22.75-15.4122.07-25.8418.221.13-
2023/37.0724.21-23.3616.61-28.7316.611.22-
2023/25.6948.04-11.219.54-32.2615.821.28-
2023/13.84-38.77-49.863.84-49.8617.361.17-
2022/126.28-13.17-21.2690.344.5321.190.93-
2022/117.23-5.83-13.7884.067.1522.640.87-
2022/107.68-0.595.5576.839.6622.960.86-
2022/97.732.2314.5669.1510.1323.410.93-
2022/87.56-6.98-3.0861.429.623.630.92-
2022/78.122.146.6853.8611.6524.10.9-
2022/67.95-0.917.2945.7412.5822.441.03-
2022/58.0324.3312.9537.7913.7723.710.97-
2022/46.46-30.01-13.3429.7613.9922.091.04-
2022/39.2343.918.2523.324.923.30.91-
2022/26.41-16.3944.6114.0829.6922.050.96-
2022/17.67-3.8519.397.6719.3924.030.88-
2021/127.98-4.9222.0586.4249.3623.640.91-
2021/118.3915.2948.4478.4452.8422.410.96去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/107.287.8845.4770.0653.3821.820.98去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/96.74-13.5113.0762.7854.3522.160.94去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/87.82.3963.1956.0461.4522.830.91去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/77.622.7352.2348.2461.1722.130.94去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/67.414.3166.4640.6262.9621.970.82去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/57.11-4.6192.8133.2162.222.360.8去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/47.45-4.575.5126.1155.4919.680.91去年同期因受疫情影響,需求較少;本年度需求量恢復,加上原料上漲,單位售價調升,導致本年度營收較去年同期大幅成長。
2021/37.875.9847.8518.6648.7118.660.89-
2021/24.43-30.9820.4410.8649.3417.390.96-
2021/16.42-1.7178.966.4278.9618.610.89市場需求熱絡且109年1月逢農曆過年工作天數較少.
2020/126.5315.6315.4657.86-7.617.190.77-
2020/115.6512.98-8.2651.32-9.916.620.79-
2020/105.0-16.14-11.7445.67-10.115.740.84-
2020/95.9624.826.6740.67-9.8915.740.84-
2020/84.78-4.48-6.2734.71-12.2314.230.93-
2020/75.012.33-1.2229.93-13.1113.141.01-
2020/64.4520.817.724.93-15.1612.381.22-
2020/53.69-13.17-26.3220.48-18.9113.211.14-
2020/44.24-19.55-18.2116.79-17.0813.21.14-
2020/35.2843.36-1.3512.54-16.6812.541.3-
2020/23.682.555.277.27-25.1312.931.26-
2020/13.59-36.58-42.243.59-42.2415.411.06-
2019/125.66-8.1211.3962.62-18.750.0N/A-
2019/116.168.69-6.9756.96-20.880.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.132023/13.842022/17.672021/16.422020/13.59
2024/24.242023/25.692022/26.412021/24.432020/23.68
2024/36.92023/37.072022/39.232021/37.82020/35.28
2024/46.772023/45.462022/46.462021/47.452020/44.24
2024/56.942023/55.922022/58.032021/57.112020/53.69
2024/65.912023/65.872022/67.952021/67.412020/64.45
2024/76.582023/75.742022/78.122021/77.622020/75.0
2024/87.02023/88.532022/87.562021/87.82020/84.78
2024/96.412023/96.942022/97.732021/96.742020/95.96
2024/106.62023/106.72022/107.682021/107.282020/105.0
N/AN/A2023/118.022022/117.232021/118.392020/115.65
N/AN/A2023/126.052022/126.282021/127.982020/126.53
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.125.0-73.68
24Q2 (19)0.08-20.0-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.1100.0-16.67
23Q4 (17)0.05-86.84-54.55
23Q3 (16)0.38137.5-11.63
23Q2 (15)0.1633.33-60.98
23Q1 (14)0.129.09200.0
22Q4 (13)0.11-74.42175.0
22Q3 (12)0.434.88760.0
22Q2 (11)0.41925.0720.0
22Q1 (10)0.040.0-94.12
21Q4 (9)0.04-20.0-76.47
21Q3 (8)0.050.0-44.44
21Q2 (7)0.05-92.650.0
21Q1 (6)0.68300.01260.0
20Q4 (5)0.1788.89183.33
20Q3 (4)0.0980.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.050.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05-16.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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