玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.53-1.09-3.5634.03-6.310.6N/A0.645.05-
2024/93.561.46-7.3230.5-6.6110.730.310.54.41-
2024/83.51-3.94-11.5226.94-6.5210.390.320.373.91-
2024/73.6613.72-6.8423.43-5.7210.330.320.653.54-
2024/63.22-7.01-20.7219.77-5.510.280.350.412.89-
2024/53.46-4.13-7.9816.55-1.8510.50.340.552.49-
2024/43.615.063.4313.1-0.099.770.370.641.94-
2024/33.4325.9-6.19.49-1.369.490.380.561.3-
2024/22.73-18.0-3.566.051.539.080.40.290.74-
2024/13.339.826.133.336.139.650.380.450.45-
2023/123.03-7.98-3.2142.649.639.980.340.265.89-
2023/113.29-9.955.0839.6110.7610.790.310.45.64-
2023/103.66-4.9525.5736.3211.311.470.290.545.24-
2023/93.85-3.1371.2232.679.9111.740.330.624.7客戶訂單增加所致
2023/83.971.1357.0728.824.8911.950.320.644.08客戶訂單增加所致
2023/73.93-3.2156.9424.85-0.3811.740.330.633.44客戶訂單增加所致
2023/64.067.9242.5820.92-6.7711.30.330.652.81-
2023/53.767.75-2.1316.87-13.9410.90.340.62.16-
2023/43.49-4.62-8.1113.11-16.829.970.380.461.56-
2023/33.6629.31-11.519.62-19.589.620.370.51.1-
2023/22.83-9.75-25.075.96-23.849.090.390.260.6-
2023/13.130.13-22.713.13-22.719.40.380.340.34-
2022/123.13-0.08-20.8638.89-13.829.170.40.374.72-
2022/113.137.6-22.0935.76-13.158.290.440.324.35-
2022/102.9129.59-21.3532.63-12.187.690.470.294.03-
2022/92.25-11.14-42.3329.72-11.177.280.530.153.74-
2022/82.531.04-36.4827.47-7.067.870.490.123.58-
2022/72.5-12.06-36.2724.95-2.489.190.420.133.47-
2022/62.84-25.91-20.6922.443.6310.480.420.363.34-
2022/53.841.164.6919.68.4611.770.370.582.98-
2022/43.8-8.153.8515.769.4211.70.370.662.4-
2022/34.139.513.4411.9611.3211.960.350.631.74-
2022/23.77-6.9115.667.8310.2311.780.350.521.12-
2022/14.052.535.614.055.6112.030.350.60.6-
2021/123.95-1.6316.2845.135.0511.680.30.577.51-
2021/114.028.6112.9941.184.0911.620.310.656.94-
2021/103.7-4.979.8537.163.2111.580.310.646.28-
2021/93.9-2.125.9833.462.5211.80.330.725.65-
2021/83.981.3911.9229.562.0811.490.330.674.93-
2021/73.939.429.3625.580.7111.180.340.724.25-
2021/63.59-2.194.6721.66-0.7110.910.320.643.53-
2021/53.670.341.8818.07-1.7110.970.320.552.89-
2021/43.660.32-3.0914.4-2.5910.560.330.592.34-
2021/33.6411.65-3.4710.75-2.4110.750.290.541.74-
2021/23.26-15.01-9.57.1-1.8710.50.30.511.2-
2021/13.8412.95.713.845.7110.80.290.690.69-
2020/123.4-4.42-6.7742.96-5.1810.330.280.517.02-
2020/113.565.59-4.0339.56-5.0410.60.270.616.51-
2020/103.37-8.32-10.0136.0-5.1410.60.270.535.91-
2020/93.683.36-1.9232.63-4.610.820.240.615.38-
2020/83.56-0.93-9.0328.96-4.9310.570.250.514.76-
2020/73.594.73-10.0625.4-4.3310.620.250.64.25-
2020/63.43-4.81-8.2221.81-3.3110.80.280.453.65-
2020/53.6-4.55-5.4418.38-2.3411.150.270.633.2-
2020/43.77-0.06-0.7214.78-1.5611.150.270.652.57-
2020/33.774.67-0.7811.01-1.8411.010.320.691.92-
2020/23.61-0.717.257.24-2.3810.890.330.561.23-
2020/13.63-0.42-10.373.63-10.3710.990.320.670.67-
2019/123.65-1.61-6.0245.312.670.0N/A0.597.32-
2019/113.71-0.98-7.9941.663.510.0N/A0.76.73-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.332023/13.132022/14.052021/13.842020/13.63
2024/22.732023/22.832022/23.772021/23.262020/23.61
2024/33.432023/33.662022/34.132021/33.642020/33.77
2024/43.612023/43.492022/43.82021/43.662020/43.77
2024/53.462023/53.762022/53.842021/53.672020/53.6
2024/63.222023/64.062022/62.842021/63.592020/63.43
2024/73.662023/73.932022/72.52021/73.932020/73.59
2024/83.512023/83.972022/82.532021/83.982020/83.56
2024/93.562023/93.852022/92.252021/93.92020/93.68
2024/103.532023/103.662022/102.912021/103.72020/103.37
N/AN/A2023/113.292022/113.132021/114.022020/113.56
N/AN/A2023/123.032022/123.132021/123.952020/123.4
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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