玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.9411.8351.957.233.872.65N/A基期較低
2024/90.84-2.1727.46.29-0.832.490.5-
2024/80.8610.6711.05.44-4.132.280.54-
2024/70.7822.336.084.58-6.532.170.57-
2024/60.64-15.13-13.43.8-12.171.950.53-
2024/50.7533.712.693.16-11.921.920.54-
2024/40.56-7.89-3.892.41-15.651.740.6-
2024/30.616.41-30.441.85-18.681.850.56-
2024/20.57-14.15-20.231.24-11.31.770.58-
2024/10.6726.81-1.870.67-1.871.610.64-
2023/120.5326.32-34.737.91-14.21.560.79-
2023/110.42-32.91-44.87.38-12.231.70.72-
2023/100.62-6.22-21.536.96-9.022.060.6-
2023/90.66-14.76-10.776.34-7.572.010.79-
2023/80.7835.683.415.68-7.182.090.77-
2023/70.57-22.17-22.484.9-8.672.040.78-
2023/60.740.63-18.254.33-6.462.050.78-
2023/50.7325.13-19.43.59-3.612.190.73-
2023/40.58-33.34-33.092.861.462.180.73-
2023/30.8822.03-6.122.2816.982.280.78-
2023/20.725.670.121.438.332.210.81基期較低
2023/10.68-15.6415.530.6815.532.240.79-
2022/120.816.835.749.2117.122.350.79-
2022/110.76-4.64-2.068.4118.342.290.81-
2022/100.796.6311.547.6520.832.290.81-
2022/90.74-1.213.146.8622.02.230.82-
2022/80.751.785.076.1224.772.390.77基期較低
2022/70.74-17.9350.055.3719.332.550.72基期較低
2022/60.9-0.77111.34.6315.552.680.72基期較低
2022/50.913.8628.93.734.142.720.71-
2022/40.87-6.464.542.82-1.912.230.86-
2022/30.93121.159.341.95-4.561.951.18-
2022/20.42-28.28-11.421.01-14.591.771.3-
2022/10.59-22.79-16.730.59-16.732.121.08-
2021/120.76-1.06-9.857.8727.572.240.96-
2021/110.778.61-8.547.133.522.20.98-
2021/100.71-1.4-16.416.3341.451.841.17-
2021/90.7277.26-8.075.6254.991.621.31基期較低
2021/80.41-17.54-34.834.972.351.321.6基期較低
2021/70.4915.560.394.5102.421.621.31基期較低
2021/60.43-39.460.64.0131.331.971.07基期較低
2021/50.7-15.76285.673.58173.692.390.88基期較低
2021/40.84-2.164632.612.87155.522.170.97基期較低
2021/30.8579.14253.742.0484.112.040.78基期較低
2021/20.48-32.5812.071.1836.792.030.78-
2021/10.71-16.460.680.7160.682.40.66基期較低
2020/120.850.3762.786.1712.252.540.49基期較低
2020/110.84-0.7269.655.326.972.480.5基期較低
2020/100.858.43104.834.480.012.260.55比較基期低
2020/90.7825.66105.643.63-10.681.90.65比較基期低
2020/80.6227.0227.842.84-22.711.540.81-
2020/70.4915.8-4.792.22-30.431.11.13-
2020/60.42132.0530.31.73-35.360.621.7-
2020/50.18933.69-61.281.31-44.430.442.4因應防疫規定減少工作日數
2020/40.02-92.68-96.271.12-40.210.681.55配合當地政府防疫政策停工
2020/30.24-43.24-52.531.11-21.331.110.84配合當地政府防疫政策停工
2020/20.43-3.3413.320.87-3.661.390.67-
2020/10.44-15.31-15.850.44-15.851.460.64-
2019/120.524.66.745.49-6.840.0N/A-
2019/110.519.8617.144.97-8.060.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.672023/10.682022/10.592021/10.712020/10.44
2024/20.572023/20.722022/20.422021/20.482020/20.43
2024/30.612023/30.882022/30.932021/30.852020/30.24
2024/40.562023/40.582022/40.872021/40.842020/40.02
2024/50.752023/50.732022/50.912021/50.72020/50.18
2024/60.642023/60.742022/60.92021/60.432020/60.42
2024/70.782023/70.572022/70.742021/70.492020/70.49
2024/80.862023/80.782022/80.752021/80.412020/80.62
2024/90.842023/90.662022/90.742021/90.722020/90.78
2024/100.942023/100.622022/100.792021/100.712020/100.85
N/AN/A2023/110.422022/110.762021/110.772020/110.84
N/AN/A2023/120.532022/120.812021/120.762020/120.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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