玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.66-17.213.2541.883.6912.62N/A-
2024/94.42-2.5725.4138.223.7413.680.75-
2024/84.54-3.8113.4433.81.4413.920.74-
2024/74.721.2416.3929.26-0.1813.860.74-
2024/64.664.010.6824.54-2.8413.60.72-
2024/54.480.4212.1919.88-5.5512.750.77-
2024/44.4617.2511.5215.4-9.7110.760.91-
2024/33.8152.45-22.6510.94-16.2110.940.9-
2024/22.5-46.18-41.277.13-12.3210.310.96-
2024/14.6445.8219.334.6419.3311.240.88-
2023/123.18-7.09-15.7746.99-33.8910.151.0-
2023/113.42-3.42-26.5243.81-34.910.490.97-
2023/103.540.55-34.140.38-35.5311.070.92-
2023/93.52-11.87-44.8536.84-35.6611.580.86-
2023/84.0-1.31-35.9333.31-34.5112.260.81-
2023/74.05-3.72-36.7329.31-34.3112.260.81-
2023/64.215.41-39.9825.26-33.912.20.87-
2023/53.99-0.17-38.6721.05-32.5312.910.82-
2023/44.0-18.68-26.9517.06-30.9113.170.8-
2023/34.9215.76-28.1413.06-32.0413.060.88-
2023/24.259.36-19.048.14-34.211.910.96-
2023/13.892.91-45.383.89-45.3812.320.93-
2022/123.78-18.95-42.5371.08-8.3613.810.95-
2022/114.66-13.38-30.3767.3-5.1916.430.8-
2022/105.38-15.85-25.5262.64-2.5718.020.73-
2022/96.392.370.3457.260.3219.040.67-
2022/86.24-2.543.1750.870.3219.670.65-
2022/76.41-8.66-2.6744.62-0.0619.930.64-
2022/67.027.71-3.4938.220.3819.010.66-
2022/56.5118.89-1.9131.21.318.840.67-
2022/45.48-20.0-12.9724.692.1817.570.72-
2022/36.8530.421.719.217.5219.210.66-
2022/25.25-26.2111.3412.3711.0318.940.67-
2022/17.128.2910.817.1210.8120.380.62-
2021/126.57-1.81-3.377.5626.120.480.64-
2021/116.69-7.346.170.9929.7520.280.64-
2021/107.2213.3732.3664.332.8319.640.66-
2021/96.375.25-2.8457.0832.8919.010.67-
2021/86.05-8.066.6250.7139.3319.90.64-
2021/76.58-9.4314.6944.6545.3720.490.62-
2021/67.279.4738.4338.0752.4220.20.47市場需求增加
2021/56.645.4943.1230.856.1519.670.48市場需求增加
2021/46.29-6.5153.2624.1660.1517.740.54市場需求增加
2021/36.7342.7850.4117.8762.7317.870.53市場需求增加
2021/24.71-26.56101.3511.1471.2117.930.52市場需求增加
2021/16.42-5.554.256.4254.2519.520.48市場需求增加
2020/126.797.7340.4161.5117.718.560.44-
2020/116.3115.5945.0754.7115.3818.320.45-
2020/105.46-16.7836.2248.412.3817.690.46-
2020/96.5615.5155.8542.959.9417.970.43主係歐美各地自行車市場銷售暢旺所致。
2020/85.68-1.140.7836.394.416.670.46-
2020/75.749.318.5930.72-0.3515.630.49-
2020/65.2513.1818.8624.98-3.8814.00.62-
2020/54.6412.9714.0419.73-8.5413.220.65-
2020/44.11-8.25-7.6615.09-13.7910.920.79-
2020/34.4891.14-2.5710.98-15.8810.980.73-
2020/22.34-43.74-27.486.5-23.111.340.71-
2020/14.16-13.98-20.44.16-20.413.350.6-
2019/124.8411.34.052.262.840.0N/A-
2019/114.358.541.5747.422.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.642023/13.892022/17.122021/16.422020/14.16
2024/22.52023/24.252022/25.252021/24.712020/22.34
2024/33.812023/34.922022/36.852021/36.732020/34.48
2024/44.462023/44.02022/45.482021/46.292020/44.11
2024/54.482023/53.992022/56.512021/56.642020/54.64
2024/64.662023/64.212022/67.022021/67.272020/65.25
2024/74.722023/74.052022/76.412021/76.582020/75.74
2024/84.542023/84.02022/86.242021/86.052020/85.68
2024/94.422023/93.522022/96.392021/96.372020/96.56
2024/103.662023/103.542022/105.382021/107.222020/105.46
N/AN/A2023/113.422022/114.662021/116.692020/116.31
N/AN/A2023/123.182022/123.782021/126.572020/126.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.59%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2-23.0811.11
24Q2 (19)0.264.0-21.21
24Q1 (18)0.2513.64-7.41
23Q4 (17)0.2222.22-31.25
23Q3 (16)0.18-45.45-59.09
23Q2 (15)0.3322.22-47.62
23Q1 (14)0.27-15.62-57.14
22Q4 (13)0.32-27.27-63.64
22Q3 (12)0.44-30.16-68.79
22Q2 (11)0.630.0186.36
22Q1 (10)0.63-28.41-37.0
21Q4 (9)0.88-37.59-11.11
21Q3 (8)1.41540.91143.1
21Q2 (7)0.22-78.0144.44
21Q1 (6)1.01.01170.27
20Q4 (5)0.9970.69130.23
20Q3 (4)0.58544.440.0
20Q2 (3)0.09-75.680.0
20Q1 (2)0.37-13.950.0
19Q4 (1)0.430.00.0

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