玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4068.6745.830.000-100.064.91-40.99-31.280.000-100.011.19-60.25543.153.72-34.37-72.03
24Q2 (19)0.83277.27-81.960.000-100.0110.00-73.73455.560.000-100.028.159.362170.1681.85-79.17131.87
24Q1 (18)0.22-92.11-90.760.00-100.00418.751185.69995.920.00-100.0025.741379.31109.1393.01447.371417.41
23Q4 (17)2.79190.63160.752.22141.3032.57-65.52-61.5540.97-58.7501.740.0-83.5171.80-62.61-3.17
23Q3 (16)0.96-79.1323.080.92-83.09094.46377.07-19.0499.32493.3101.7440.32-87.94192.05444.0587.82
23Q2 (15)4.6093.28838.785.440019.80-48.18-89.3916.74001.24-89.93-94.1835.3036.29-78.64
23Q1 (14)2.38122.43226.030.000038.21-54.89-69.340.000012.3116.68183.6425.90-65.07-78.47
22Q4 (13)1.0737.18-31.850.000-100.084.70-27.4146.140.000-100.010.55-26.89-26.7474.15-27.4869.99
22Q3 (12)0.7859.185.410.000-100.0116.68-37.45-5.160.000-100.014.43-32.25249.39102.25-38.12-85.77
22Q2 (11)0.49-32.88-27.940.000-100.0186.5449.740.40.000-100.021.30390.78121.18165.2437.39-94.55
22Q1 (10)0.73-53.558.70.00-100.0-100.0124.61114.99-36.940.00-100.0-100.04.34-69.86-70.5120.27175.72-95.17
21Q4 (9)1.57112.16196.231352.00901233.3313519900.057.96-52.89-66.340.07-99.99-100.014.40248.67-90.5843.62-93.93-99.53
21Q3 (8)0.748.82-9.760.15400.00.0123.03-7.411.04599.74-79.40.064.13-57.11-92.73718.65-76.329.99
21Q2 (7)0.6847.830.00.03-25.0-88.46132.86-32.77-1.182911.1526.1725.559.63-34.53-89.763034.3721.79671.97
21Q1 (6)0.46-13.21-50.00.04300.0-92.59197.6114.76100.722308.65-75.231279.1214.71-90.38-78.222491.56-73.331156.46
20Q4 (5)0.53-35.37-41.760.01-93.33-98.7172.1955.4171.619321.991455.37742.83152.92169.27138.689341.261329.685921.18
20Q3 (4)0.8220.590.00.15-42.310.0110.80-17.580.0599.3769.970.056.79-39.590.0653.3866.220.0
20Q2 (3)0.68-26.090.00.26-51.850.0134.4436.560.0352.63110.650.094.0039.160.0393.0798.220.0
20Q1 (2)0.921.10.00.54-29.870.098.45-1.880.0167.4040.840.067.555.430.0198.3027.820.0
19Q4 (1)0.910.00.00.770.00.0100.340.00.0118.860.00.064.070.00.0155.140.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)7.65334.660.00047.71-76.990.0002.38-72.845.33-77.18
2022 (9)1.76-20.360.000207.3825.320.0008.75-31.37198.62-83.34
2021 (8)2.21-28.710.35-64.29165.4840.641039.21179.0312.75-84.081191.95190.73
2020 (7)3.10-16.890.98-69.75117.6620.22372.44230.6280.111.32409.99211.9
2019 (6)3.73-6.983.2411.7297.877.43112.65-10.4479.07-16.83131.457.91
2018 (5)4.01-22.292.9026.6491.1028.85125.78-21.0895.0710.17121.82-15.27
2017 (4)5.16-20.02.294.0970.7024.98159.37-4.186.2928.08143.77-7.47
2016 (3)6.45-52.712.20-39.0656.57111.48166.1864.3667.37113.74155.3761.27
2015 (2)13.64207.213.61128.4826.75-67.49101.11-56.1531.52-70.2696.34-53.43
2014 (1)4.4410.721.58-21.7882.27-9.68230.5927.69105.97-13.06206.8938.13

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