玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.3-5.13-6.362.9829.440.9N/A-
2024/90.317.0619.932.6935.140.950.01-
2024/80.29-15.284.882.3837.430.940.01-
2024/70.3414.4739.272.0843.660.940.01-
2024/60.32.5232.271.7444.560.880.0-
2024/50.290.6126.721.4447.420.890.0-
2024/40.29-5.2138.781.1553.830.830.0客戶調整存貨
2024/30.3133.0546.470.8659.730.860.0客戶調整存貨
2024/20.23-27.248.460.5568.270.850.0客戶調整存貨
2024/10.326.3886.390.3286.390.990.0客戶調整存貨
2023/120.3-20.2389.222.9811.330.990.0客戶調整存貨
2023/110.3718.29112.472.686.450.950.0客戶調整存貨
2023/100.3221.51108.752.3-1.510.850.0客戶調整存貨
2023/90.26-6.3644.051.99-9.140.780.03-
2023/80.2812.4828.841.73-13.930.750.03-
2023/70.258.72-3.431.45-19.070.710.03-
2023/60.23-1.77-12.631.2-21.670.670.03-
2023/50.2310.18-5.560.98-23.510.650.03-
2023/40.210.03-10.830.75-27.770.580.03-
2023/30.2134.86-26.340.54-32.780.540.04-
2023/20.16-8.6-27.070.33-36.360.480.04-
2023/10.177.99-43.00.17-43.00.50.04-
2022/120.16-10.42-46.472.67-30.60.480.04-
2022/110.1816.22-42.752.52-29.290.510.04-
2022/100.15-16.14-52.02.34-28.010.550.04客戶調整存貨
2022/90.18-16.25-43.072.19-25.430.650.0-
2022/80.22-15.69-32.032.01-23.30.730.0-
2022/70.26-1.63-21.371.79-22.090.760.0-
2022/60.266.17-16.121.54-22.210.740.0-
2022/50.244.03-26.651.28-23.350.770.0-
2022/40.24-17.36-26.711.03-22.520.730.0-
2022/30.2833.52-20.10.8-21.190.80.0-
2022/20.21-28.56-30.430.51-21.780.810.0-
2022/10.31.41-14.140.3-14.140.90.0-
2021/120.29-4.212.593.859.530.920.0-
2021/110.31-2.56-6.013.5610.150.940.0-
2021/100.32-0.53-19.943.2511.970.950.0-
2021/90.320.016.92.9416.980.960.0-
2021/80.32-2.46-39.042.6216.990.950.0-
2021/70.334.9316.622.333.980.970.0-
2021/60.31-7.1611.951.9837.340.970.0-
2021/50.333.9431.441.6743.391.010.0-
2021/40.32-9.928.671.3346.740.980.0-
2021/30.3616.2544.81.0153.591.010.0今年客戶訂單增加,故本年度營收成長
2021/20.31-11.8455.140.6558.830.940.0今年客戶訂單增加,故本年度營收成長
2021/10.3521.262.240.3562.240.960.0今年客戶訂單增加,故本年度營收成長
2020/120.29-12.2528.183.5266.431.010.0去年受中美貿易影響致基期較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,故本年度營收成長
2020/110.33-17.074.363.2370.960.990.0去年受中美貿易影響致基期較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,致兩期營收變動較大
2020/100.3945.24107.092.970.591.190.0本月營收增加係認列LED燈具工程收入,計11,219仟元
2020/90.27-47.8648.172.5165.991.070.0今年客戶訂單增加,營收成長
2020/80.5286.62199.082.2468.451.080.0本月營收增加係認列LED燈具工程收入,計27,480仟元
2020/70.280.7329.91.7248.760.810.0-
2020/60.288.9940.381.4453.070.780.0去年上半年受中美貿易影響致基期較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,致兩期營收變動較大
2020/50.251.7560.671.1656.430.750.0去年上半年受中美貿易影響致營收較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,致兩期營收變動較大
2020/40.251.3859.950.9155.290.690.0去年受中美貿易影響致營收較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,致兩期營收變動較大
2020/30.2524.5566.670.6653.590.660.0去年受中美貿易影響致營收較低,加上今年客戶訂單增加,致兩期營收變動較大
2020/20.2-7.8156.220.4146.710.640.0去年受中美貿易影響致營收較低
2020/10.21-4.2338.920.2138.920.630.0-
2019/120.2219.3666.322.119.780.0N/A受惠客戶年底拉貨,致本期營收上升
2019/110.19-1.4231.781.895.530.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.322023/10.172022/10.32021/10.352020/10.21
2024/20.232023/20.162022/20.212021/20.312020/20.2
2024/30.312023/30.212022/30.282021/30.362020/30.25
2024/40.292023/40.212022/40.242021/40.322020/40.25
2024/50.292023/50.232022/50.242021/50.332020/50.25
2024/60.32023/60.232022/60.262021/60.312020/60.28
2024/70.342023/70.252022/70.262021/70.332020/70.28
2024/80.292023/80.282022/80.222021/80.322020/80.52
2024/90.312023/90.262022/90.182021/90.322020/90.27
2024/100.32023/100.322022/100.152021/100.322020/100.39
N/AN/A2023/110.372022/110.182021/110.312020/110.33
N/AN/A2023/120.32022/120.162021/120.292020/120.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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