玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.120.86-37.471.73-26.940.36N/A-
2024/100.128.66-42.321.61-25.970.39N/A-
2024/90.11-26.14-64.171.48-24.170.511.21本月增減百分比達50%以上,係本期出貨認列收入減少所致。
2024/80.15-36.449.181.37-16.390.571.08-
2024/70.2438.4517.731.21-18.810.621.01-
2024/60.18-10.98-28.110.97-24.660.491.42-
2024/50.266.29-15.670.8-23.850.541.29-
2024/40.12-48.16-59.350.6-26.210.441.59因客戶交期延後導致能源產品出貨減少,故本月較去年相比減少達50%以上。
2024/30.23145.47-13.930.48-7.610.481.73-
2024/20.09-41.04-33.810.25-0.980.471.76-
2024/10.16-28.2839.940.1639.940.581.44-
2023/120.2210.2280.572.5924.350.640.72較去年單月增加50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2023/110.2-6.9633.172.3720.850.730.63-
2023/100.21-32.49-9.542.1719.830.670.68-
2023/90.32125.05110.651.9624.270.670.66較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因能源事業部出貨增加所致
2023/80.14-31.47-32.231.6415.090.590.74-
2023/70.21-15.46-0.741.523.230.680.64-
2023/60.244.4337.811.2928.190.770.9-
2023/50.23-19.8433.41.0426.130.790.87-
2023/40.299.7636.130.8124.180.70.99-
2023/30.2788.7655.310.5218.340.521.44較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因能源事業部出貨增加所致
2023/20.1424.663.160.25-5.270.382.0-
2023/10.11-7.45-14.040.11-14.040.391.95-
2022/120.12-18.7-2.582.08107.310.511.69較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/110.15-36.82.971.96122.960.541.6較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/100.2457.19111.691.81146.80.61.44較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/90.15-27.619.61.57153.140.571.11較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/80.210.37140.631.42187.210.591.06較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/70.2117.36139.011.21197.10.561.12較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/60.181.09322.131.01212.820.570.74較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/50.18-18.2273.740.83196.410.560.75較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/40.2125.22560.880.65180.820.520.8較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/30.1725.3893.880.44119.270.440.62較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/20.143.86169.20.27139.290.390.69較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2022/10.134.87114.530.13114.530.40.67本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/120.13-14.06118.011.078.960.381.25本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/110.1529.91326.630.8874.510.381.25本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/100.11-11.18128.250.7356.180.331.48本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因出貨恢復正常(疫情影響降低)以及新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/90.1345.65212.330.6247.750.31.13本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因出貨恢復正常(疫情影響降低)以及新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/80.09-0.29149.820.530.240.221.58本月較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因出貨恢復正常(疫情影響降低)以及新事業部門有出貨所致
2021/70.09107.292.690.4118.220.181.93-
2021/60.04-10.49-16.210.3223.270.120.91-
2021/50.0544.63-20.950.2832.660.170.66-
2021/40.03-63.2637.540.2353.680.170.64增加差異達50%以上係因去年初受新冠疫情影響出貨較少
2021/30.0974.09215.40.256.650.20.3增加差異達50%以上係因去年初受新冠疫情影響出貨較少
2021/20.05-17.2271.130.1112.150.170.35增加差異達50%以上係因去年初受新冠疫情影響出貨較少
2021/10.066.57-12.730.06-12.730.150.39-
2020/120.0668.1547.940.56-15.570.140.64-
2020/110.03-30.49-46.490.5-19.510.120.73-
2020/100.0521.53-32.30.47-16.450.120.72-
2020/90.0416.5-9.060.42-14.10.160.38-
2020/80.03-59.01-46.960.38-14.60.170.35-
2020/70.0869.1340.610.35-9.020.190.31-
2020/60.05-15.55-15.180.26-18.390.130.68-
2020/50.06151.6739.050.21-19.110.110.81-
2020/40.02-15.76-41.420.15-30.50.081.11-
2020/30.03-5.53-48.460.13-28.030.130.47-
2020/20.03-57.79-23.20.1-19.030.140.43-
2020/10.0780.69-17.140.07-17.140.0N/A-
2019/120.04-39.17-37.750.67-21.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.162023/10.112022/10.132021/10.062020/10.07
2024/20.092023/20.142022/20.142021/20.052020/20.03
2024/30.232023/30.272022/30.172021/30.092020/30.03
2024/40.122023/40.292022/40.212021/40.032020/40.02
2024/50.22023/50.232022/50.182021/50.052020/50.06
2024/60.182023/60.242022/60.182021/60.042020/60.05
2024/70.242023/70.212022/70.212021/70.092020/70.08
2024/80.152023/80.142022/80.212021/80.092020/80.03
2024/90.112023/90.322022/90.152021/90.132020/90.04
2024/100.122023/100.212022/100.242021/100.112020/100.05
2024/110.122023/110.22022/110.152021/110.152020/110.03
N/AN/A2023/120.222022/120.122021/120.132020/120.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0950.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.06-33.33200.0
24Q1 (18)0.0980.0-18.18
23Q4 (17)0.05-44.44-37.5
23Q3 (16)0.09350.0125.0
23Q2 (15)0.02-81.82100.0
23Q1 (14)0.1137.5266.67
22Q4 (13)0.08100.0300.0
22Q3 (12)0.04300.00.0
22Q2 (11)0.01-66.67-50.0
22Q1 (10)0.0350.050.0
21Q4 (9)0.02-50.0-50.0
21Q3 (8)0.04100.00
21Q2 (7)0.020.00
21Q1 (6)0.02-50.0100.0
20Q4 (5)0.040300.0

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