玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)790.00.00.81836.3626.56-0.0196.396.970.64476.4760.03.8821.2523.5716.86-0.943.88-0.3491.9695.216.49691.042.42-0.0192.8695.450.64811.1125.4916.403081.82-6.2916.49691.042.4225.93358.18-5.70
24Q2 (19)790.00.0-0.11-120.0-142.31-0.27-107.69-800.0-0.17-240.029.173.230.61-12.0917.02-15.58-9.9-4.23-24.78-340.63-2.79-59.43-148.86-0.14-75.0-366.67-0.09-125.0-142.86-0.5551.33-110.44-2.79-59.43-148.8610.68-18.06-38.05
24Q1 (18)790.00.0-0.0583.8790.0-0.1331.5879.37-0.05-155.5690.02.45-9.26-1.2120.1615.66180.0-3.3947.1183.29-1.7580.689.1-0.0852.9484.0-0.0483.3390.0-1.1388.4293.13-1.7580.689.1-11.63-32.2837.00
23Q4 (17)790.00.0-0.31-148.44-29.17-0.1942.4245.710.09-77.5-88.892.7-14.01-25.2117.437.3922.32-6.419.5927.41-9.02-156.02-69.23-0.1722.7346.88-0.24-147.06-26.32-9.76-155.77-56.66-9.02-156.02-69.23-13.88-1.14-478.79
23Q3 (16)790.00.00.64146.15-54.93-0.33-1000.0-760.00.40266.67-62.263.14-13.74-43.0116.23-14.08-7.57-7.09-638.54-540.3716.10181.96-20.88-0.22-633.33-344.440.51142.86-54.4617.50232.07-17.4116.10181.96-20.8816.52149.07-452.38
23Q2 (15)790.00.00.26152.0750.0-0.0395.2486.36-0.2452.033.333.6446.77-22.2218.89162.3621.25-0.9695.27-175.595.71135.551036.07-0.0394.0-150.00.21152.5800.05.27132.0622.565.71135.551036.077.7421.847.62
23Q1 (14)790.00.0-0.50-108.33-56.25-0.63-80.0-50.0-0.50-161.73-56.252.48-31.3-27.917.20-49.47-30.37-20.29-129.78-130.83-16.06-201.31-115.86-0.5-56.25-66.67-0.4-110.53-53.85-16.44-163.88-140.0-16.06-201.31-115.86-32.89-112.62-440.00
22Q4 (13)790.0-21.78-0.24-116.94.0-0.35-800.0-9.370.81-23.5858.823.61-34.48-16.8214.25-18.85-3.39-8.83-648.45-54.1-5.33-126.198.89-0.32-455.56-28.0-0.19-116.9624.0-6.23-129.4-9.49-5.33-126.198.89-8.371766.55-338.63
22Q3 (12)790.0-16.841.423650.0111.940.05122.73126.321.06394.4447.225.5117.7436.3917.5612.71-1.841.6126.77146.2620.353436.0727.910.0950.0164.291.123833.3375.021.19392.7931.2120.353436.0727.9126.891868.7585.17
22Q2 (11)790.0-30.09-0.0487.5-166.67-0.2247.62-300.0-0.36-12.5-427.274.6836.05-2.715.5850.68-12.621.27114.45-34.54-0.6191.8-143.570.06120.0-33.33-0.0388.46-142.864.30162.77192.52-0.6191.8-143.577.6529.758.18
22Q1 (10)79-21.78-30.09-0.32-28.0-740.0-0.42-31.25-1150.0-0.32-162.75-740.03.44-20.74-24.0610.34-29.9-39.67-8.79-53.4-797.62-7.44-27.18-647.06-0.3-20.0-600.0-0.26-4.0-533.33-6.85-20.39-458.64-7.44-27.18-647.06-6.65-82.66-49.84
21Q4 (9)1016.32-10.62-0.25-137.310-0.32-68.42-300.00.51-29.175000.04.347.4317.9314.75-17.55-28.22-5.73-64.66-287.16-5.85-136.77-19400.0-0.25-78.57-400.0-0.25-139.060-5.69-135.23-4841.67-5.85-136.77-19400.0-4.29439.68-170.58
21Q3 (8)95-15.93-15.930.671016.6734.0-0.19-272.73-90.00.72554.557100.04.04-16.01-4.0417.890.3410.84-3.48-279.38-96.6115.911036.4319.71-0.14-255.56-100.00.64814.2914.2916.15998.6420.9715.911036.4319.71-4.92518.34-48.87
21Q2 (7)1130.0-8.870.0620.0300.00.11175.0145.830.11120.0122.454.816.1877.4917.834.03-16.051.9453.97127.211.402.94201.450.0950.0147.370.0716.67275.01.47-23.04196.081.402.94201.4514.6410.00162.50
21Q1 (6)1130.00.00.050110.870.04150.0106.350.05400.0110.874.5323.1108.7617.14-16.5912.171.26185.14105.841.364633.33105.760.06220.0112.770.060111.761.911491.67108.711.364633.33105.765.26-50.0085.00
20Q4 (5)1130.00.00.00-100.0100.0-0.0820.055.560.010.0-97.733.68-12.59-18.2220.5527.3217.97-1.4816.3856.08-0.03-100.2399.35-0.0528.5766.670-100.0100.00.12-99.1102.46-0.03-100.2399.35--0.00
20Q3 (4)113-8.870.00.501766.670.0-0.1058.330.00.01102.040.04.2155.350.016.14-24.010.0-1.7775.180.013.291063.040.0-0.0763.160.00.561500.00.013.35972.550.013.291063.040.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1249.730.0-0.0393.480.0-0.2461.90.0-0.49-6.520.02.7124.880.021.2439.010.0-7.1366.930.0-1.3894.160.0-0.1959.570.0-0.0492.160.0-1.5393.020.0-1.3894.160.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1130.00.0-0.46-142.110.0-0.63-250.00.0-0.46-204.550.02.17-51.780.015.28-12.280.0-21.56-539.760.0-23.63-409.270.0-0.47-213.330.0-0.51-142.860.0-21.92-349.180.0-23.63-409.270.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1130.00.0-0.190.00.0-0.180.00.00.440.00.04.50.00.017.420.00.0-3.370.00.0-4.640.00.0-0.150.00.0-0.210.00.0-4.880.00.0-4.640.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.28-1.5252.1412.1111.554.16N/A主係客戶113年Q3及Q4進行產品促銷活動專案使營收較同期成長
2024/101.3-17.2574.5710.838.134.39N/A主係客戶進行產品促銷活動專案使營收較同期成長
2024/91.573.6130.219.532.793.880.44-
2024/81.5291.8970.07.95-1.313.570.48主係中國市場回温,客戶進行產品推廣促銷,致營收較同期單月成長
2024/70.79-37.23-24.06.43-10.23.090.56-
2024/61.2621.5-26.975.64-7.863.20.44-
2024/51.0415.515.144.38-0.362.880.48-
2024/40.9-5.11-3.353.35-1.952.480.56-
2024/30.9549.78-1.932.45-1.432.450.62-
2024/20.63-27.4-14.291.5-1.112.610.58-
2024/10.87-21.7111.310.8711.312.820.54-
2023/121.1131.963.1311.97-30.532.70.49-
2023/110.8412.99-30.0310.86-32.782.80.48-
2023/100.75-38.28-43.6710.01-33.02.850.47-
2023/91.2135.27-42.179.27-31.973.140.51-
2023/80.89-14.21-58.688.06-30.123.660.44銷售多功能事務機主要市場為中國,本月較去年同期衰退原因有疫後市場需求減弱,客戶因晶圓缺貨產生的超額訂單庫存,有待去化
2023/71.04-39.68-17.137.17-23.533.750.43-
2023/61.7374.9520.676.13-24.523.640.44-
2023/50.996.18-42.134.4-34.192.880.55-
2023/40.93-3.72-39.723.41-31.472.630.6-
2023/30.9630.9-17.972.48-27.782.481.0-
2023/20.74-5.71-24.791.52-32.882.60.96-
2023/10.78-27.46-39.060.78-39.063.060.81-
2022/121.08-10.48-38.0817.23-2.743.610.8-
2022/111.2-9.02-18.9816.151.14.620.63-
2022/101.32-36.6419.0914.953.165.570.52-
2022/92.09-3.3358.3413.621.845.510.5與去年同期比較,客戶機種本月出貨數量較同期成長20%以上,並以高單價機種做為其推廣主力機種,故營收較去年同期成長
2022/82.1672.0352.6211.53-4.334.850.57與去年同期比較,客戶機種本月出貨數量較同期成長25%以上,並以高單價機種做為其推廣主力機種,故營收較去年同期成長
2022/71.26-12.16-3.659.37-11.914.390.63-
2022/61.43-16.1-7.158.12-13.074.680.56-
2022/51.710.631.66.69-14.234.420.59-
2022/41.5431.03-21.864.98-23.373.70.71-
2022/31.1820.02-49.543.44-24.033.440.77-
2022/20.98-23.618.572.263.044.00.66-
2022/11.28-26.29-6.321.28-6.324.510.59-
2021/121.7417.143.6817.7138.654.340.58-
2021/111.4933.7227.1615.9743.943.920.64-
2021/101.11-15.7633.1614.4945.913.850.65-
2021/91.32-6.82-12.9113.3847.094.040.55-
2021/81.428.592.0812.0659.084.260.52多功能事務機訂單較去年同期增加
2021/71.3-15.36-0.5710.6471.854.140.54多功能事務機訂單較去年同期上升
2021/61.5418.9230.629.3491.314.810.38多功能事務機訂單量較去年同期上升。
2021/51.3-34.3365.767.8110.655.60.33多功能事務機訂單較去年同期上升。
2021/41.97-15.38164.526.5122.675.130.36多功能事務機訂單量較去年同期上升。
2021/32.33182.05144.824.53108.314.530.34多功能事務機訂單量較去年同期上升。
2021/20.83-39.64111.822.279.843.880.39多功能事務機訂單量較去年同期上升。
2021/11.37-18.4264.821.3764.824.220.361. 2020年1月適逢農曆春節,故營收基期較低. 2. 多功能事務機訂單量較去年同期上升.
2020/121.6843.6631.3512.78-27.83.680.4-
2020/111.1740.03-18.1711.1-32.413.520.42-
2020/100.83-44.91-53.539.93-33.773.740.4新舊產品市場替代空窗期所影響。
2020/91.519.21-14.969.09-31.074.210.3-
2020/81.395.77-13.897.58-33.593.880.33-
2020/71.3111.19-11.86.19-36.833.270.39-
2020/61.1850.91-31.124.88-41.32.710.54-
2020/50.784.78-41.343.7-43.942.480.59-
2020/40.75-21.68-44.452.92-44.62.090.7-
2020/30.95144.03-26.932.17-44.652.170.68-
2020/20.39-53.04-64.771.22-53.452.50.59因客戶在市場面臨強烈的價格及功能競爭,通路庫存偏高待去化、本月出貨量減少,同時部分專案已於去年中止合作所致
2020/10.83-34.98-45.180.83-45.180.0N/A-
2019/121.28-10.5-48.3517.7-18.150.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)790.00.09-88.89-1.18011.97-30.5315.443.69-7.8100.59-84.22-0.9300.07-92.310.07-89.06
2022 (9)79-21.780.8158.82-0.94017.23-2.7114.89-11.95-2.7503.7427.65-0.4700.9162.50.6423.08
2021 (8)101-10.620.515000.0-0.35017.7138.5816.91-7.8-1.3502.934783.33-0.2400.561020.00.525100.0
2020 (7)1130.00.01-97.73-1.05012.78-27.818.34-8.44-6.1900.06-97.86-0.7900.05-90.910.01-98.0
2019 (6)1130.00.44-69.23-0.05017.7-18.1320.03-13.060.07-98.692.80-62.260.01-99.140.55-71.650.5-68.75
2018 (5)1130.01.43-27.041.03-42.1321.62-8.1623.04-11.155.35-18.827.42-20.91.16-25.161.94-17.451.6-27.6
2017 (4)1130.01.9623.271.789.8823.54-2.9725.93-4.956.59-4.359.3827.11.55-7.192.357.82.2123.46
2016 (3)1130.01.59-1.851.6232.7924.26-4.027.2810.456.8940.97.382.51.6734.682.183.811.79-1.65
2015 (2)1130.01.6225.581.2296.7725.27-1.1324.704.314.8927.687.2032.61.2426.532.18.251.8225.52
2014 (1)1130.01.29108.060.62025.56-17.2823.6803.8305.4300.982350.01.94130.951.45107.14

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