玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.257.14-18.752.55-23.410.71N/A-
2024/100.248.71-0.632.3-23.890.72N/A-
2024/90.22-18.03-24.222.06-25.870.720.35-
2024/80.2610.0-14.561.85-26.060.820.3-
2024/70.24-24.06-39.611.58-27.690.780.32-
2024/60.3243.47-8.631.34-25.030.810.33-
2024/50.22-17.62-27.261.02-28.980.660.41-
2024/40.2759.073.520.8-29.440.590.46-
2024/30.178.96-42.840.53-39.160.530.56-
2024/20.15-26.73-37.310.37-37.310.610.49-
2024/10.21-12.54-37.310.21-37.310.760.39-
2023/120.24-22.38-6.393.57-7.370.790.37-
2023/110.3131.03-13.233.33-7.440.840.35-
2023/100.24-17.09-42.183.02-6.80.830.35-
2023/90.29-7.589.852.78-1.661.00.34-
2023/80.31-22.244.12.5-2.831.060.32-
2023/70.414.8818.582.19-3.741.050.32-
2023/60.3514.213.591.79-7.620.910.42-
2023/50.317.249.61.44-9.960.860.44-
2023/40.26-12.1822.11.14-14.060.80.47-
2023/30.319.52-23.760.88-20.960.880.41-
2023/20.25-26.73-15.220.58-19.470.840.43-
2023/10.3430.59-22.320.34-22.320.950.38-
2022/120.26-28.05-31.843.86-22.761.030.38-
2022/110.36-12.6827.333.6-22.011.030.38-
2022/100.4157.52-8.613.24-25.220.970.4-
2022/90.26-12.42-55.772.83-27.140.890.51110年前半年因疫情致部分訂單後延到Q3集中出貨,因此9月份之營收陡增,111年9月份則因客戶主力機種需求降低,故有較大差異。
2022/80.3-11.42-43.982.57-22.020.970.47-
2022/70.340.36-21.042.27-17.80.950.49-
2022/60.3320.8321.531.94-17.210.820.59-
2022/50.2830.62-14.41.6-22.380.880.56-
2022/40.21-45.17-49.61.32-23.870.890.55-
2022/30.3932.92-6.931.11-15.651.110.41-
2022/20.29-32.88-18.310.72-19.671.10.42-
2022/10.4314.59-20.560.43-20.561.090.42-
2021/120.3834.41-25.775.0-18.981.110.49-
2021/110.28-37.34-33.584.62-18.371.320.41-
2021/100.45-23.76-0.274.34-17.131.570.34-
2021/90.5910.9146.583.89-18.721.550.74-
2021/80.5324.8630.023.3-24.721.230.93-
2021/70.4354.48-22.632.76-30.361.031.12-
2021/60.28-14.89-48.472.34-31.61.021.39-
2021/50.32-23.09-38.472.06-28.481.161.22-
2021/40.421.24-33.091.74-26.251.191.19-
2021/30.4216.66-17.671.32-23.761.320.97-
2021/20.36-34.73-36.720.9-26.271.410.91-
2021/10.557.08-17.360.55-17.361.480.86-
2020/120.5120.25-25.596.17-25.071.380.85-
2020/110.42-5.9-32.095.66-25.031.280.92-
2020/100.4512.05-45.545.23-24.391.260.94-
2020/90.4-1.61-43.594.78-21.521.360.82-
2020/80.41-25.7-32.34.38-18.591.490.74-
2020/70.552.87-20.053.97-16.861.610.69-
2020/60.531.63-21.33.42-16.321.690.77-
2020/50.53-16.36-33.822.88-15.321.660.78-
2020/40.6324.57-4.632.36-9.691.70.77-
2020/30.51-10.33-22.421.73-11.41.730.79-
2020/20.56-14.750.881.22-5.881.910.71-
2020/10.66-3.58-10.980.66-10.980.0N/A-
2019/120.699.74-9.438.23-4.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.212023/10.342022/10.432021/10.552020/10.66
2024/20.152023/20.252022/20.292021/20.362020/20.56
2024/30.172023/30.32022/30.392021/30.422020/30.51
2024/40.272023/40.262022/40.212021/40.422020/40.63
2024/50.222023/50.32022/50.282021/50.322020/50.53
2024/60.322023/60.352022/60.332021/60.282020/60.53
2024/70.242023/70.42022/70.342021/70.432020/70.55
2024/80.262023/80.312022/80.32021/80.532020/80.41
2024/90.222023/90.292022/90.262021/90.592020/90.4
2024/100.242023/100.242022/100.412021/100.452020/100.45
2024/110.252023/110.312022/110.362021/110.282020/110.42
N/AN/A2023/120.242022/120.262021/120.382020/120.51
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.34%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.020.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.020.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.020.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.020.0-33.33
23Q3 (16)0.020.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.02100.0-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.01-66.67-75.0
22Q4 (13)0.03-25.0200.0
22Q3 (12)0.040.0300.0
22Q2 (11)0.040.033.33
22Q1 (10)0.04300.0-20.0
21Q4 (9)0.010.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.01-66.670.0
21Q2 (7)0.03-40.00
21Q1 (6)0.05400.00
20Q4 (5)0.010.00.0
20Q3 (4)0.0100.0

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