玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.986.4-6.6410.033.742.85N/A-
2024/90.92-2.3116.029.055.012.81.44-
2024/80.952.15-31.98.123.882.751.46-
2024/70.935.02-15.697.1811.622.761.46-
2024/60.88-7.42-15.816.2517.253.131.27-
2024/50.95-26.3850.995.3725.333.311.2產品銷量增加
2024/41.2921.6614.764.4220.93.241.23-
2024/31.0620.8823.493.1223.643.121.34-
2024/20.88-25.410.972.0623.723.321.25-
2024/11.18-6.7548.721.1848.723.321.26-
2023/121.2644.7227.3711.81-13.993.191.22-
2023/110.87-17.01-6.6810.54-17.222.721.44-
2023/101.0532.244.839.67-18.063.241.21-
2023/90.8-42.6712.678.61-20.193.281.24-
2023/81.3926.4540.787.82-22.493.531.15-
2023/71.14.8711.686.43-29.352.781.47-
2023/61.0566.04-32.05.33-34.322.811.44-
2023/50.63-44.04-47.84.28-34.872.621.54-
2023/41.1330.91-16.633.65-31.952.861.41-
2023/30.86-1.15-47.062.53-37.112.531.54-
2023/20.879.85-0.121.66-30.342.661.46-
2023/10.79-20.14-47.720.79-47.722.721.43-
2022/120.996.01-12.8613.73-23.412.931.2-
2022/110.94-6.76-17.7512.73-24.122.651.33-
2022/101.042.13-19.8511.8-24.592.71.31-
2022/90.71-28.36-42.0310.79-25.02.681.48-
2022/80.990.31-26.0310.09-23.433.511.13-
2022/70.98-36.15-34.769.1-23.133.731.06-
2022/61.5427.46-20.158.12-21.434.10.94-
2022/51.21-10.63-44.616.58-21.734.190.92-
2022/41.35-16.86-31.945.37-13.713.851.0-
2022/31.6386.4938.194.02-5.154.020.96-
2022/20.87-42.49-28.312.39-21.843.531.09-
2022/11.5233.11-17.561.52-17.563.81.01-
2021/121.140.06-55.6617.92-33.743.531.06市場變化影響所致
2021/111.14-9.14-57.0416.78-31.443.611.04市場變化影響所致
2021/101.252.8-59.4815.65-28.333.810.99市場變化影響所致
2021/91.22-8.6-59.1314.39-23.194.061.11市場變化影響所致
2021/81.33-11.51-63.0813.17-16.384.770.95市場變化影響所致
2021/71.51-21.84-52.4911.84-2.485.620.8市場變化影響所致
2021/61.93-11.57-21.5710.3315.226.10.68-
2021/52.189.792.848.429.135.350.77-
2021/41.9968.8133.756.2241.844.380.94-
2021/31.18-3.263.864.2345.984.230.94-
2021/21.22-33.8752.363.0673.05.630.71產品銷量增加
2021/11.84-28.4190.031.8490.037.060.57產品銷量增加
2020/122.57-3.04137.7627.05109.048.320.4產品銷量增加
2020/112.65-14.31108.1124.48106.428.730.38產品銷量增加
2020/103.093.7208.1621.83106.219.690.34產品銷量增加
2020/92.98-17.45274.418.7495.539.770.38產品銷量增加
2020/83.6113.86276.8315.7579.319.250.4產品銷量增加
2020/73.1729.03134.3112.1455.117.760.47產品銷量增加
2020/62.4615.9579.618.9738.546.070.56產品銷量增加
2020/52.1242.861.66.5127.514.740.71產品銷量增加
2020/41.4931.0831.674.3915.713.420.99-
2020/31.1341.949.272.98.942.90.81-
2020/20.8-17.52-6.411.77-7.142.850.83-
2020/10.97-10.42-7.730.97-7.733.320.71-
2019/121.08-15.1367.0612.9412.790.0N/A產品銷量增加
2019/111.2726.87-3.4211.869.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.182023/10.792022/11.522021/11.842020/10.97
2024/20.882023/20.872022/20.872021/21.222020/20.8
2024/31.062023/30.862022/31.632021/31.182020/31.13
2024/41.292023/41.132022/41.352021/41.992020/41.49
2024/50.952023/50.632022/51.212021/52.182020/52.12
2024/60.882023/61.052022/61.542021/61.932020/62.46
2024/70.932023/71.12022/70.982021/71.512020/73.17
2024/80.952023/81.392022/80.992021/81.332020/83.61
2024/90.922023/90.82022/90.712021/91.222020/92.98
2024/100.982023/101.052022/101.02021/101.252020/103.09
N/AN/A2023/110.872022/110.942021/111.142020/112.65
N/AN/A2023/121.262022/120.992021/121.142020/122.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.69%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.2712.50.0
24Q2 (19)0.240.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.2414.290.0
23Q4 (17)0.21-22.22-25.0
23Q3 (16)0.2712.5-28.95
23Q2 (15)0.240.0-36.84
23Q1 (14)0.24-14.29-31.43
22Q4 (13)0.28-26.32-34.88
22Q3 (12)0.380.022.58
22Q2 (11)0.388.57-7.32
22Q1 (10)0.35-18.612.9
21Q4 (9)0.4338.7148.28
21Q3 (8)0.31-24.3929.17
21Q2 (7)0.4132.2670.83
21Q1 (6)0.316.929.17
20Q4 (5)0.2920.8338.1
20Q3 (4)0.240.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.240.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2414.290.0
19Q4 (1)0.210.00.0

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