玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.4286.8722.774.029.651.07N/A-
2024/90.23-46.09-26.343.5830.511.01.27-
2024/80.4216.4463.313.3537.661.460.88主要係因代工客戶及東歐地區客戶訂單成長所致
2024/70.36-47.0614.892.9334.641.620.79-
2024/60.6817.86117.962.5837.961.750.54主要係因日本區及美洲區的客戶訂單成長所致
2024/50.5815.77104.991.921.921.360.7主要係因日本區的客戶訂單成長所致
2024/40.576.7359.951.323.580.990.96主要係因美洲區及日本區的客戶訂單成長所致
2024/30.2835.64-15.80.82-14.630.821.57-
2024/20.21-37.53-43.050.54-14.01.071.21-
2024/10.338.0126.180.3326.181.161.11-
2023/120.5375.2946.063.9217.851.171.03-
2023/110.3-12.22-23.063.3914.40.951.27-
2023/100.3412.1-2.613.0920.120.911.33-
2023/90.3119.51-11.372.7423.740.881.29-
2023/80.26-18.07-20.392.4430.230.881.28-
2023/70.310.424.242.1840.760.911.25-
2023/60.3110.848.291.8749.550.91.32-
2023/50.28-9.6659.691.5661.910.931.28主要係車載產品訂單成長,使營收增加。
2023/40.31-6.9784.21.2762.411.011.18主要係車載產品訂單成長,使營收增加。
2023/30.33-8.2489.740.9649.10.961.5主要係車載產品訂單成長,使營收增加。
2023/20.3638.487.20.6333.830.991.45主要係車載產品訂單成長,使營收增加。
2023/10.26-27.21-4.030.26-4.031.021.42-
2022/120.36-7.66-33.653.32-26.171.111.35-
2022/110.3911.154.952.96-25.141.091.37主要係因車載產品訂單增加
2022/100.352.0355.842.57-30.611.021.46車載產品及大陸子公司訂單成長
2022/90.357.34-4.042.22-36.240.971.47-
2022/80.327.28-19.511.87-39.970.911.56-
2022/70.34.32-12.21.55-42.980.761.86-
2022/60.2963.45-49.191.25-47.420.632.05-
2022/50.184.2-66.620.96-46.860.522.49主要係因車載產品訂單減少使營收衰退
2022/40.17-4.17-60.360.78-38.710.542.41主要係因車載產品訂單減少使營收衰退
2022/30.18-9.47-46.070.65-24.360.651.64-
2022/20.19-29.04-21.980.47-10.871.011.04-
2022/10.27-49.68-0.860.27-0.861.070.99-
2021/120.55115.6791.54.546.891.020.83主要係因工程完工認列收入
2021/110.2511.74-19.123.9642.310.841.01-
2021/100.23-37.18-12.513.750.110.990.86主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/90.36-9.9540.863.4857.441.10.91主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/80.417.0250.313.1259.621.310.76主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/70.34-39.6331.842.7261.11.440.7主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/60.577.38111.22.3766.421.520.84主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/50.5323.7267.631.8156.051.281.0主要係因車載產品訂單增加使營收成長
2021/40.4330.37101.121.2865.511.01.28主要係因去年同期受COVID-19疫情影響,訂單延遲或取消,使營收偏低.
2021/30.3330.9848.820.8535.150.851.5-
2021/20.25-9.8320.510.5327.850.811.58-
2021/10.28-2.7935.280.2835.280.871.46-
2020/120.28-8.9289.693.067.480.861.28主要係因車載產品銷售暢旺使營收成長。
2020/110.3120.8835.272.782.910.831.33-
2020/100.261.1422.472.47-0.110.781.41-
2020/90.26-3.9128.512.21-2.520.780.88-
2020/80.272.6437.271.95-5.510.790.87-
2020/70.26-3.296.491.69-9.950.840.82-
2020/60.27-14.76-1.071.43-12.760.790.87-
2020/50.3148.43-6.611.16-15.090.750.92-
2020/40.21-3.52-9.980.77-24.710.641.08-
2020/30.226.06-15.970.63-20.410.631.17-
2020/20.211.21-16.40.41-22.60.561.32-
2020/10.236.28-28.00.2-28.00.591.26-
2019/120.15-35.05-25.972.85-33.040.0N/A-
2019/110.239.45-42.222.7-33.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.332023/10.262022/10.272021/10.282020/10.2
2024/20.212023/20.362022/20.192021/20.252020/20.21
2024/30.282023/30.332022/30.182021/30.332020/30.22
2024/40.52023/40.312022/40.172021/40.432020/40.21
2024/50.582023/50.282022/50.182021/50.532020/50.31
2024/60.682023/60.312022/60.292021/60.572020/60.27
2024/70.362023/70.312022/70.32021/70.342020/70.26
2024/80.422023/80.262022/80.322021/80.42020/80.27
2024/90.232023/90.312022/90.352021/90.362020/90.26
2024/100.422023/100.342022/100.352021/100.232020/100.26
N/AN/A2023/110.32022/110.392021/110.252020/110.31
N/AN/A2023/120.532022/120.362021/120.552020/120.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.04100.0-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.02-71.43-60.0
24Q1 (18)0.0716.6716.67
23Q4 (17)0.060.0-14.29
23Q3 (16)0.0620.020.0
23Q2 (15)0.05-16.67-16.67
23Q1 (14)0.06-14.29-25.0
22Q4 (13)0.0740.0-30.0
22Q3 (12)0.05-16.67-44.44
22Q2 (11)0.06-25.0-33.33
22Q1 (10)0.08-20.00
21Q4 (9)0.111.11100.0
21Q3 (8)0.090.00
21Q2 (7)0.0900

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