- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 21.81 | -21.45 | 45.96 | 198.0 | 49.12 | 78.44 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 27.76 | -3.84 | 39.05 | 176.19 | 49.52 | 89.56 | 8.03 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 28.87 | -12.31 | 89.5 | 148.43 | 51.66 | 77.4 | 9.3 | 本月(年累計)營收較去年同期增加，主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致。 | ||
| 2024/7 | 32.93 | 111.13 | 127.63 | 119.56 | 44.68 | 68.22 | 10.55 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致 | ||
| 2024/6 | 15.6 | -20.83 | 140.5 | 86.63 | 27.08 | 53.94 | 13.0 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致 | ||
| 2024/5 | 19.7 | 5.64 | 2191.72 | 71.04 | 15.16 | 65.96 | 10.63 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係新成屋完工，交屋量較去年同期增加所致 | ||
| 2024/4 | 18.65 | -32.47 | 567.61 | 51.34 | -15.59 | 49.53 | 14.16 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致 | ||
| 2024/3 | 27.62 | 746.5 | 44.62 | 32.69 | -43.66 | 32.69 | 20.88 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 3.26 | 80.2 | -80.74 | 5.07 | -86.97 | 70.89 | 9.63 | 本月營收較去年同期下滑，主要係已完工可交屋成屋量減少所致 | ||
| 2024/1 | 1.81 | -97.24 | -91.76 | 1.81 | -91.76 | 87.47 | 7.8 | 本月營收較去年同期下滑主要係已完工可交屋成屋量減少所致。 | ||
| 2023/12 | 65.82 | 231.73 | 176.58 | 218.43 | -17.82 | 100.6 | 6.68 | 本月營收較去年同期增加，主要係認列出售台中土地案 | ||
| 2023/11 | 19.84 | 32.81 | -16.49 | 152.61 | -36.94 | 54.75 | 12.27 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 14.94 | -25.17 | -55.06 | 132.77 | -39.16 | 50.14 | 13.39 | 本月成屋待售案量較去年同期減少 | ||
| 2023/9 | 19.97 | 31.04 | -39.57 | 117.83 | -36.31 | 49.67 | 14.04 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 15.24 | 5.32 | -15.24 | 97.87 | -35.6 | 36.19 | 19.27 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 14.46 | 123.06 | -11.74 | 82.63 | -38.33 | 21.81 | 31.97 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 6.48 | 654.34 | -61.86 | 68.17 | -42.04 | 10.14 | 66.8 | 本月交屋量減少致營收較去年同期低 | ||
| 2023/5 | 0.86 | -69.22 | -94.13 | 61.68 | -38.68 | 22.75 | 29.77 | 本月交屋量減少致營收較去年同期低 | ||
| 2023/4 | 2.79 | -85.37 | -84.44 | 60.82 | -29.23 | 38.83 | 17.44 | 本月可交屋案量較去年同期減少，致營收較低 | ||
| 2023/3 | 19.09 | 12.67 | -5.27 | 58.03 | -14.65 | 58.03 | 10.96 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 16.95 | -22.92 | -17.86 | 38.94 | -18.6 | 62.73 | 10.14 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 21.99 | -7.59 | -19.16 | 21.99 | -19.16 | 69.55 | 9.15 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 23.8 | 0.15 | -49.06 | 265.82 | -19.78 | 80.8 | 8.04 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 23.76 | -28.52 | -49.2 | 242.02 | -14.97 | 90.04 | 7.22 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 33.24 | 0.6 | -40.89 | 218.26 | -8.25 | 84.26 | 7.71 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 33.04 | 83.8 | -15.39 | 185.02 | 1.85 | 67.41 | 9.77 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 17.98 | 9.68 | -38.04 | 151.98 | 6.58 | 51.37 | 12.82 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 16.39 | -3.62 | -29.78 | 134.0 | 17.98 | 48.05 | 13.7 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 17.01 | 16.07 | -3.99 | 117.61 | 30.34 | 49.62 | 13.46 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 14.65 | -18.41 | -12.21 | 100.6 | 38.73 | 52.77 | 12.66 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 17.96 | -10.91 | 11.57 | 85.95 | 53.96 | 58.75 | 11.37 | 因本年交屋較去年增加，致本年累計營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2022/3 | 20.16 | -2.3 | 4.39 | 67.99 | 71.14 | 67.99 | 9.45 | 因本年交屋較去年增加，致本年累計營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2022/2 | 20.63 | -24.14 | 93.7 | 47.84 | 134.26 | 94.56 | 6.79 | 因1-2月交屋較去年增加，致本年累計營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2022/1 | 27.2 | -41.77 | 178.5 | 27.2 | 178.5 | 120.7 | 5.32 | 因本月交屋較去年同期增加，致本月營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2021/12 | 46.72 | -0.1 | 53.89 | 331.38 | 23.43 | 149.74 | 4.12 | 本月因交屋較去年增加，致本月營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2021/11 | 46.77 | -16.84 | 6.69 | 284.66 | 19.55 | 142.07 | 4.34 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 56.24 | 44.01 | 136.61 | 237.89 | 22.45 | 124.32 | 4.97 | 本⽉因交屋較去年增加，致營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2021/9 | 39.06 | 34.59 | 94.0 | 181.64 | 6.54 | 91.42 | 7.38 | 本⽉因交屋較去年增加，致營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2021/8 | 29.02 | 24.31 | 11.79 | 142.59 | -5.16 | 70.07 | 9.62 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 23.34 | 31.77 | 4.42 | 113.57 | -8.7 | 57.75 | 11.68 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 17.71 | 6.13 | 32.2 | 90.23 | -11.58 | 50.5 | 13.13 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 16.69 | 3.68 | 38.36 | 72.52 | -18.2 | 52.1 | 12.73 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 16.1 | -16.64 | -23.34 | 55.83 | -27.1 | 46.06 | 14.4 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 19.31 | 81.28 | 114.82 | 39.73 | -28.53 | 39.73 | 15.76 | 本月因成屋銷售提升交屋較去年增加，致營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2021/2 | 10.65 | 9.06 | 0.0 | 20.42 | -56.18 | 50.78 | 12.33 | 去年累計營收因售地收入入帳，致較本年累計營收高 | ||
| 2021/1 | 9.77 | -67.82 | -72.83 | 9.77 | -72.83 | 83.97 | 7.46 | 去年同期因售地收入入帳，致營收增加，本期無 | ||
| 2020/12 | 30.36 | -30.74 | 17.49 | 268.46 | 29.86 | 97.97 | 6.2 | - | ||
| 2020/11 | 43.84 | 84.42 | 146.9 | 238.1 | 31.62 | 87.74 | 6.92 | 本月因認列售地收入，致本月營業收入較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2020/10 | 23.77 | 18.08 | 44.0 | 194.26 | 19.07 | 69.86 | 8.69 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 20.13 | -22.44 | 41.97 | 170.49 | 16.27 | 68.44 | 9.41 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 25.96 | 16.12 | 29.24 | 150.36 | 13.52 | 61.71 | 10.44 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 22.35 | 66.82 | -1.71 | 124.4 | 10.71 | 47.81 | 13.47 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 13.4 | 11.07 | -4.88 | 102.05 | 13.86 | 46.46 | 13.35 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 12.06 | -42.55 | 91.47 | 88.65 | 17.35 | 42.05 | 14.75 | 本月因過戶交屋較去年多，致營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2020/4 | 21.0 | 133.6 | 169.05 | 76.59 | 10.61 | 40.64 | 15.26 | 本月因過戶交屋較去年多，致營收較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2020/3 | 8.99 | -15.61 | -78.32 | 55.59 | -9.51 | 55.59 | 10.16 | 去年同期因售地收入入帳，致去年同期營收較本月增加 | ||
| 2020/2 | 10.65 | -70.36 | 33.38 | 46.6 | 133.38 | 72.44 | 7.8 | 上月因售地收入入帳，致本年累計營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2020/1 | 35.95 | 39.12 | 200.03 | 35.95 | 200.03 | 79.54 | 7.1 | 本月因售地收入入帳，致營收較去年增加 | ||
| 2019/12 | 25.84 | 45.53 | -35.48 | 206.73 | -14.74 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 17.75 | 7.55 | 13.94 | 180.89 | -10.64 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 1.81 | 2023/1 | 21.99 | 2022/1 | 27.2 | 2021/1 | 9.77 | 2020/1 | 35.95 |
| 2024/2 | 3.26 | 2023/2 | 16.95 | 2022/2 | 20.63 | 2021/2 | 10.65 | 2020/2 | 10.65 |
| 2024/3 | 27.62 | 2023/3 | 19.09 | 2022/3 | 20.16 | 2021/3 | 19.31 | 2020/3 | 8.99 |
| 2024/4 | 18.65 | 2023/4 | 2.79 | 2022/4 | 17.96 | 2021/4 | 16.1 | 2020/4 | 21.0 |
| 2024/5 | 19.7 | 2023/5 | 0.86 | 2022/5 | 14.65 | 2021/5 | 16.69 | 2020/5 | 12.06 |
| 2024/6 | 15.6 | 2023/6 | 6.48 | 2022/6 | 17.01 | 2021/6 | 17.71 | 2020/6 | 13.4 |
| 2024/7 | 32.93 | 2023/7 | 14.46 | 2022/7 | 16.39 | 2021/7 | 23.34 | 2020/7 | 22.35 |
| 2024/8 | 28.87 | 2023/8 | 15.24 | 2022/8 | 17.98 | 2021/8 | 29.02 | 2020/8 | 25.96 |
| 2024/9 | 27.76 | 2023/9 | 19.97 | 2022/9 | 33.04 | 2021/9 | 39.06 | 2020/9 | 20.13 |
| 2024/10 | 21.81 | 2023/10 | 14.94 | 2022/10 | 33.24 | 2021/10 | 56.24 | 2020/10 | 23.77 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 19.84 | 2022/11 | 23.76 | 2021/11 | 46.77 | 2020/11 | 43.84 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 65.82 | 2022/12 | 23.8 | 2021/12 | 46.72 | 2020/12 | 30.36 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 118.43 | 0.82 | 18.41 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 117.47 | 16.36 | 26.57 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 100.95 | 16.09 | 34.47 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 86.96 | -13.06 | 1.36 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 100.02 | 7.77 | -0.88 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 92.81 | 23.63 | -6.86 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 75.07 | -12.5 | -20.88 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 85.79 | -14.98 | -9.55 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 100.91 | 1.26 | -9.71 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 99.65 | 5.03 | -1.33 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 94.88 | 0.03 | 5.2 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 94.85 | -15.13 | 15.9 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 111.76 | 10.66 | 32.91 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 100.99 | 11.97 | 26.22 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 90.19 | 10.2 | 26.14 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 81.84 | -2.68 | 20.32 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 84.09 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 80.01 | 11.9 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 71.5 | 5.12 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 68.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
