玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1012.08-14.7534.05143.1942.3641.94N/A0.152.49-
2024/914.17-9.6734.06131.1143.1747.470.00.242.34-
2024/815.69-10.8816.48116.9344.3649.730.00.272.1-
2024/717.67.0851.22101.2449.9248.30.00.351.83主係自營操作獲利增加
2024/616.4415.3550.4683.6449.6543.520.00.291.49主係自營操作獲利增加
2024/514.2511.158.1967.249.4642.670.00.231.2主係自營操作獲利增加
2024/412.83-17.7367.7852.9547.2740.690.00.240.97主係自營操作獲利增加
2024/315.5927.0245.4540.1241.7340.120.00.270.74-
2024/212.270.1534.5524.5339.4638.550.00.260.47-
2024/112.26-12.5744.7512.2644.7539.110.00.210.21-
2023/1214.029.1868.56127.4455.1235.870.00.262.35主係自營操作獲利增加
2023/1112.8442.4618.42113.4253.632.420.00.262.09主係自營操作獲利增加
2023/109.01-14.7479.89100.5859.6633.050.00.091.83主係自營操作獲利增加
2023/910.57-21.51159.3391.5757.9135.680.00.181.74主係自營操作獲利增加
2023/813.4715.6940.481.050.2436.040.00.21.56主係自營操作獲利增加
2023/711.646.5425.5567.5352.3731.580.00.21.36主係自營轉虧為盈
2023/610.9321.28304.8755.8959.4727.580.00.271.16主係自營轉虧為盈
2023/59.0117.849.6844.9638.9927.370.00.190.89-
2023/47.64-28.67109.3535.9548.9727.490.00.120.7主係自營轉虧為盈
2023/310.7217.535.6928.3138.2128.310.00.210.58-
2023/29.127.7416.5617.5939.7925.90.00.190.37-
2023/18.471.878.018.4778.0127.620.00.190.19主係自營轉虧為盈
2022/128.32-23.28-28.0882.15-38.1424.170.00.140.85-
2022/1110.84116.4-17.7673.84-39.119.930.00.230.71-
2022/105.0122.89-39.663.0-41.7118.680.0-0.00.48-
2022/94.08-57.5-50.3257.99-41.8822.940.0-0.060.48自營虧損所致
2022/89.593.45-9.0453.91-41.1221.560.00.170.54-
2022/79.27243.56-36.6944.32-45.320.180.00.120.37-
2022/62.7-67.14-81.1735.05-47.214.560.0-0.070.25自營虧損所致
2022/58.21124.92-8.5932.35-37.8419.760.00.160.32-
2022/43.65-53.77-67.724.13-43.9519.380.0-0.050.16本月自營虧損
2022/37.90.93-30.5720.48-35.4920.480.00.080.22-
2022/27.8364.55-16.7812.58-38.2324.150.00.150.14-
2022/14.76-58.87-56.634.76-56.6329.50.0-0.01-0.01係自營產生虧損
2021/1211.56-12.2712.65132.8236.5833.040.00.262.87-
2021/1113.1858.935.79121.2539.429.680.00.312.61-
2021/108.291.098.81108.0745.0327.050.00.162.3-
2021/98.2-22.2-10.699.7849.1533.40.00.152.14經紀及自營收入較去年增加所致
2021/810.55-27.990.9991.5758.6639.530.00.211.99係經紀及自營收入較去年增加所致
2021/714.652.1415.3981.0371.437.970.00.351.78係經紀及自營收入較去年增加所致
2021/614.3459.5530.366.3891.9534.630.00.351.43經紀營收較去年增加所致
2021/58.99-20.521.9752.04120.7331.670.00.141.08自營本月產生虧損所致
2021/411.31-0.6320.7943.06191.632.090.00.230.94係經紀獲利較去年同期增加所致。
2021/311.3820.98415.4831.75487.4331.750.00.250.71自營獲利較前期增加所致。
2021/29.41-14.2379.1920.37126.0530.640.00.220.46經紀及自營獲利較上期增加所致。
2021/110.976.83191.4310.97191.4333.690.00.240.24主係經紀、自營獲利較去年同期增加所致。
2020/1210.27-17.6127.4197.2424.6730.350.00.242.02-
2020/1112.4663.4673.3586.9824.3529.260.00.351.78係自營及經紀獲利較去年同期增加所致。
2020/107.62-16.941.5274.5218.7427.240.00.161.43-
2020/99.18-12.151.6166.8921.0832.310.00.21.28係經紀及承銷部門收入較去年增加所致
2020/810.44-17.7242.9857.7217.3234.140.00.271.08-
2020/712.6915.3467.3947.2712.8532.510.00.340.81本月經紀及自營獲利較去年同期增加所致
2020/611.024.8681.3934.580.7929.180.00.30.47係經紀及自營獲利較去年同期增加。
2020/58.81-5.8671.9323.58-16.5114.570.00.230.17本月自營獲利較前期增加所致。
2020/49.36359.5384.3914.77-36.1211.00.00.24-0.06因台股指數回升,自營獲利較上月增加所致。
2020/3-3.61-168.71-162.115.4-70.035.40.0-0.38-0.3全球新冠肺炎疫情造成股市大幅向下波動,導致自營操作部位大幅虧損。
2020/25.2539.48-9.89.01-26.3317.070.00.070.08-
2020/13.76-53.29-41.323.76-41.3219.010.00.010.01-
2019/128.0612.0884.378.02.090.0N/A0.171.49自營部獲利增加所致
2019/117.19-4.2750.6969.94-2.890.0N/A0.131.32自營部獲利較前期增加所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/112.262023/18.472022/14.762021/110.972020/13.76
2024/212.272023/29.122022/27.832021/29.412020/25.25
2024/315.592023/310.722022/37.92021/311.382020/3-3.61
2024/412.832023/47.642022/43.652021/411.312020/49.36
2024/514.252023/59.012022/58.212021/58.992020/58.81
2024/616.442023/610.932022/62.72021/614.342020/611.0
2024/717.62023/711.642022/79.272021/714.652020/712.69
2024/815.692023/813.472022/89.592021/810.552020/810.44
2024/914.172023/910.572022/94.082021/98.22020/99.18
2024/1012.082023/109.012022/105.012021/108.292020/107.62
N/AN/A2023/1112.842022/1110.842021/1113.182020/1112.46
N/AN/A2023/1214.022022/128.322021/1211.562020/1210.27
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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