玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1010.34.71-1.2181.31-21.826.39N/A-
2024/99.8457.43-4.1971.0-24.123.870.64-
2024/86.25-19.66-45.0561.16-26.5619.940.76-
2024/77.7831.68-29.2254.91-23.6322.420.68-
2024/65.91-32.3-51.6147.13-22.6221.770.62因中小尺寸面板市況仍屬低迷。
2024/58.7322.41-13.1941.22-15.3523.880.57-
2024/47.13-11.13-40.0232.5-15.9122.720.6-
2024/38.026.09-28.9225.37-5.225.370.6-
2024/27.56-22.68-1.3517.3412.0926.680.57-
2024/19.784.7825.39.7825.329.320.52-
2023/129.33-8.58-18.23123.53-27.5529.970.56-
2023/1110.21-2.1-23.09114.2-28.2130.910.54-
2023/1010.431.55-20.22103.99-28.6832.080.53-
2023/910.27-9.7-0.4593.56-29.5232.640.5-
2023/811.373.45-20.8983.29-31.9634.580.47-
2023/710.99-9.97-18.971.91-33.4433.260.49-
2023/612.2121.45-18.8460.92-35.5234.160.46-
2023/510.06-15.41-37.2448.7-38.6933.230.47-
2023/411.895.32-14.1938.65-39.0530.840.51-
2023/311.2947.25-35.1126.76-46.026.760.61-
2023/27.67-1.78-48.2415.47-51.8926.890.6主要為面板價格較去年同期下跌所致。
2023/17.81-31.63-55.017.81-55.0132.50.5主要為面板價格較去年同期下跌所致。
2022/1211.42-14.01-41.0170.51-37.7137.770.37-
2022/1113.281.54-30.53159.09-37.4636.670.38-
2022/1013.0726.71-10.6145.81-38.0337.770.37-
2022/910.32-28.24-37.81132.74-39.8438.250.46-
2022/814.386.05-32.16122.42-40.0142.990.41-
2022/713.56-9.91-41.93108.04-40.9244.630.4-
2022/615.05-6.08-39.8494.49-40.7744.930.37-
2022/516.0215.64-43.0779.44-40.9447.280.35-
2022/413.86-20.35-49.6263.41-40.3846.060.36-
2022/317.417.46-42.5449.56-37.1649.560.36-
2022/214.81-14.64-37.7332.16-33.8251.510.34-
2022/117.35-10.33-30.0717.35-30.0755.820.32-
2021/1219.351.25-24.72273.7740.0153.090.36-
2021/1119.1130.68-20.12254.4249.8150.330.38-
2021/1014.62-11.84-29.63235.361.2852.410.37主要為本年度平均面板價格較去年度上漲所致。
2021/916.59-21.72-19.3220.6876.3861.140.34主要為本年度平均面板價格較去年度上漲所致。
2021/821.2-9.2211.17204.0995.1969.560.3主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/723.35-6.6558.27182.89113.9376.510.27主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/625.02-11.1281.58159.54125.5480.670.2主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/528.152.33123.01134.53136.1785.930.19主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/427.5-9.16170.37106.38139.9281.570.2主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/330.2827.29132.6878.88130.8578.880.16主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/223.79-4.14135.2248.6129.7274.310.17主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2021/124.81-3.48124.6924.81124.6974.450.17主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2020/1225.717.4464.49195.5319.6870.420.15主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2020/1123.9315.1362.96169.8214.9465.270.16主要為面板價格較去年同期上漲所致。
2020/1020.781.0938.78145.99.6460.410.17-
2020/920.567.8331.84125.115.9554.380.22-
2020/819.0729.2346.07104.562.0147.590.25-
2020/714.757.093.985.49-4.4141.150.29-
2020/613.789.15-7.1770.74-5.9836.570.37-
2020/512.6224.07-9.4456.96-5.6935.810.38-
2020/410.17-21.82-26.4944.34-4.5733.30.41-
2020/313.0128.687.8734.174.7234.170.32-
2020/210.11-8.4314.7821.162.8836.780.3-
2020/111.04-29.33-6.0311.04-6.0341.350.26-
2019/1215.636.44110.8163.37-3.130.0N/A108年12月與去年同期相比,因面板需求上升價格上漲所致。
2019/1114.68-1.9531.56147.74-8.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.782023/17.812022/117.352021/124.812020/111.04
2024/27.562023/27.672022/214.812021/223.792020/210.11
2024/38.022023/311.292022/317.42021/330.282020/313.01
2024/47.132023/411.892022/413.862021/427.52020/410.17
2024/58.732023/510.062022/516.022021/528.152020/512.62
2024/65.912023/612.212022/615.052021/625.022020/613.78
2024/77.782023/710.992022/713.562021/723.352020/714.75
2024/86.252023/811.372022/814.382021/821.22020/819.07
2024/99.842023/910.272022/910.322021/916.592020/920.56
2024/1010.32023/1010.432022/1013.072021/1014.622020/1020.78
N/AN/A2023/1110.212022/1113.282021/1119.112020/1123.93
N/AN/A2023/129.332022/1211.422021/1219.352020/1225.71
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.32%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.9451.6117.5
24Q2 (19)0.62-27.91-21.52
24Q1 (18)0.8624.6413.16
23Q4 (17)0.69-13.7540.82
23Q3 (16)0.81.27-19.19
23Q2 (15)0.793.95-31.9
23Q1 (14)0.7655.1-47.59
22Q4 (13)0.49-50.51-50.51
22Q3 (12)0.99-14.66-62.36
22Q2 (11)1.16-20.0-57.97
22Q1 (10)1.4546.46-64.46
21Q4 (9)0.99-62.36-17.5
21Q3 (8)2.63-4.71103.88
21Q2 (7)2.76-32.35311.94
21Q1 (6)4.08240.0920.0
20Q4 (5)1.2-6.98242.86
20Q3 (4)1.2992.540.0
20Q2 (3)0.6767.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.414.290.0
19Q4 (1)0.350.00.0

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