玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/118.7411.4321.5683.057.0724.47N/A-
2024/107.84-0.65-3.2374.315.5924.32N/A-
2024/97.89-8.0810.2366.466.7424.330.38-
2024/88.599.367.4158.576.2923.620.39-
2024/77.859.318.3149.986.122.150.42-
2024/67.181.0219.0542.135.721.380.44-
2024/57.110.392.7534.953.3121.60.44-
2024/47.08-4.397.0727.843.4620.550.46-
2024/37.4122.26-0.3220.762.2820.760.54-
2024/26.06-16.86-1.3113.353.7920.090.56-
2024/17.298.18.467.298.4621.220.53-
2023/126.74-6.21-22.4384.3-13.1122.030.44-
2023/117.19-11.3-9.077.56-12.1922.450.43-
2023/108.113.189.2470.37-12.523.260.42-
2023/97.16-10.43-8.0962.26-14.7122.410.47-
2023/88.010.28-2.8855.1-15.521.280.5-
2023/77.2520.16-20.7747.11-17.3320.20.52-
2023/66.03-12.8-34.5339.86-16.6719.570.52-
2023/56.924.61-21.4733.82-12.420.970.49-
2023/46.61-11.00.6826.91-9.7320.190.51-
2023/37.4321.05-6.3820.29-12.6720.290.47-
2023/26.14-8.63-12.2812.86-15.9321.550.44-
2023/16.72-22.69-19.016.72-19.0123.310.41-
2022/128.6910.028.8497.022.824.010.39-
2022/117.96.48-23.488.332.2423.110.4-
2022/107.42-4.79-1.4580.435.7223.440.4-
2022/97.79-5.35-5.3973.016.525.180.37-
2022/88.23-10.02-13.5865.228.1326.60.35-
2022/79.15-0.7123.256.9812.227.180.35-
2022/69.224.5916.847.8310.3224.60.47-
2022/58.8134.125.3138.628.8823.320.5-
2022/46.57-17.254.3729.819.9821.510.54-
2022/37.9413.4113.9723.2411.6723.240.43-
2022/27.0-15.636.9615.310.5223.280.43-
2022/18.33.913.78.313.726.60.37-
2021/127.99-22.57-3.1894.3710.725.830.37-
2021/1110.3137.050.1486.3912.1826.080.37雙十一活動節日,3C周邊商品有明顯增長
2021/107.53-8.5917.7476.078.4725.290.38-
2021/98.24-13.5511.0968.557.5425.190.26-
2021/89.5328.2825.3460.317.0724.840.26-
2021/77.43-5.861.2350.784.2223.680.27-
2021/67.89-5.6915.1243.364.7522.550.26-
2021/58.3732.9218.2335.472.6921.630.27-
2021/46.29-9.64-6.1227.1-1.3119.80.3-
2021/36.976.44-2.2320.810.2420.810.38-
2021/26.54-10.32-1.5613.841.5322.090.36-
2021/17.3-11.524.487.34.4822.410.35-
2020/128.2520.0639.4785.2517.0721.510.37-
2020/116.877.446.477.015.0920.680.39-
2020/106.39-13.7510.8470.1316.0121.410.37-
2020/97.41-2.4614.6363.7416.5622.350.35-
2020/87.63.66.1156.3316.8221.790.36-
2020/77.347.0414.6448.7318.6921.260.37-
2020/66.85-3.1412.641.3919.4320.630.41-
2020/57.085.5318.9634.5420.8920.910.41-
2020/46.7-5.8914.6127.4621.420.480.42-
2020/37.127.1731.4920.7623.7720.760.36-
2020/26.65-4.842.4113.6320.0819.550.38-
2020/16.9818.094.496.984.490.0N/A-
2019/125.91-8.39-0.6672.82-3.550.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.292023/16.722022/18.32021/17.32020/16.98
2024/26.062023/26.142022/27.02021/26.542020/26.65
2024/37.412023/37.432022/37.942021/36.972020/37.12
2024/47.082023/46.612022/46.572021/46.292020/46.7
2024/57.112023/56.922022/58.812021/58.372020/57.08
2024/67.182023/66.032022/69.222021/67.892020/66.85
2024/77.852023/77.252022/79.152021/77.432020/77.34
2024/88.592023/88.02022/88.232021/89.532020/87.6
2024/97.892023/97.162022/97.792021/98.242020/97.41
2024/107.842023/108.12022/107.422021/107.532020/106.39
2024/118.742023/117.192022/117.92021/1110.312020/116.87
N/AN/A2023/126.742022/128.692021/127.992020/128.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.65%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1515.38400.0
24Q2 (19)0.13-13.33160.0
24Q1 (18)0.1536.36400.0
23Q4 (17)0.11266.67266.67
23Q3 (16)0.03-40.0-66.67
23Q2 (15)0.0566.67-16.67
23Q1 (14)0.030.0-81.25
22Q4 (13)0.03-66.67-40.0
22Q3 (12)0.0950.080.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-62.520.0
22Q1 (10)0.16220.060.0
21Q4 (9)0.050.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.050.066.67
21Q2 (7)0.05-50.00
21Q1 (6)0.1100.042.86
20Q4 (5)0.0566.6725.0
20Q3 (4)0.0300.0

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