玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.9960.645.1215.42-8.354.95N/A-
2024/101.24-27.788.5513.43-13.14.61N/A-
2024/91.723.87-16.212.19-14.834.420.3-
2024/81.6558.08-1.6110.47-14.63.740.36-
2024/71.050.54-52.818.82-16.673.530.38本公司本月營收減少52.81%,主係去年度有較大專案所致。
2024/61.04-27.74-42.47.77-7.084.30.32-
2024/51.44-20.655.446.732.644.160.33-
2024/41.82100.7963.695.291.93.380.41本月營收增加主係大型專案營收入帳所致。
2024/30.937.25-37.333.47-14.873.470.44-
2024/20.66-65.53-57.42.57-2.599.340.16本月營收較去年度減少主係春節假期導致出貨時間差異。
2024/11.91-71.7774.981.9174.9810.060.15本月營收增加主係去年春節假期落在1月導致出貨時間差異。
2023/126.77393.18247.5323.61.439.290.13本月營收增加主係大型專案營收入帳所致。
2023/111.3720.13-43.8816.83-21.054.570.26-
2023/101.14-44.26-22.9515.46-18.094.880.24-
2023/92.0521.960.914.31-17.685.950.21-
2023/81.68-24.17-62.2112.26-20.145.710.22本公司本月營收年減62.22%,主係去年度專案外銷金額約2.7億,本年度尚未有專案銷售所致。
2023/72.2222.7218.6310.58-2.975.390.23-
2023/61.8132.2813.578.36-7.444.280.58-
2023/51.3723.17-24.116.56-11.933.920.64-
2023/41.11-23.13-10.295.19-8.054.10.61-
2023/31.44-6.693.294.08-7.424.080.44-
2023/21.5541.5620.162.64-12.394.590.39-
2023/11.09-43.94-36.681.09-36.685.490.32-
2022/121.95-20.36-16.4923.27-7.655.880.32-
2022/112.4564.94-4.5421.32-6.755.960.32-
2022/101.48-27.0-70.7718.87-7.027.970.24本月較去年同期減少70.77%,主係去年同期有大型專案,本月無此情形。
2022/92.03-54.3241.1317.3914.228.350.31-
2022/84.45138.07162.2115.3611.417.910.33本公司本月份主要因專案外銷而增加約2.7億營收
2022/71.8717.48-11.210.91-9.765.260.49-
2022/61.59-11.61-12.049.04-9.454.630.55-
2022/51.845.5933.727.45-8.884.430.58-
2022/41.24-11.48-32.245.65-17.283.920.65-
2022/31.48.54-18.494.41-11.834.410.45-
2022/21.29-25.433.853.01-8.355.350.37-
2022/11.73-26.07-25.81.73-25.86.620.3-
2021/122.33-8.97-17.0525.2-9.589.970.18-
2021/112.56-49.49-10.4322.86-8.749.080.2-
2021/105.08252.48246.920.3-8.528.210.22當月與去年同期增加246.91%,主係接到專案挹注營收成長
2021/91.44-15.14-31.815.22-26.555.240.86-
2021/81.7-19.38-46.9513.78-25.965.610.81-
2021/72.1116.38-33.9312.09-21.65.260.86-
2021/61.8134.36-43.639.98-18.394.980.45-
2021/51.35-26.22-58.498.17-9.414.880.46當月與去年同期減少58.49%,主因去年同期特定大單伺服器專案挹注
2021/41.826.467.586.8318.144.50.5-
2021/31.7178.2638.875.022.525.00.57-
2021/20.96-58.65-19.913.2915.446.10.47-
2021/12.33-17.3541.212.3341.218.00.35-
2020/122.81-1.7-28.7327.8739.747.140.29-
2020/112.8695.61140.0225.0556.646.440.32受惠大客戶筆電強勁需求與大型專案挹注帶動營收相較去年本月及去年累計成長。
2020/101.46-30.71-4.2322.1949.926.770.31-
2020/92.11-33.9970.5720.7356.168.50.2受惠伺服器專案訂單、遊戲公司建置專案、居家辦公潮帶動筆電強勁需求,使母公司單月營收及累計營收相較去年本月及去年累計成長。
2020/83.20.39105.2918.6254.679.590.17受惠伺服器專案訂單、遊戲公司建置專案、居家辦公潮帶動筆電強勁需求,使母公司單月營收及累計營收相較去年本月及去年累計成長。
2020/73.19-0.760.0915.4247.149.640.17當月與去年同期增加60.09%,主係接到伺服器專案挹注營收成長
2020/63.21-1.05120.5612.2344.118.150.34當月與去年同期增加120.57%,主係接到伺服器專案挹注營收成長
2020/53.2491.23113.719.0228.296.170.45當月與去年同期增加113.72%,主係接到伺服器專案挹注營收成長
2020/41.737.4219.495.784.784.130.67-
2020/31.232.817.834.08-0.314.080.44-
2020/21.2-27.1-17.032.85-6.566.80.26-
2020/11.65-58.292.911.652.910.0N/A-
2019/123.95231.07146.2919.9418.560.0N/A專案訂單於年底前陸續驗收結案及採用IFRS15收入認列原則
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.912023/11.092022/11.732021/12.332020/11.65
2024/20.662023/21.552022/21.292021/20.962020/21.2
2024/30.92023/31.442022/31.42021/31.712020/31.23
2024/41.822023/41.112022/41.242021/41.822020/41.7
2024/51.442023/51.372022/51.82021/51.352020/53.24
2024/61.042023/61.812022/61.592021/61.812020/63.21
2024/71.052023/72.222022/71.872021/72.112020/73.19
2024/81.652023/81.682022/84.452021/81.72020/83.2
2024/91.722023/92.052022/92.032021/91.442020/92.11
2024/101.242023/101.142022/101.482021/105.082020/101.46
2024/111.992023/111.372022/112.452021/112.562020/112.86
N/AN/A2023/126.772022/121.952021/122.332020/122.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.62-7.460.0
24Q2 (19)0.67-6.944.69
24Q1 (18)0.72-8.864.35
23Q4 (17)0.7927.42-26.17
23Q3 (16)0.62-3.12-31.11
23Q2 (15)0.64-7.25-37.25
23Q1 (14)0.69-35.5118.97
22Q4 (13)1.0718.8950.7
22Q3 (12)0.9-11.76-43.4
22Q2 (11)1.0275.8645.71
22Q1 (10)0.58-18.313.57
21Q4 (9)0.71-55.354.41
21Q3 (8)1.59127.14224.49
21Q2 (7)0.725.0-11.39
21Q1 (6)0.56-17.6514.29
20Q4 (5)0.6838.7823.64
20Q3 (4)0.49-37.970.0
20Q2 (3)0.7961.220.0
20Q1 (2)0.49-10.910.0
19Q4 (1)0.550.00.0

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