玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.75-1.33-1.3438.05-6.2211.36N/A-
2024/93.80.04-5.934.3-6.7211.350.05-
2024/83.81.55-4.0730.49-6.8211.450.05-
2024/73.74-4.18-5.2826.69-7.211.450.05-
2024/63.912.750.1322.95-7.5111.510.03-
2024/53.80.0-1.3219.04-8.9411.510.03-
2024/43.8-2.59-8.4915.24-10.6611.440.03-
2024/33.94.58-14.2311.44-11.3511.440.04-
2024/23.73-1.85-8.997.53-9.7911.390.04-
2024/13.8-1.27-10.553.8-10.5511.560.04-
2023/123.85-1.261.2748.32-3.6411.560.05-
2023/113.92.57-2.5144.47-4.0411.750.05-
2023/103.8-5.9-6.1740.57-4.1911.810.05-
2023/94.041.98-10.236.77-3.9811.960.04-
2023/83.960.27-9.9532.73-3.1511.820.04-
2023/73.951.3-7.0628.76-2.1311.710.04-
2023/63.91.25-10.3424.81-1.2911.910.06-
2023/53.85-7.26-10.020.910.5912.560.05-
2023/44.15-8.70.0417.063.3412.810.05-
2023/34.5510.9710.8912.94.4412.90.05-
2023/24.1-3.541.288.351.2412.160.05-
2023/14.2511.781.24.251.212.060.05-
2022/123.8-4.95-7.7450.1516.0711.860.04-
2022/114.0-1.2814.2846.3518.5812.560.04-
2022/104.05-9.9517.4442.3519.012.960.04-
2022/94.52.2710.2638.2919.1713.160.06-
2022/84.43.498.6233.7920.4613.010.06-
2022/74.25-2.2621.4529.3922.4612.880.06-
2022/64.351.6320.8325.1422.6412.790.06-
2022/54.283.0927.7620.7923.0212.540.06-
2022/44.151.1820.2516.5121.8512.310.06-
2022/34.11.3620.6412.3522.412.350.07-
2022/24.05-3.6220.838.2523.2912.370.07-
2022/14.21.925.774.225.7711.820.07-
2021/124.1217.7430.5343.2122.9411.080.07-
2021/113.51.4410.8639.0922.1911.040.07-
2021/103.45-15.4512.7535.5823.4311.590.07-
2021/94.080.7531.1832.1324.711.640.07-
2021/84.0515.7132.828.0523.8111.150.07-
2021/73.5-2.7612.8524.022.4110.450.08-
2021/63.67.468.0520.524.210.40.07-
2021/53.35-2.9611.616.928.2910.210.07-
2021/43.451.5123.3113.5533.2210.210.07-
2021/33.41.5225.9710.0936.9910.090.06-
2021/23.350.3142.56.6943.379.850.06-
2021/13.345.7544.253.3444.259.660.06-
2020/123.160.019.9735.1417.739.380.04-
2020/113.163.1626.1331.9917.529.330.05-
2020/103.06-1.6321.428.8316.649.220.05-
2020/93.111.9921.9325.7716.19.270.05-
2020/83.05-1.6621.9122.6615.359.490.05-
2020/73.1-6.921.6219.614.399.440.05-
2020/63.3310.9928.0116.513.129.140.04-
2020/53.07.2122.0313.179.898.50.04-
2020/42.83.714.2310.176.757.850.04-
2020/32.714.853.827.374.167.370.05-
2020/22.351.5411.954.674.367.30.05-
2020/12.32-12.03-2.352.32-2.357.450.05-
2019/122.635.130.6729.85-0.380.0N/A-
2019/112.5-0.690.0927.22-0.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.82023/14.252022/14.22021/13.342020/12.32
2024/23.732023/24.12022/24.052021/23.352020/22.35
2024/33.92023/34.552022/34.12021/33.42020/32.7
2024/43.82023/44.152022/44.152021/43.452020/42.8
2024/53.82023/53.852022/54.282021/53.352020/53.0
2024/63.912023/63.92022/64.352021/63.62020/63.33
2024/73.742023/73.952022/74.252021/73.52020/73.1
2024/83.82023/83.962022/84.42021/84.052020/83.05
2024/93.82023/94.042022/94.52021/94.082020/93.11
2024/103.752023/103.82022/104.052021/103.452020/103.06
N/AN/A2023/113.92022/114.02021/113.52020/113.16
N/AN/A2023/123.852022/123.82021/124.122020/123.16
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.88-49.43-19.27
24Q2 (19)1.7427.01656.52
24Q1 (18)1.37075.64

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