玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.1126.954.3411.76-2.693.11N/A-
2024/100.88-21.46-19.5710.65-3.372.92N/A-
2024/91.1220.52-21.169.77-1.593.170.93-
2024/80.93-17.34-27.028.651.663.210.92-
2024/71.12-3.62-3.827.736.693.350.88-
2024/61.169.3715.926.68.713.450.78-
2024/51.06-12.79-13.415.447.283.470.77-
2024/41.222.8245.794.3813.93.190.84-
2024/31.1952.13-17.793.164.83.160.89-
2024/20.78-34.47-2.311.9726.113.190.88-
2024/11.19-2.3555.831.1955.833.480.81去年同期受塞港影響,出貨延遲致去年同期營收較少
2023/121.2214.16-5.913.31-25.183.380.89-
2023/111.07-2.15-2.1512.09-26.863.580.84-
2023/101.09-23.01-16.2511.02-28.613.780.79-
2023/91.4211.56-7.949.93-29.293.850.81-
2023/81.278.94-8.08.51-32.413.440.9-
2023/71.1716.16-22.877.24-35.423.40.91-
2023/61.0-18.3-22.696.08-36.853.071.08-
2023/51.2346.83-16.395.07-39.643.510.94-
2023/40.84-42.02-46.03.84-44.573.081.07本月因歐美客戶訂單較上月少
2023/31.4480.8-17.53.01-43.693.011.29-
2023/20.84.53-47.731.56-57.012.861.35本月因尚待下遊客戶去化庫存,致本月營收較去年同期減少
2023/10.76-41.04-63.730.76-63.733.151.23本期因假期較長,實際營業天數較短,去年同期為完整營業月份,故本期收入大幅減少。
2022/121.318.71-33.1817.82-2.253.691.06-
2022/111.09-16.25-37.5816.53-2.143.930.99-
2022/101.3-15.38-27.9215.441.954.220.93-
2022/91.5411.49-26.7314.136.244.431.11-
2022/81.38-8.66-1.6712.612.124.191.17-
2022/71.5116.445.5211.2114.14.281.15-
2022/61.3-11.65-30.649.715.694.321.27-
2022/51.47-5.16-9.778.428.824.771.15-
2022/41.55-11.4221.636.9341.684.831.14-
2022/31.7514.5538.545.3849.745.381.1-
2022/21.53-27.4740.573.6354.195.571.06本月主因歐美市場需求增加,去年同期歐美市場因疫情影響尚未復甦
2022/12.118.6365.862.1165.865.791.02本月主因歐美市場需求增加,去年同期歐美市場因疫情影響尚未復甦
2021/121.9410.8860.9518.8335.05.51.1主因去年同期歐美疫情影響市場需求疲弱,本月歐美解封出貨增加
2021/111.75-3.2816.616.8931.885.661.07-
2021/101.81-13.9887.415.1433.95.311.14主因去年同期歐美疫情影響市場需求疲弱,本月歐美解封出貨增加
2021/92.149.6448.4913.3328.964.941.08-
2021/81.4-1.9835.8511.2325.814.711.14-
2021/71.43-23.4623.059.8324.494.931.08-
2021/61.8714.9262.778.424.844.781.02主因去年同期歐美疫情影響市場需求疲弱,本月主要為歐美出貨增加
2021/51.6327.8470.466.5216.94.171.16主因去年同期歐美疫情影響市場需求疲弱,本月歐美解封出貨增加
2021/41.270.8935.984.895.833.621.34-
2021/31.2616.22-0.433.62-1.93.621.03-
2021/21.09-14.432.652.36-2.543.561.04-
2021/11.275.42-6.61.27-6.63.970.94-
2020/121.2-19.66-17.614.01-16.983.670.8-
2020/111.555.4325.1512.81-17.173.880.76-
2020/100.96-31.84-13.4211.31-20.723.410.86-
2020/91.4236.9-21.9210.34-21.393.610.83-
2020/81.03-11.21-31.118.93-21.253.350.9-
2020/71.161.24-5.957.89-19.743.270.92-
2020/61.1520.35-6.056.73-21.883.041.24-
2020/50.961.98-36.655.58-24.333.161.19-
2020/40.94-26.12-42.884.62-21.163.261.15-
2020/31.2719.83-11.893.69-12.363.690.91-
2020/21.06-22.14-9.02.42-13.173.880.86-
2020/11.36-6.99-16.151.36-16.150.0N/A-
2019/121.4622.011.8616.9214.160.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.192023/10.762022/12.112021/11.272020/11.36
2024/20.782023/20.82022/21.532021/21.092020/21.06
2024/31.192023/31.442022/31.752021/31.262020/31.27
2024/41.222023/40.842022/41.552021/41.272020/40.94
2024/51.062023/51.232022/51.472021/51.632020/50.96
2024/61.162023/61.02022/61.32021/61.872020/61.15
2024/71.122023/71.172022/71.512021/71.432020/71.16
2024/80.932023/81.272022/81.382021/81.42020/81.03
2024/91.122023/91.422022/91.542021/92.12020/91.42
2024/100.882023/101.092022/101.32021/101.812020/100.96
2024/111.112023/111.072022/111.092021/111.752020/111.5
N/AN/A2023/121.222022/121.32021/121.942020/121.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.26-23.53-36.59
24Q2 (19)0.34-5.56-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.3628.57-2.7
23Q4 (17)0.28-31.710.0
23Q3 (16)0.41-19.615.13
23Q2 (15)0.5137.846.25
23Q1 (14)0.3732.1415.62
22Q4 (13)0.28-28.21-9.68
22Q3 (12)0.39-18.750.0
22Q2 (11)0.4850.0-12.73
22Q1 (10)0.323.23-59.49
21Q4 (9)0.31-20.51-51.56
21Q3 (8)0.39-29.09-32.76
21Q2 (7)0.55-30.3817.02
21Q1 (6)0.7923.44132.35
20Q4 (5)0.6410.3477.78
20Q3 (4)0.5823.40.0
20Q2 (3)0.4738.240.0
20Q1 (2)0.34-5.560.0
19Q4 (1)0.360.00.0

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