玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.97-22.542.2719.8110.776.48N/A-
2024/92.5429.4729.4317.8411.86.410.0-
2024/81.963.2816.2615.39.325.850.0-
2024/71.9-4.225.9313.338.375.810.0-
2024/61.993.24-3.9311.438.795.690.0-
2024/51.928.0924.919.4511.915.520.0-
2024/41.78-1.9913.487.529.05.220.0-
2024/31.8211.712.245.747.695.740.0-
2024/21.63-29.39-10.113.935.717.140.0-
2024/12.3-28.4420.722.320.727.390.0-
2023/123.2271.8517.7622.971.257.020.0-
2023/111.87-2.826.1819.76-1.05.760.0-
2023/101.93-1.9625.3717.88-1.75.580.0-
2023/91.9716.321.3915.96-4.195.450.0-
2023/81.69-5.89-13.2913.99-6.955.550.0-
2023/71.8-13.1411.8912.3-6.05.40.0-
2023/62.0734.2519.0110.51-8.515.170.0-
2023/51.54-1.79-16.038.44-13.414.730.0-
2023/41.57-3.06-8.716.9-12.84.990.0-
2023/31.62-10.54-10.975.33-13.945.330.0-
2023/21.81-5.17-13.383.72-15.176.450.0-
2023/11.91-30.18-16.81.91-16.86.40.0-
2022/122.7354.94-5.9422.691.556.030.0-
2022/111.7614.73-32.2719.962.674.920.0-
2022/101.54-5.08-0.2318.198.075.10.0-
2022/91.62-16.92-14.3116.668.915.170.0-
2022/81.9521.4413.9515.0412.185.290.0-
2022/71.6-7.619.7913.0911.925.180.0-
2022/61.74-5.288.711.4812.235.290.0-
2022/51.836.773.479.7512.885.370.0-
2022/41.72-5.4716.047.9115.315.620.0-
2022/31.82-12.96-0.526.215.116.20.0-
2022/22.09-8.9245.424.3823.147.280.0-
2022/12.29-21.078.062.298.067.80.0-
2021/122.911.5752.2222.3417.617.050.0本月認列數個重大專案階段性收入,故單月營收同期比增加52.22%。
2021/112.669.047.9719.4413.756.030.0-
2021/101.54-18.48-0.7716.839.825.140.0-
2021/91.8910.48-18.5115.2911.025.060.0-
2021/81.7117.0124.3213.416.994.770.0-
2021/71.46-8.53-15.7511.6916.04.830.0-
2021/61.6-9.84-12.5710.2322.64.850.0-
2021/51.7719.7435.948.6432.455.080.0-
2021/41.48-18.9619.726.8631.584.740.0-
2021/31.8327.2434.615.3835.275.380.0-
2021/21.44-32.3129.243.5635.625.460.0-
2021/12.1211.1640.32.1240.35.790.0-
2020/121.918.46-25.1918.9910.085.220.0-
2020/111.7613.3222.7917.0916.25.630.0-
2020/101.55-33.052.5215.3315.485.250.0-
2020/92.3268.5575.4113.7817.155.430.0本月認列數個重大專案階段性收入,故單月營收同期比增加75.41%。
2020/81.38-20.7-1.4111.469.784.940.0-
2020/71.73-5.0827.7210.0811.54.870.0-
2020/61.8340.1715.468.358.644.370.0-
2020/51.35.456.096.526.873.90.0-
2020/41.24-8.893.55.227.073.70.0-
2020/31.3622.170.043.988.233.980.0-
2020/21.11-26.52-1.62.6213.015.170.0-
2020/11.51-40.7326.861.5126.865.490.0-
2019/122.5578.0511.8517.258.950.0N/A-
2019/111.43-5.3812.7614.78.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.32023/11.912022/12.292021/12.122020/11.51
2024/21.632023/21.812022/22.092021/21.442020/21.11
2024/31.822023/31.622022/31.822021/31.832020/31.36
2024/41.782023/41.572022/41.722021/41.482020/41.24
2024/51.922023/51.542022/51.832021/51.772020/51.3
2024/61.992023/62.072022/61.742021/61.62020/61.83
2024/71.92023/71.82022/71.62021/71.462020/71.73
2024/81.962023/81.692022/81.952021/81.712020/81.38
2024/92.542023/91.972022/91.622021/91.892020/92.32
2024/101.972023/101.932022/101.542021/101.542020/101.55
N/AN/A2023/111.872022/111.762021/112.62020/111.76
N/AN/A2023/123.222022/122.732021/122.92020/121.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.566.8512.23
24Q2 (19)1.46-3.951.39
24Q1 (18)1.5255.11.33
23Q4 (17)0.98-29.5-7.55
23Q3 (16)1.39-3.47-6.71
23Q2 (15)1.44-4.02.13
23Q1 (14)1.541.51-13.29
22Q4 (13)1.06-28.86-17.83
22Q3 (12)1.495.67-3.25
22Q2 (11)1.41-18.56.82
22Q1 (10)1.7334.1141.8
21Q4 (9)1.29-16.2310.26
21Q3 (8)1.5416.6765.59
21Q2 (7)1.328.262.96
21Q1 (6)1.224.2738.64
20Q4 (5)1.1725.8153.95
20Q3 (4)0.9314.810.0
20Q2 (3)0.81-7.950.0
20Q1 (2)0.8815.790.0
19Q4 (1)0.760.00.0

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