玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.6327.9441.1963.815.8420.53N/A-
2024/95.97-13.920.9756.1613.0819.931.7-
2024/86.93-1.4428.6450.214.7120.041.69-
2024/77.0315.7126.4943.2712.7620.381.66-
2024/66.08-16.434.7736.2310.4318.391.86-
2024/57.2744.328.1130.1611.6519.71.74-
2024/45.04-31.8-17.922.887.2716.642.06-
2024/37.3975.5330.3317.8517.4417.851.93-
2024/24.21-32.59-13.8110.469.7716.832.05-
2024/16.25-1.9934.596.2534.5918.571.86-
2023/126.376.9810.9467.42.9317.731.9-
2023/115.9610.17-8.4561.032.1617.271.95-
2023/105.41-8.4921.3255.073.4616.72.02-
2023/95.919.66-3.1649.671.8316.862.03-
2023/85.39-3.086.0643.762.5416.752.04-
2023/75.56-4.143.5438.372.0717.042.01-
2023/65.82.180.0932.811.8217.611.83-
2023/55.68-7.53-1.2527.012.217.481.84-
2023/46.148.2632.8521.333.1716.691.93-
2023/35.6716.08-0.0715.19-5.3715.192.12-
2023/24.885.268.459.52-8.2615.272.11-
2023/14.64-19.21-21.074.64-21.0716.891.91-
2022/125.74-11.728.0565.484.4216.711.8-
2022/116.5146.02-7.8859.734.0917.061.76-
2022/104.46-26.97-2.253.235.7715.641.92-
2022/96.120.12.7648.776.5616.551.64-
2022/85.08-5.38-6.2942.677.1316.241.67-
2022/75.37-7.3416.3437.599.2416.911.6-
2022/65.790.815.6132.228.1416.161.54-
2022/55.7524.438.5826.436.6316.041.55-
2022/44.62-18.57-22.6920.680.2114.81.68-
2022/35.6725.9913.716.069.5516.061.36-
2022/24.5-23.39-0.8210.387.4115.71.39-
2022/15.8810.614.725.8814.7218.261.2-
2021/125.32-24.7517.1162.75.6516.941.23-
2021/117.0655.0429.9957.394.717.561.19-
2021/104.56-23.26-9.0450.321.9215.911.31-
2021/95.949.5216.8345.773.1515.971.35-
2021/85.4217.47-2.939.831.3915.051.43-
2021/74.61-7.92-3.6834.412.113.771.56-
2021/65.0120.83-7.3829.793.0615.141.33-
2021/54.15-30.6-18.224.785.4615.121.33-
2021/45.9819.7629.6420.6311.9815.511.29-
2021/34.999.9-15.7914.666.0914.661.31-
2021/24.54-11.3812.779.6722.5314.21.35-
2021/15.1212.9132.75.1232.715.11.27-
2020/124.54-16.471.4759.35-5.0914.981.19-
2020/115.438.47-0.0954.81-5.615.521.15-
2020/105.01-1.4215.2249.37-6.1715.671.14-
2020/95.08-8.983.1844.36-8.0915.461.1-
2020/85.5816.5212.8539.28-9.3715.791.07-
2020/74.79-11.46-28.8633.7-12.2415.271.11-
2020/65.416.72-17.3328.91-8.715.091.09-
2020/55.079.98-1.7323.5-6.4515.611.05-
2020/44.61-22.2-13.1818.43-7.6714.561.13-
2020/35.9347.1711.413.81-5.6813.811.21-
2020/24.034.2811.477.89-15.4212.361.35-
2020/13.86-13.66-32.423.86-32.4213.771.21-
2019/124.47-17.77-3.5462.539.10.0N/A-
2019/115.4425.1-9.258.0610.210.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.252023/14.642022/15.882021/15.122020/13.86
2024/24.212023/24.882022/24.52021/24.542020/24.03
2024/37.392023/35.672022/35.672021/34.992020/35.93
2024/45.042023/46.142022/44.622021/45.982020/44.61
2024/57.272023/55.682022/55.752021/54.152020/55.07
2024/66.082023/65.82022/65.792021/65.012020/65.41
2024/77.032023/75.562022/75.372021/74.612020/74.79
2024/86.932023/85.392022/85.082021/85.422020/85.58
2024/95.972023/95.912022/96.12021/95.942020/95.08
2024/107.632023/105.412022/104.462021/104.562020/105.01
N/AN/A2023/115.962022/116.512021/117.062020/115.43
N/AN/A2023/126.372022/125.742021/125.322020/124.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 317.19%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)30.5-3.886.35
24Q2 (19)31.732.6518.0
24Q1 (18)30.915.7120.65
23Q4 (17)29.241.9521.99
23Q3 (16)28.686.6627.35
23Q2 (15)26.894.9623.29
23Q1 (14)25.626.8823.05
22Q4 (13)23.976.4413.55
22Q3 (12)22.523.2614.9
22Q2 (11)21.814.7621.71
22Q1 (10)20.82-1.3722.18
21Q4 (9)21.117.734.63
21Q3 (8)19.69.3832.34
21Q2 (7)17.925.1624.01
21Q1 (6)17.048.6712.48
20Q4 (5)15.685.870.64
20Q3 (4)14.812.490.0
20Q2 (3)14.45-4.620.0
20Q1 (2)15.15-2.760.0
19Q4 (1)15.580.00.0

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