玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.857.28-21.029.23-4.528.37N/A-
2024/102.66-7.1-0.5326.38-2.328.63N/A-
2024/92.86-8.16-11.9423.73-2.519.260.85-
2024/83.11-5.16-12.8720.87-1.068.920.89-
2024/73.2829.9821.8717.751.348.780.9-
2024/62.53-14.93-25.0814.47-2.388.411.0-
2024/52.971.91-2.2411.944.297.681.09-
2024/42.9162.180.818.976.656.421.3銷售訂單增加
2024/31.85.12-30.016.06-10.916.061.32-
2024/21.71-33.02-19.884.260.677.711.04-
2024/12.55-25.8421.572.5521.579.60.84-
2023/123.44-4.5750.6234.0613.259.720.79銷售訂單增加
2023/113.6135.09-5.1530.6210.179.530.8-
2023/102.67-17.7616.0427.0112.69.490.81-
2023/93.25-9.1333.7924.3412.249.520.89-
2023/83.5732.6625.7721.099.529.640.87-
2023/72.69-20.118.617.526.719.10.93-
2023/63.3710.9928.1114.824.88.021.18-
2023/53.0488.5142.2911.45-0.527.221.31-
2023/41.61-37.25-28.828.41-10.266.311.5-
2023/32.5720.357.016.8-4.366.81.41-
2023/22.131.6233.324.23-10.156.521.47-
2023/12.1-8.11-32.522.1-32.528.191.17-
2022/122.29-39.91-17.2630.08-23.28.391.21-
2022/113.865.28-1.3727.79-23.658.531.19-
2022/102.3-5.18-9.2623.99-26.37.571.35-
2022/92.43-14.57-33.4221.69-27.747.541.52-
2022/82.8425.09-13.4419.26-26.957.751.48-
2022/72.27-13.69-39.0716.42-28.877.041.63-
2022/62.6323.27-20.3814.14-26.917.031.58-
2022/52.14-5.7-23.4411.51-28.256.81.63-
2022/42.26-5.66-23.069.38-29.266.261.77-
2022/32.449.94-34.397.11-31.037.111.53-
2022/21.6-48.57-32.834.71-29.197.481.46-
2022/13.1112.65-27.163.11-27.169.731.12-
2021/122.76-28.37-36.5939.1711.539.161.22-
2021/113.8652.065.3536.418.3410.041.12-
2021/102.54-30.43-5.9232.5520.19.471.18-
2021/93.6511.05-3.4930.0122.9810.661.11-
2021/83.28-11.93-15.5726.3627.8310.321.15-
2021/73.7312.775.5223.0837.929.821.2-
2021/63.3118.5512.8119.3546.599.041.4-
2021/52.79-5.2423.8716.0556.239.391.35訂單增加
2021/42.94-19.5518.9313.2665.318.981.41訂單增加
2021/33.6653.5373.9910.3186.010.311.12訂單增加
2021/22.38-44.2272.06.6693.3411.011.05訂單增加
2021/14.27-1.93107.724.27107.7212.290.94訂單增加
2020/124.3619.0118.2535.128.5410.710.95訂單量增加
2020/113.6635.7962.630.761.3310.141.01音訊產品訂單增加
2020/102.7-28.640.1827.1-3.5710.360.99-
2020/93.78-2.8536.9224.4-3.9711.20.8-
2020/83.8910.0729.6220.62-8.9510.350.87-
2020/73.5320.5627.7816.74-14.848.721.03-
2020/62.9330.17-3.3313.2-21.827.661.1-
2020/52.25-9.01-21.4710.27-25.876.831.24-
2020/42.4717.67-14.158.02-27.015.961.42-
2020/32.151.77-16.165.55-31.595.551.37-
2020/21.39-32.6452.883.44-38.55.441.39春節
2020/12.063.04-56.152.06-56.150.0N/A春節連假
2019/122.0-11.330.1332.35-0.780.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.552023/12.12022/13.112021/14.272020/12.06
2024/21.712023/22.132022/21.62021/22.382020/21.39
2024/31.82023/32.572022/32.42021/33.662020/32.1
2024/42.912023/41.612022/42.262021/42.942020/42.47
2024/52.972023/53.042022/52.142021/52.792020/52.25
2024/62.532023/63.372022/62.632021/63.312020/62.93
2024/73.282023/72.692022/72.272021/73.732020/73.53
2024/83.112023/83.572022/82.842021/83.282020/83.89
2024/92.862023/93.252022/92.432021/93.652020/93.78
2024/102.662023/102.672022/102.32021/102.542020/102.7
2024/112.852023/113.612022/113.82021/113.862020/113.66
N/AN/A2023/123.442022/122.292021/122.762020/124.36
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3925.8169.57
24Q2 (19)0.31-40.3863.16
24Q1 (18)0.5273.33271.43
23Q4 (17)0.330.43-3.23
23Q3 (16)0.2321.05-63.49
23Q2 (15)0.1935.71-48.65
23Q1 (14)0.14-54.84-50.0
22Q4 (13)0.31-50.79-20.51
22Q3 (12)0.6370.2796.88
22Q2 (11)0.3732.14-13.95
22Q1 (10)0.28-28.21-36.36
21Q4 (9)0.3921.880.0
21Q3 (8)0.32-25.580.0
21Q2 (7)0.43-2.2738.71
21Q1 (6)0.4412.8222.22
20Q4 (5)0.3921.8825.81
20Q3 (4)0.323.230.0
20Q2 (3)0.31-13.890.0
20Q1 (2)0.3616.130.0
19Q4 (1)0.310.00.0

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