玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.51-20.5173.0414.3659.435.06N/A本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/91.915.496.8712.8557.964.940.25本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/81.6518.4667.6410.9552.724.740.26本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/71.39-18.2423.519.350.364.970.24本年增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年大幅度增加。
2024/61.7-9.5459.937.9156.335.420.16本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/51.881.9790.716.2155.374.820.18本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/41.8467.88133.694.3343.813.370.26本月增加較多純買賣的低毛利商品,致使營收較去年同期大幅度增加。
2024/31.1156.9524.312.4911.912.490.49-
2024/20.43-55.61-42.961.393.742.590.47-
2024/10.96-19.9463.010.9663.012.960.41本月份業績較去年同期大幅度成長,係因去年元月適逢春節假期工作天數少,基期較低所致。
2023/121.251.0230.1411.01-31.412.870.22-
2023/110.8-8.77-24.399.81-35.172.640.24-
2023/100.87-9.56-48.29.01-35.972.820.22-
2023/90.97-1.73-5.798.14-34.313.070.36-
2023/80.98-12.72-33.267.17-36.883.170.35-
2023/71.135.86-25.26.19-37.423.170.35-
2023/61.067.86-23.965.06-39.622.840.39-
2023/50.9924.95-34.774.0-42.752.660.42-
2023/40.79-10.69-45.643.01-44.952.420.46-
2023/30.8817.88-42.872.22-44.712.220.63-
2023/20.7526.86-41.511.34-45.852.260.62-
2023/10.59-36.08-50.520.59-50.522.570.55年節假期影響,工作天數少,致使營收偏低。
2022/120.92-12.26-42.1116.05-24.053.660.5-
2022/111.05-37.51-47.0215.12-22.583.760.49-
2022/101.6964.49-9.6714.07-19.814.180.44-
2022/91.02-30.38-56.6912.39-21.014.00.73受通膨驟升影響消費力, 致使消費性電子產品業績較去年同期衰退
2022/81.47-2.18-26.211.36-14.674.380.66-
2022/71.517.61-28.069.89-12.644.420.66-
2022/61.4-7.46-26.38.38-9.144.360.66-
2022/51.514.12-15.566.98-4.74.510.64-
2022/41.45-6.13-20.635.47-1.194.280.68-
2022/31.5520.67-1.414.028.384.020.6-
2022/21.287.3286.722.4815.564.070.59受到疫情以及農曆年假期影響,客戶購貨時間的調度致使本月營收較去年大幅成長。
2022/11.19-25.22-17.971.19-17.974.780.5-
2021/121.6-19.71-3.721.1321.15.450.33-
2021/111.996.552.5819.5423.76.220.29-
2021/101.87-21.1314.1417.5526.666.230.29-
2021/92.3718.6255.4715.6828.346.450.28受疫情影響,整體市場缺料及IC供應周期較長,故客戶購貨增加以及提前備貨造成本月相較去年同期業績大幅增長。
2021/82.0-4.6429.8813.3124.475.990.31-
2021/72.0910.2532.611.3223.575.780.32-
2021/61.96.0117.629.2321.695.520.25-
2021/51.79-2.138.877.3322.795.190.27-
2021/41.8316.597.855.5428.084.080.34-
2021/31.57128.5724.393.7141.143.710.34主要是應用在遊戲類相關產品,受到疫情影響,銷售數量較去年同期成長所致。
2021/20.69-52.858.072.1456.573.80.33主要是應用在遊戲類相關產品,受到疫情影響,銷售數量較去年同期成長所致。
2021/11.46-12.298.571.4698.575.050.25因去年一月份正值農曆年假期,工作天數較少,基期低影響所致。
2020/121.66-14.4724.2217.4511.85.230.18-
2020/111.9418.5625.9515.7910.635.10.18-
2020/101.647.4140.4313.858.784.690.2-
2020/91.52-0.910.9112.225.64.640.28-
2020/81.54-2.64-23.7710.74.884.730.27-
2020/71.58-2.2-12.859.1611.944.840.26-
2020/61.61-1.8744.317.5818.994.950.19-
2020/51.64-3.0440.265.9713.64.60.21-
2020/41.734.4822.564.325.953.590.27-
2020/31.2698.5916.492.63-2.562.630.47-
2020/20.63-13.381.461.37-15.332.70.46-
2020/10.73-45.08-25.950.73-25.953.610.34-
2019/121.33-13.283.2515.61-2.220.0N/A-
2019/111.5432.2-6.0714.27-2.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.962023/10.592022/11.192021/11.462020/10.73
2024/20.432023/20.752022/21.282021/20.692020/20.63
2024/31.12023/30.882022/31.552021/31.572020/31.26
2024/41.842023/40.792022/41.452021/41.832020/41.7
2024/51.882023/50.992022/51.512021/51.792020/51.64
2024/61.72023/61.062022/61.42021/61.92020/61.61
2024/71.392023/71.132022/71.512021/72.092020/71.58
2024/81.652023/80.982022/81.472021/82.02020/81.54
2024/91.92023/90.972022/91.022021/92.372020/91.52
2024/101.512023/100.872022/101.692021/101.872020/101.64
N/AN/A2023/110.82022/111.052021/111.992020/111.94
N/AN/A2023/121.22022/120.922021/121.62020/121.66
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.14-56.2575.0
24Q2 (19)0.326.6710.34
24Q1 (18)0.3200.066.67
23Q4 (17)0.125.0-54.55
23Q3 (16)0.08-72.41-70.37
23Q2 (15)0.2961.11-44.23
23Q1 (14)0.18-18.18-72.73
22Q4 (13)0.22-18.52-33.33
22Q3 (12)0.27-48.08-43.75
22Q2 (11)0.52-21.21-22.39
22Q1 (10)0.66100.013.79
21Q4 (9)0.33-31.2594.12
21Q3 (8)0.48-28.36100.0
21Q2 (7)0.6715.520
21Q1 (6)0.58241.180
20Q4 (5)0.17-29.170
20Q3 (4)0.2400.0

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。