玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.1-5.65-9.3366.49-28.5621.82N/A-
2024/97.534.75-15.6959.39-30.3321.440.84-
2024/87.196.88-24.4851.86-32.0420.790.86-
2024/76.72-2.26-32.9244.67-33.1220.320.88-
2024/66.882.4-19.5837.95-33.1620.280.79-
2024/56.720.57-29.3531.07-35.5719.650.81-
2024/46.686.76-29.4224.35-37.0917.980.89-
2024/36.2624.03-37.1917.68-39.5817.670.9-
2024/25.04-20.78-45.811.41-40.8618.30.87-
2024/16.37-7.59-36.256.37-36.2520.880.76-
2023/126.89-9.59-36.96107.59-9.5722.340.75-
2023/117.62-2.7-36.82100.7-6.824.380.69-
2023/107.83-12.27-35.4893.08-3.0226.280.64-
2023/98.93-6.16-22.3985.251.6728.470.63-
2023/89.52-5.06-4.676.325.4928.090.63-
2023/710.0217.17-4.0766.87.1128.090.63-
2023/68.55-10.04-15.7756.789.3627.530.64-
2023/59.510.481.4448.2315.4728.930.61-
2023/49.46-4.996.338.7219.5328.730.62-
2023/39.967.0421.4129.2524.5529.250.61-
2023/29.31-6.8330.819.2926.2330.220.59-
2023/19.99-8.6222.269.9922.2632.980.54-
2022/1210.93-9.38-16.71118.988.0435.130.52-
2022/1112.06-0.635.94108.0511.3935.710.51-
2022/1012.145.5233.6395.9912.1233.620.54-
2022/911.515.3314.683.859.5631.930.66-
2022/89.97-4.539.0572.348.830.580.69-
2022/710.452.8712.4362.378.7629.980.7-
2022/610.168.3428.7351.928.0628.430.82-
2022/59.375.2920.0641.763.9926.480.88-
2022/48.98.516.9832.390.1224.220.96-
2022/38.215.31-14.923.49-5.0623.490.93-
2022/27.11-12.914.6415.281.2228.410.77-
2022/18.17-37.76-1.588.17-1.5832.680.67-
2021/1213.1315.2636.05110.1220.6933.60.54-
2021/1111.3925.3334.896.9918.8830.510.6-
2021/109.08-9.54.5685.6117.0428.270.65-
2021/910.049.759.2676.5218.7228.480.72-
2021/89.15-1.5710.8966.4820.326.330.78-
2021/79.2917.7933.5957.3421.9524.990.82-
2021/67.891.05-9.3248.0519.9323.310.85-
2021/57.812.584.6840.1628.0425.060.79-
2021/47.61-21.071.8732.3535.3324.050.82-
2021/39.6441.8243.2124.7450.5424.740.56109年第一季受疫情影響營收不佳,110年則恢復水準
2021/26.8-18.0983.1215.155.6324.750.56去年同期單月及累計因COVID-19導致整體營收減少,本年市場則較去年恢復,故單月及累計均較去年同期為佳
2021/18.3-13.9638.598.338.5926.390.52-
2020/129.6514.221.6391.236.2526.780.45-
2020/118.45-2.7710.2581.594.6926.320.46-
2020/108.69-5.439.1473.144.0826.120.46-
2020/99.1911.3925.8264.453.4424.390.49-
2020/88.2518.587.0855.260.4623.90.5-
2020/76.96-20.052.4247.02-0.623.110.52-
2020/68.716.667.5440.06-1.1123.630.47-
2020/57.46-0.168.0131.36-3.2721.660.51-
2020/47.4710.956.223.9-6.3317.910.62-
2020/36.7381.348.0716.43-11.116.430.54-
2020/23.71-38.01-24.099.7-20.8517.630.5-
2020/15.99-24.49-18.75.99-18.721.580.41-
2019/127.933.5214.7385.8612.050.0N/A-
2019/117.66-3.756.9877.9311.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.372023/19.992022/18.172021/18.32020/15.99
2024/25.042023/29.312022/27.112021/26.82020/23.71
2024/36.262023/39.962022/38.22021/39.642020/36.73
2024/46.682023/49.462022/48.92021/47.612020/47.47
2024/56.722023/59.512022/59.372021/57.812020/57.46
2024/66.882023/68.552022/610.162021/67.892020/68.7
2024/76.722023/710.022022/710.452021/79.292020/76.96
2024/87.192023/89.522022/89.972021/89.152020/88.25
2024/97.532023/98.932022/911.52021/910.042020/99.19
2024/107.12023/107.832022/1012.142021/109.082020/108.69
N/AN/A2023/117.622022/1112.062021/1111.392020/118.45
N/AN/A2023/126.892022/1210.932021/1213.132020/129.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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