玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.10.334.899.68-0.083.27N/A-
2024/91.091.08-10.878.59-0.683.080.51-
2024/81.0819.4213.957.490.992.990.53-
2024/70.91-10.042.136.41-0.93.030.52-
2024/61.01-10.341.855.51-1.383.10.61-
2024/51.1215.341.144.5-2.082.880.66-
2024/40.9723.63-1.63.38-3.112.570.74-
2024/30.79-2.64-12.022.4-3.712.40.51-
2024/20.810.09-7.041.620.932.280.53-
2024/10.8121.5610.420.8110.422.330.52-
2023/120.66-22.1-37.0311.21-6.182.560.3-
2023/110.85-18.4-14.1410.55-3.23.130.25-
2023/101.05-14.74-14.179.69-2.13.220.24-
2023/91.2329.2575.788.65-0.43.060.23(1)去年客戶調整庫存,造成去年營收基期較低。 (2)今年公司品牌力度增強,相對增加客戶拉貨意願。
2023/80.957.0420.567.42-7.062.820.24-
2023/70.89-10.2954.786.47-10.082.980.23(1)去年客戶調整庫存,造成去年營收基期較低。 (2)今年公司品牌力度增強,相對增加客戶拉貨意願。
2023/60.99-10.97-2.75.58-15.693.090.21-
2023/51.1112.21-12.594.6-18.052.990.22-
2023/40.9910.54-2.053.49-19.642.750.24-
2023/30.892.86-20.162.5-24.982.50.25-
2023/20.8718.89-7.861.6-27.432.660.23-
2023/10.73-30.67-42.060.73-42.062.780.22-
2022/121.066.24.8411.95-19.733.270.21-
2022/110.99-18.43-5.5210.89-21.512.910.24-
2022/101.2274.6-9.189.9-22.832.70.26-
2022/90.7-11.34-30.588.68-24.422.060.33-
2022/80.7937.43-23.27.98-23.832.380.28-
2022/70.57-43.61-44.827.2-23.92.860.23-
2022/61.02-20.02-21.316.62-21.323.30.35-
2022/51.2725.7416.025.61-21.323.40.34-
2022/41.01-9.89-13.64.34-28.093.080.37-
2022/31.1218.71-20.973.33-31.583.330.48-
2022/20.94-25.23-14.012.21-35.943.210.49-
2022/11.2625.45-46.21.26-46.23.320.48-
2021/121.01-4.3-53.0614.89-13.433.40.46因市場顯卡短缺、運費高漲及船期延誤所致。
2021/111.05-21.59-40.3713.88-7.783.40.46-
2021/101.3433.46-18.7912.83-3.463.370.46-
2021/91.01-1.91-42.1711.49-1.283.070.61-
2021/81.02-1.25-20.6810.485.893.350.56-
2021/71.04-19.58-25.59.469.883.420.55-
2021/61.2917.92-8.768.4216.723.550.7-
2021/51.09-6.37-25.987.1322.943.680.67-
2021/41.17-17.5716.346.0339.693.690.67-
2021/31.4229.1514.584.8646.774.860.44-
2021/21.1-53.2224.033.4565.975.590.38係因市場需求增加,客戶訂單回溫所致。
2021/12.359.4697.152.3597.156.260.34係因客戶訂單回溫所致。
2020/122.1421.5787.5317.233.965.560.29係因客戶訂單回溫所致。
2020/111.766.7858.3515.0528.725.160.32係因客戶訂單回溫,聖誕節拉貨所致。
2020/101.65-4.954.8313.2925.64.680.35-
2020/91.7434.5242.5311.6429.244.420.32-
2020/81.29-7.2520.299.927.164.10.34-
2020/71.39-1.5254.838.6128.264.290.33新品上市及在家辦公需求量增加所致。
2020/61.41-4.3263.357.2124.143.90.31新品上市及在家辦公需求量增加所致。
2020/51.4847.177.25.817.273.720.32-
2020/41.0-18.82-6.254.3221.173.130.38-
2020/31.2439.8135.033.3132.963.310.32-
2020/20.89-25.6555.22.0831.763.220.33客戶訂單回溫, 致營收增加
2020/11.194.1118.451.1918.453.450.31-
2019/121.142.6530.3212.8421.810.0N/A-
2019/111.11-29.355.2311.6921.040.0N/A係因客戶訂單回溫,聖誕節拉貨所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.812023/10.732022/11.262021/12.352020/11.19
2024/20.812023/20.872022/20.942021/21.12020/20.89
2024/30.792023/30.892022/31.122021/31.422020/31.24
2024/40.972023/40.992022/41.012021/41.172020/41.0
2024/51.122023/51.112022/51.272021/51.092020/51.48
2024/61.012023/60.992022/61.022021/61.292020/61.41
2024/70.912023/70.892022/70.572021/71.042020/71.39
2024/81.082023/80.952022/80.792021/81.022020/81.29
2024/91.092023/91.232022/90.72021/91.012020/91.74
2024/101.12023/101.052022/101.222021/101.342020/101.65
N/AN/A2023/110.852022/110.992021/111.052020/111.76
N/AN/A2023/120.662022/121.062021/121.012020/122.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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