玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.64-15.4141.176.33140.682.07N/A美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/90.7611.9828.195.68161.442.040.06美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/80.6810.82143.754.93211.131.980.06美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/70.61-12.5156.294.25225.431.960.06美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/60.77.16214.083.64240.831.970.07美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/50.655.35189.42.94247.851.870.07美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/40.622.19211.662.29268.991.810.07美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/30.62.8257.711.68295.821.680.07美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/20.5921.36297.521.07321.111.450.08美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2024/10.4828.77353.750.48353.751.320.09美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/120.38-18.67158.383.4793.621.290.08美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/110.461.96281.563.0987.881.510.07美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/100.45-23.19237.352.6372.481.320.08美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/90.59112.93350.812.1756.521.110.14美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統及專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/80.2816.5292.571.5825.880.740.2美國子公司陸續接獲監控系統專案建置工程,致使營收增加。
2023/70.247.2354.951.3117.260.680.22美國子公司陸續接獲專案工程,規劃及安裝客戶監視系統,致使營收增加。
2023/60.22-1.2534.81.0711.230.640.25-
2023/50.2213.4529.380.856.350.590.27-
2023/40.217.297.890.62-0.070.510.31-
2023/30.1714.24-22.180.42-3.410.420.42-
2023/20.1538.5337.290.2514.990.40.45-
2023/10.11-26.66-6.120.11-6.120.370.48-
2022/120.1520.08-12.881.79-32.690.40.25-
2022/110.12-9.84-16.671.64-34.020.390.26-
2022/100.132.63-14.531.52-35.10.410.24-
2022/90.13-9.04-28.761.39-36.570.430.42-
2022/80.14-6.24-36.741.26-37.290.460.39-
2022/70.15-6.71-46.031.11-37.360.490.37-
2022/60.16-5.22-41.60.96-35.710.520.29-
2022/50.17-5.39-36.650.8-34.340.570.26-
2022/40.18-15.4-32.620.62-33.660.510.3-
2022/30.22101.56-5.370.44-31.750.440.36-
2022/20.11-5.28-48.560.22-46.40.390.41-
2022/10.11-31.94-44.180.11-44.180.430.38-
2021/120.1714.86-4.922.667.620.470.32-
2021/110.15-7.53-30.592.498.590.490.31-
2021/100.16-14.45-21.282.3512.520.570.26-
2021/90.18-19.22-20.642.1916.10.70.29-
2021/80.23-20.012.782.0121.250.790.25-
2021/70.280.9421.271.7824.110.840.24-
2021/60.282.829.731.4924.660.830.23-
2021/50.270.6250.141.2123.540.80.24受疫情影響,線上課程營收較去年度增加
2021/40.278.0843.420.9417.450.730.26-
2021/30.2520.4413.350.679.340.670.36-
2021/20.212.78-9.470.417.030.590.41-
2021/10.215.9131.730.231.730.590.41-
2020/120.18-16.15-12.572.4716.20.590.51-
2020/110.214.8612.352.319.20.640.47-
2020/100.2-13.769.182.0919.930.650.46-
2020/90.234.6225.211.8921.20.690.45-
2020/80.22-5.6316.11.6520.660.670.46-
2020/70.237.9936.971.4321.390.630.49-
2020/60.2218.9828.011.218.750.590.51-
2020/50.18-3.88-8.240.9816.880.60.5-
2020/40.19-14.5615.20.824.690.640.47-
2020/30.22-3.8223.480.6127.980.610.41-
2020/20.2349.5767.610.3930.730.590.43(1)2020/1適逢春節期間,故營收反應到2020/2(2)2019/2適逢春節期間,營收較低,與2020/2相比增幅變大
2020/10.15-23.06-1.630.15-1.630.540.46-
2019/120.27.7513.392.13-5.460.0N/A-
2019/110.191.92.181.93-7.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.482023/10.112022/10.112021/10.22020/10.15
2024/20.592023/20.152022/20.112021/20.212020/20.23
2024/30.62023/30.172022/30.222021/30.252020/30.22
2024/40.622023/40.22022/40.182021/40.272020/40.19
2024/50.652023/50.222022/50.172021/50.272020/50.18
2024/60.72023/60.222022/60.162021/60.282020/60.22
2024/70.612023/70.242022/70.152021/70.282020/70.23
2024/80.682023/80.282022/80.142021/80.232020/80.22
2024/90.762023/90.592022/90.132021/90.182020/90.23
2024/100.642023/100.452022/100.132021/100.162020/100.2
N/AN/A2023/110.462022/110.122021/110.152020/110.21
N/AN/A2023/120.382022/120.152021/120.172020/120.18
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 48.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.64-12.3372.97
24Q2 (19)0.7392.1155.32
24Q1 (18)0.380.0-28.3
23Q4 (17)0.382.7-35.59
23Q3 (16)0.37-21.28-47.14
23Q2 (15)0.47-11.32-37.33
23Q1 (14)0.53-10.17-32.91
22Q4 (13)0.59-15.71-32.95
22Q3 (12)0.7-6.67-16.67
22Q2 (11)0.75-5.06-22.68
22Q1 (10)0.79-10.23-31.9
21Q4 (9)0.884.76-21.43
21Q3 (8)0.84-13.4-16.83
21Q2 (7)0.97-16.3814.12
21Q1 (6)1.163.5752.63
20Q4 (5)1.1210.8989.83
20Q3 (4)1.0118.820.0
20Q2 (3)0.8511.840.0
20Q1 (2)0.7628.810.0
19Q4 (1)0.590.00.0

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