玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)25.0633.4475.4913.3213.27187.693.63-25.15-43.016.83-11.76-65.2610.44-43.32-48.470.02100.34-99.65
24Q2 (19)18.7818.64165.6311.763.34500.04.85-15.65-62.327.74-3.25-83.3418.426.1714.77-5.84-61.77-113.49
24Q1 (18)15.83-12.93254.9311.3836.78840.55.7514.77-71.848.00-26.87-89.3217.35-10.2-40.4-3.61-6.8-105.45
23Q4 (17)18.1827.31522.68.3279.7274.775.01-21.35-83.9110.94-44.35-73.2919.32-4.6461.94-3.38-158.48-105.62
23Q3 (16)14.28101.98617.594.63136.22353.926.37-50.51-86.0619.66-57.68-78.020.2626.23-2.55.78-86.65-94.94
23Q2 (15)7.0758.52233.491.9661.9837.0612.87-36.97-70.0546.46-37.98-26.8716.05-44.8640.343.28-34.64-54.47
23Q1 (14)4.4652.74159.31.21-45.5-23.920.42-34.4-61.574.9182.8931.0529.11144.01111.5666.2210.09-31.34
22Q4 (13)2.9246.7367.822.22117.6536.231.13-31.85-40.3140.96-54.16-26.4811.93-42.59-58.9860.15-47.35-23.65
22Q3 (12)1.99-6.13-21.031.02-28.67-59.5245.686.3126.5489.3640.66147.0620.7881.6452.12114.2520.1994.93
22Q2 (11)2.1223.26-40.951.43-10.06-35.2942.97-18.9969.6463.5311.1454.0511.44-16.863168.5795.06-1.4343.55
22Q1 (10)1.72-1.15-54.011.59-2.4528.2353.041.71117.9157.162.6-22.0413.76-52.68463.9396.4422.421.28
21Q4 (9)1.74-30.95-56.171.63-35.32-41.5852.1544.46127.7355.7154.0270.8929.08112.881673.1778.7834.4146.27
21Q3 (8)2.52-29.81-28.812.5214.03223.0836.1042.5240.5236.17-12.29-69.1413.663802.8655.2358.61-11.49-56.29
21Q2 (7)3.59-4.0118.092.2178.23145.5625.334.07-15.3741.24-43.75-59.090.35-85.66-97.0266.22-30.46-44.35
21Q1 (6)3.74-5.792.751.24-55.5627.8424.346.29-2.6873.32124.91-21.872.4448.78-82.0395.2276.79-9.55
20Q4 (5)3.9712.1517.462.79257.69142.6122.90-10.86-15.0632.60-72.19-58.761.64-81.36-82.5553.86-59.84-44.24
20Q3 (4)3.5416.450.00.78-13.330.025.69-14.170.0117.2116.280.08.80-24.980.0134.1012.690.0
20Q2 (3)3.04-16.480.00.90-7.220.029.9319.670.0100.807.420.011.73-13.620.0119.0013.040.0
20Q1 (2)3.647.690.00.97-15.650.025.01-7.230.093.8418.720.013.5844.470.0105.278.980.0
19Q4 (1)3.380.00.01.150.00.026.960.00.079.040.00.09.400.00.096.600.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)38.22295.2422.55200.279.55-74.716.19-66.6715.1620.9910.58-85.66
2022 (9)9.67-21.767.515.6337.7427.7648.57-5.4512.5390.7273.78-0.75
2021 (8)12.36-27.347.1113.2229.5437.7251.37-11.556.579.6874.341.09
2020 (7)17.0111.396.28105.2321.45-10.2958.08-51.255.99-68.0773.54-40.83
2019 (6)15.2724.053.0671.9123.91-19.33119.15-41.9718.76-53.53124.29-36.12
2018 (5)12.3110.81.78-23.6129.64-9.8205.3130.8640.37-1.3194.5830.71
2017 (4)11.1142.82.33-9.6932.86-29.98156.8910.740.9038.97148.86-6.51
2016 (3)7.788.212.580.3946.93-7.53141.72-0.3429.4328.91159.23-6.41
2015 (2)7.19-24.42.574.950.7532.23142.21-4.7122.83-14.62170.135.74
2014 (1)9.51-20.752.45-6.4938.3826.13149.247.3326.74-39.17160.8928.18

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