玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.884.66154.1944.97101.7916.83N/A市場需求增加
2024/95.625.29178.7739.0995.7116.410.85市場需求增加
2024/85.33-2.35116.533.4886.3916.680.84市場需求增加
2024/75.46-7.14149.5728.1481.6116.290.86市場需求增加
2024/65.8818.8121.0322.6970.4614.420.66市場需求增加
2024/54.9537.86117.9716.857.8311.770.81市場需求增加
2024/43.5911.2274.8311.8541.529.331.03市場需求增加
2024/33.2328.7239.168.2630.78.260.99-
2024/22.51-0.7219.125.0325.797.361.11-
2024/12.538.4733.22.5333.26.421.27-
2023/122.3349.2719.2726.18-10.976.20.97-
2023/111.56-32.52-23.3123.85-13.125.891.02-
2023/102.3114.7424.7822.29-12.316.790.89-
2023/92.02-18.18-14.6319.97-15.226.670.76-
2023/82.4612.56-15.2517.96-15.297.30.69-
2023/72.19-17.31-37.9815.5-15.297.110.71-
2023/62.6516.51-15.9713.29-9.976.970.93-
2023/52.2710.57-6.1610.65-8.346.650.97-
2023/42.05-11.49-3.648.38-8.926.481.0-
2023/32.3210.22-12.186.32-10.56.321.1-
2023/22.1111.0111.24.0-9.55.991.16-
2023/11.9-4.64-25.011.9-25.015.921.17-
2022/121.99-2.245.8229.444.645.881.36-
2022/112.039.8-10.0827.454.566.251.28-
2022/101.85-21.53-12.9225.425.957.121.12-
2022/92.36-18.74-8.6323.567.788.80.89-
2022/82.91-17.6312.7921.29.999.590.81-
2022/73.5311.9439.7518.299.559.10.86-
2022/63.1530.2236.8214.774.197.71.11-
2022/52.4213.54-4.7311.62-2.137.181.19-
2022/42.13-19.01-12.329.19-1.536.661.28-
2022/32.6339.0111.097.052.267.051.2-
2022/21.89-25.1313.974.42-2.356.31.34-
2022/12.5334.43-11.82.53-11.86.671.27-
2021/121.88-16.86-2.3828.1316.556.271.17-
2021/112.266.3315.1626.2518.26.971.05-
2021/102.13-17.61-9.6723.9918.487.291.0-
2021/92.580.2419.7821.8622.197.680.85-
2021/82.582.0518.7119.2822.527.40.88-
2021/72.529.8814.8816.6923.097.360.89-
2021/62.3-9.5731.3514.1724.687.270.99-
2021/52.544.4937.6811.8723.467.330.99-
2021/42.432.929.149.3220.06.451.12-
2021/32.3642.218.856.8924.366.890.88-
2021/21.66-42.07-9.364.5327.446.490.93-
2021/12.8746.0466.662.8766.666.80.89光通訊產品銷售成長
2020/121.96-0.0534.7424.17-0.286.280.85-
2020/111.96-16.627.722.21-2.526.480.83-
2020/102.369.1311.0720.25-4.76.680.8-
2020/92.16-0.5414.5517.89-6.456.530.72-
2020/82.17-1.23-3.9515.73-8.756.110.76-
2020/72.226.35-11.2913.55-9.545.780.81-
2020/61.74-5.74-2.6611.35-9.195.810.71-
2020/51.85-17.16-9.669.61-10.286.050.69-
2020/42.2312.59-6.887.76-10.536.040.69-
2020/31.987.939.235.53-11.925.530.67-
2020/21.836.5135.933.55-20.55.030.73-
2020/11.7216.84-44.881.72-44.884.730.78-
2019/121.47-4.27-26.324.26-13.520.0N/A-
2019/111.54-27.45-39.1322.78-12.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.532023/11.92022/12.532021/12.872020/11.72
2024/22.512023/22.112022/21.892021/21.662020/21.83
2024/33.232023/32.322022/32.632021/32.362020/31.98
2024/43.592023/42.052022/42.132021/42.432020/42.23
2024/54.952023/52.272022/52.422021/52.542020/51.85
2024/65.882023/62.652022/63.152021/62.32020/61.74
2024/75.462023/72.192022/73.532021/72.522020/72.2
2024/85.332023/82.462022/82.912021/82.582020/82.17
2024/95.622023/92.022022/92.362021/92.582020/92.16
2024/105.882023/102.312022/101.852021/102.132020/102.36
N/AN/A2023/111.562022/112.032021/112.262020/111.96
N/AN/A2023/122.332022/121.992021/121.882020/121.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.06%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.080.0-11.11
24Q2 (19)0.080.0-11.11
24Q1 (18)0.08-27.27-27.27
23Q4 (17)0.1122.22-15.38
23Q3 (16)0.090.0-47.06
23Q2 (15)0.09-18.18-57.14
23Q1 (14)0.11-15.38-50.0
22Q4 (13)0.13-23.53-53.57
22Q3 (12)0.17-19.0570.0
22Q2 (11)0.21-4.55110.0
22Q1 (10)0.22-21.43120.0
21Q4 (9)0.28180.0180.0
21Q3 (8)0.10.0-33.33
21Q2 (7)0.10.00
21Q1 (6)0.10.00
20Q4 (5)0.1-33.330
20Q3 (4)0.1500.0

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