玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.8914.88-60.9420.0513.296.53N/A本月營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期減少所致。
2024/101.64-45.2148.3118.1641.196.05N/A-
2024/93.0114.0133.0316.5240.525.771.34本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2024/81.42.45-4.4413.5229.145.541.4-
2024/71.37-50.6244.9212.1234.625.841.33-
2024/62.7762.7943.0210.7533.416.421.17-
2024/51.7-12.5520.527.9830.375.141.46-
2024/41.9530.1641.246.2833.334.451.69-
2024/31.548.9514.934.3330.054.331.73-
2024/21.0-45.13-4.12.8339.757.560.99-
2024/11.83-61.2986.561.8386.5611.390.66本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2023/124.73-2.2-18.2522.439.4810.670.55-
2023/114.83336.33190.717.720.47.230.82本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2023/101.11-13.92-20.7112.86-1.323.861.53-
2023/91.29-12.2420.4911.751.03.72.37-
2023/81.4755.39-14.2910.47-0.964.352.02-
2023/70.94-51.26-12.849.01.614.292.04-
2023/61.9437.17-15.238.063.634.731.54-
2023/51.412.4713.16.1211.484.091.78-
2023/41.385.9269.554.7111.013.731.96本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2023/31.324.2717.523.33-2.873.332.14-
2023/21.056.73-8.772.03-12.67.810.91-
2023/10.98-83.04-16.340.98-16.348.430.85-
2022/125.78247.843.420.489.88.840.73-
2022/111.6618.99-13.9714.70.534.131.57-
2022/101.430.814.6713.032.744.181.55-
2022/91.07-37.58-31.011.642.513.862.37-
2022/81.7158.0312.7110.577.815.081.8-
2022/71.08-52.651.068.866.914.621.98本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2022/62.2983.0334.347.772.724.351.81-
2022/51.2553.62-2.375.49-6.443.172.48-
2022/40.81-26.57-20.174.24-7.573.072.57-
2022/31.11-3.548.53.43-3.973.432.21-
2022/21.15-2.1228.082.32-8.976.351.19-
2022/11.17-70.92-29.061.17-29.067.141.06-
2021/124.03108.6251.1318.650.317.30.87本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2021/111.9344.8-55.7914.62-8.194.821.31本月營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期減少所致。
2021/101.34-13.774.712.699.824.41.44-
2021/91.551.9572.0911.3510.463.782.04本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2021/81.52111.858.069.84.543.941.96本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2021/70.72-57.84-28.678.28-1.563.72.09-
2021/61.732.9933.257.572.114.01.67-
2021/51.2825.62-12.325.87-4.363.322.01-
2021/41.02-0.2-14.24.59-1.882.932.28-
2021/31.0213.86-43.463.572.33.571.68-
2021/20.9-45.7917.822.5551.365.221.15本年累計營收較去年同期累計增加50%以上,係因本年累計認列營收的專案較去年同期累計增加所致。
2021/11.65-38.0678.971.6578.978.70.69本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2020/122.67-38.98-14.3718.59-5.148.320.65-
2020/114.37243.03217.7915.93-3.396.550.82本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期增加所致。
2020/101.2841.713.2211.55-23.543.141.72-
2020/90.9-6.35-35.4410.28-25.932.871.77-
2020/80.96-4.42-43.359.38-24.863.241.56-
2020/71.01-21.24-18.998.42-21.963.741.36-
2020/61.28-12.49-21.667.41-22.343.920.39-
2020/51.4622.92-33.546.13-22.484.450.35-
2020/41.19-34.23-23.484.68-18.243.750.41-
2020/31.8137.3126.873.49-16.283.490.64-
2020/20.76-17.65-53.951.68-38.654.80.47本月營收較去年同期減少50%以上,係因本月認列營收的專案較去年同期減少所致。
2020/10.92-70.36-15.550.92-15.550.0N/A-
2019/123.12126.44-18.119.613.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.832023/10.982022/11.172021/11.652020/10.92
2024/21.02023/21.052022/21.152021/20.92020/20.76
2024/31.52023/31.32022/31.112021/31.022020/31.8
2024/41.952023/41.382022/40.812021/41.022020/41.19
2024/51.72023/51.412022/51.252021/51.282020/51.46
2024/62.772023/61.942022/62.292021/61.72020/61.28
2024/71.372023/70.942022/71.082021/70.722020/71.01
2024/81.42023/81.472022/81.712021/81.522020/80.96
2024/93.02023/91.292022/91.072021/91.552020/90.9
2024/101.642023/101.112022/101.42021/101.342020/101.28
2024/111.892023/114.832022/111.662021/111.932020/114.37
N/AN/A2023/124.732022/125.782021/124.032020/122.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 89.01%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.5361.792.95
24Q2 (19)2.8-6.04-22.87
24Q1 (18)2.983.11-26.42
23Q4 (17)2.89-34.32-32.16
23Q3 (16)4.421.21-10.2
23Q2 (15)3.63-10.37-9.48
23Q1 (14)4.05-4.93-18.18
22Q4 (13)4.26-13.060.24
22Q3 (12)4.922.1961.72
22Q2 (11)4.01-18.9933.22
22Q1 (10)4.9516.4722.83
21Q4 (9)4.2540.26-0.93
21Q3 (8)3.030.66-55.04
21Q2 (7)3.01-25.3141.31
21Q1 (6)4.03-6.0686.57
20Q4 (5)4.29-36.3558.3
20Q3 (4)6.74216.430.0
20Q2 (3)2.13-1.390.0
20Q1 (2)2.16-20.30.0
19Q4 (1)2.710.00.0

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