玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.18-28.62.5637.16-0.8611.8N/A-
2024/104.456.7216.6333.99-1.1713.74N/A-
2024/94.17-18.442.9329.53-3.412.680.88-
2024/85.1150.6431.5225.36-4.3712.250.92-
2024/73.4-9.12-23.4320.25-10.539.751.15-
2024/63.7442.830.4916.85-7.399.41.0-
2024/52.62-14.15-36.0913.12-9.428.671.09-
2024/43.051.33-3.2210.51.088.431.12-
2024/33.0126.36.757.452.967.451.22-
2024/22.3815.12-0.64.450.559.121.0-
2024/12.07-55.71.912.071.919.840.93-
2023/124.6750.6568.6442.16-17.2611.580.73因市場需求相對增加所致
2023/113.1-18.8125.637.49-22.210.970.78-
2023/103.82-5.827.734.39-24.7811.760.72-
2023/94.054.21.4330.57-28.4512.380.73-
2023/83.89-12.31.7226.52-31.5312.040.75-
2023/74.4319.289.3922.63-35.1712.240.74-
2023/63.72-9.17-34.718.2-41.0210.961.08-
2023/54.0929.99-17.2214.48-42.4510.061.18-
2023/43.1511.79-33.9610.39-48.628.361.42-
2023/32.8217.59-44.427.24-53.157.241.95主要係客戶需求相對趨緩所致
2023/22.418.05-50.264.42-57.417.191.97主要係客戶需求趨緩所致
2023/12.03-26.71-63.582.03-63.587.261.95主要係終端需求減少所致
2022/122.7712.21-53.4350.96-23.028.221.86主要係終端需求減少所致
2022/112.47-17.45-55.8148.19-20.029.451.62主要係因需求減少所致
2022/102.99-25.18-48.9145.72-16.3610.811.41-
2022/94.04.5-31.6242.73-12.4611.871.41-
2022/83.82-5.69-43.8238.74-9.8613.571.23-
2022/74.05-28.8-46.3634.92-3.4714.691.14-
2022/65.6915.14-5.0830.867.8515.411.38-
2022/54.943.7-4.0325.1711.2814.781.44-
2022/44.77-5.9-8.020.2215.814.651.45-
2022/35.075.222.7615.4625.8615.461.13-
2022/24.82-13.5735.3110.3941.3616.331.07-
2022/15.57-6.2747.045.5747.0417.11.02-
2021/125.946.4743.966.286.3917.380.98市場需求強勁故營收增加
2021/115.58-4.5673.9260.2591.9817.280.98市場需求強勁故營收增加
2021/105.850.12110.2554.6794.0418.50.92市場需求強勁故營收增加
2021/95.84-14.1489.848.8292.2620.210.67市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年9月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為3,273,091仟元。
2021/86.81-9.94127.1742.9892.620.360.66市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年8月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為2,797,051仟元。
2021/77.5625.97241.7436.1787.2418.710.72市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年7月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為2,373,304仟元。
2021/66.016.4388.3428.6167.2716.330.6市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年6月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為2,036,627仟元。
2021/55.15-0.59136.922.6162.4515.270.64市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年5月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為1,595,068仟元。
2021/45.185.1190.8917.4648.6613.670.71市場需求強勁故營收增加,另去年同期之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年4月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為1,266,300仟元。
2021/34.9338.5529.0812.2835.9712.280.59去年同期申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年3月累計合併營收(含停業單位)為937,976仟元
2021/23.56-6.0745.717.3541.0211.480.63去年同期申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收
2021/13.79-8.2736.873.7936.8711.130.65去年同期申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收
2020/124.1328.6931.3435.522.7110.120.62以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年12月及108年12月累計合併營收(含停業單位)分別為4,674,119仟元及3,460,665仟元
2020/113.2115.36-12.4831.38-0.1410.750.58以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年11月及108年11月累計合併營收(含停業單位)分別為4,260,996仟元及3,169,176仟元
2020/102.78-41.54-25.9828.171.4811.780.53以上申報之合併營收已排除停業單位營收,109年10月及108年10月累計合併營收(含停業單位)分別為3,752,342仟元及2,814,706仟元
2020/94.7612.3447.3732.7334.1612.360.5-
2020/84.2425.8629.2427.9732.1512.020.52-
2020/73.37-23.757.7523.7332.6811.070.56-
2020/64.4234.332.5120.3737.9510.990.87-
2020/53.290.1325.5915.9539.5411.020.87-
2020/43.28-26.1553.512.6643.6910.160.94108年因客戶庫存過高以致影響出貨力道
2020/34.4582.73111.529.3840.549.381.03108年因客戶庫存過高以致影響出貨力道
2020/22.43-2.6736.824.937.917.851.23-
2020/12.5-14.23-10.492.5-10.490.0N/A-
2019/122.91-17.76-31.2234.61-26.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.072023/12.032022/15.572021/13.792020/12.5
2024/22.382023/22.42022/24.822021/23.562020/22.43
2024/33.012023/32.822022/35.072021/34.932020/34.45
2024/43.052023/43.152022/44.772021/45.182020/43.28
2024/52.622023/54.092022/54.942021/55.152020/53.29
2024/63.742023/63.722022/65.692021/66.02020/64.42
2024/73.42023/74.432022/74.052021/77.562020/73.37
2024/85.112023/83.892022/83.822021/86.812020/84.24
2024/94.172023/94.052022/94.02021/95.842020/94.76
2024/104.452023/103.822022/102.992021/105.852020/102.78
2024/113.182023/113.12022/112.472021/115.582020/113.21
N/AN/A2023/124.672022/122.772021/125.942020/124.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 26.01%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.11-49.161407.14
24Q2 (19)4.15446.052666.67
24Q1 (18)0.7610.14280.0
23Q4 (17)0.69392.86200.0
23Q3 (16)0.14-6.67-87.61
23Q2 (15)0.15-25.0-92.99
23Q1 (14)0.2-13.04-81.31
22Q4 (13)0.23-79.65-86.78
22Q3 (12)1.13-47.2-56.37
22Q2 (11)2.14100.0-10.08
22Q1 (10)1.07-38.51-7.76
21Q4 (9)1.74-32.820
21Q3 (8)2.598.824216.67
21Q2 (7)2.38105.170
21Q1 (6)1.160792.31

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