玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.89-4.0-5.8510.54-5.032.92N/A-
2024/100.93-16.06-7.59.65-4.963.16N/A-
2024/91.1-2.63.418.73-4.683.320.64-
2024/81.134.86-3.427.62-5.753.230.66-
2024/71.086.35-3.076.49-6.142.940.73-
2024/61.0220.0-10.285.41-6.732.830.82-
2024/50.85-12.13-9.374.39-5.872.890.8-
2024/40.96-11.1222.813.54-5.02.650.88-
2024/31.0879.9210.792.58-12.42.580.81-
2024/20.6-32.61-33.771.5-23.942.360.88-
2024/10.893.16-15.490.89-15.492.710.77-
2023/120.87-8.2329.8411.974.22.810.68-
2023/110.94-5.694.1511.12.623.010.64-
2023/101.0-6.153.8210.162.483.240.59-
2023/91.07-9.0418.679.152.343.360.58-
2023/81.175.2416.698.090.513.420.57-
2023/71.12-1.55-3.966.91-1.793.180.62-
2023/61.1321.22-15.745.8-1.362.850.7-
2023/50.9319.07-27.784.672.892.70.74-
2023/40.78-19.81306.643.7315.142.670.74去年同期子公司昆山興能受昆山實施靜默管理影響以致營收減少,故比較基期低,4月營收比例增加。
2023/30.987.54-3.62.95-3.312.950.8-
2023/20.91-14.0129.781.97-3.162.640.9-
2023/11.0658.51-20.511.06-20.512.630.9-
2022/120.67-26.39-50.7511.48-32.082.541.21因終端客戶消費性需求下滑所致
2022/110.91-5.99-17.0310.82-30.452.771.11-
2022/100.967.27-10.949.91-31.462.871.07-
2022/90.9-10.56-35.628.94-33.123.071.21-
2022/81.01-13.38-28.438.05-32.833.511.05-
2022/71.16-13.63-22.927.04-33.423.80.97-
2022/61.343.9116.185.88-35.162.831.4-
2022/51.29570.49-10.314.53-42.672.51.58-
2022/40.19-80.99-88.13.24-49.891.912.07子公司昆山興能受昆山實施靜默管理影響,以致工廠停工,營收衰退。
2022/31.0244.78-46.983.05-37.13.051.29-
2022/20.7-47.33-28.322.03-30.643.391.16-
2022/11.33-1.78-31.81.33-31.83.781.04-
2021/121.3624.0-26.316.91-5.673.530.92-
2021/111.090.9-44.4615.55-3.313.570.91-
2021/101.08-22.45-43.814.462.423.890.84-
2021/91.4-0.58-30.5113.389.734.310.84-
2021/81.41-6.71-27.1211.9817.674.070.89-
2021/71.5130.19-8.9710.5728.144.110.88-
2021/61.16-19.78-23.739.0737.464.220.96-
2021/51.44-11.083.37.9155.744.980.81主要係去年基期較低
2021/41.62-15.282.936.4775.624.520.89主要係去年基期較低
2021/31.9295.76151.744.85130.04.850.72因去年基期較低,主要客戶需求增加,帶動出貨成長。
2021/20.98-49.89183.182.93117.714.770.73因去年基期較低,主要客戶需求持續增加,帶動出貨明顯成長。
2021/11.956.1395.111.9595.115.760.6主要客戶應用於藍芽耳機和遠距會議用品的需求增加,帶動電池的出貨明顯成長
2020/121.84-6.5629.1617.93-10.675.740.51-
2020/111.972.1125.2416.09-13.715.910.49-
2020/101.93-4.111.6714.12-17.35.870.49-
2020/92.014.2624.2612.19-20.555.590.48-
2020/81.9316.525.7810.18-25.845.10.53-
2020/71.659.07-14.268.25-30.684.570.59-
2020/61.528.65-5.996.6-33.864.490.63-
2020/51.4-11.4-31.225.08-39.243.730.76-
2020/41.58107.18-19.73.68-41.812.681.06-
2020/30.76120.21-47.522.11-51.752.111.43主因於受到大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,節後延遲開工與產能提速不如預期,致使第一季營收較去年同期減少
2020/20.35-65.47-59.191.35-53.852.771.09受大陸新冠肺炎疫情影響,本公司之大陸子公司配合當地政府防疫要求自2/17甫復工,致使營收較去年同期減少。
2020/11.0-29.73-51.671.0-51.670.0N/A1月適逢春節年假及中國大陸廠區受到新型冠狀肺炎疫情延燒推遲復工等影響,致營收較去年同期減少。
2019/121.42-9.395.6120.0715.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.892023/11.062022/11.332021/11.952020/11.0
2024/20.62023/20.912022/20.72021/20.982020/20.35
2024/31.082023/30.982022/31.022021/31.922020/30.76
2024/40.962023/40.782022/40.192021/41.622020/41.58
2024/50.852023/50.932022/51.292021/51.442020/51.4
2024/61.022023/61.132022/61.342021/61.162020/61.52
2024/71.082023/71.122022/71.162021/71.512020/71.65
2024/81.132023/81.172022/81.012021/81.412020/81.93
2024/91.12023/91.072022/90.92021/91.42020/92.01
2024/100.932023/101.02022/100.962021/101.082020/101.93
2024/110.892023/110.942022/110.912021/111.092020/111.97
N/AN/A2023/120.872022/120.672021/121.362020/121.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.010.00
23Q2 (15)0.010.00
23Q1 (14)0.010.00
22Q4 (13)0.0100

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