玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.84-7.1732.348.741.912.65N/A-
2024/90.910.018.957.9-0.512.861.42-
2024/80.91-13.744.667.0-1.612.761.47-
2024/71.0530.8616.216.09-2.482.611.55-
2024/60.85.47-6.425.04-5.642.61.65-
2024/50.76-26.3923.584.24-5.492.81.53-
2024/41.032.5420.163.48-10.112.571.66-
2024/31.0188.94-15.172.45-18.752.451.68-
2024/20.53-41.27-32.71.44-21.082.052.0-
2024/10.9147.92-12.170.91-12.172.291.8-
2023/120.61-20.08-59.959.96-23.562.021.99去年同期因(1)機上盒標案出貨;(2)配合晶圓廠產能,出貨低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2023/110.7720.94-57.389.35-18.712.231.8去年同期因(1)機上盒標案出貨;(2)配合晶圓廠產能,出貨低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2023/100.63-23.58-52.028.58-11.532.331.72去年同期因配合晶圓廠產能,出貨低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2023/90.83-3.91-7.467.94-5.132.61.59-
2023/80.86-4.23-5.757.11-4.852.621.57-
2023/70.95.37-2.486.25-4.722.381.73-
2023/60.8639.31.015.35-5.092.331.54-
2023/50.62-28.43-50.034.49-6.182.661.35由於整體經濟環境因素,影響機上盒標案的出貨時程及衛星產品的需求
2023/40.86-27.61-23.353.879.012.841.26-
2023/31.1949.914.723.0123.943.011.39-
2023/20.79-23.3611.191.8330.783.361.25-
2023/11.03-32.5451.21.0351.24.370.96(1)機上盒標案出貨;(2)配合晶圓廠產能,出貨較低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2022/121.53-14.9471.3713.0326.364.661.02(1)機上盒標案出貨;(2)配合晶圓廠產能,出貨較低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2022/111.836.1578.6311.522.094.021.18(1)機上盒標案出貨;(2)配合晶圓廠產能,出貨較低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2022/101.3247.3877.019.715.313.141.51配合晶圓廠產能,出貨較低毛利率的ASIC Device。
2022/90.9-2.1428.348.379.292.741.78-
2022/80.92-0.9128.867.487.372.691.82-
2022/70.939.1613.346.564.933.011.63-
2022/60.85-31.09-2.115.633.663.21.38-
2022/51.239.7623.54.784.763.391.3-
2022/41.128.3416.483.55-0.472.871.54-
2022/31.0445.29-1.372.43-6.732.431.48-
2022/20.714.2114.551.4-10.342.291.57-
2022/10.68-23.55-26.890.68-26.892.591.39-
2021/120.89-11.34-16.1910.31-2.972.651.01-
2021/111.0134.91-4.489.42-1.52.461.1-
2021/100.756.86-30.478.41-1.132.161.25-
2021/90.7-1.74-43.417.663.112.231.02-
2021/80.71-12.84-45.566.9612.42.40.95-
2021/70.82-5.73-12.186.2527.922.680.85-
2021/60.87-13.0518.315.4337.352.830.53-
2021/51.03.52108.334.5741.683.010.5本期營收較去年同期增加係因本期營收動能恢復正常水準,且去年同期營收受COVID-19疫情影響所致。
2021/40.96-8.26120.13.5730.062.630.57本期營收較去年同期增加係因本期營收動能恢復正常水準,且去年同期營收受COVID-19疫情影響所致。
2021/31.0568.774.142.6112.992.610.49-
2021/20.62-33.52.371.5619.852.620.49-
2021/10.94-12.3535.20.9435.23.060.42-
2020/121.071.0518.5310.63-5.83.20.41-
2020/111.06-1.7922.349.56-7.913.370.39-
2020/101.08-13.0227.768.51-10.653.620.36-
2020/91.24-5.4631.87.43-14.383.470.41-
2020/81.3140.5812.536.19-19.972.970.48-
2020/70.9327.03.264.89-25.722.140.67-
2020/60.7353.1-19.593.96-30.321.651.13-
2020/50.489.37-47.243.22-32.371.920.97-
2020/40.44-56.59-57.412.74-28.882.050.91由於新冠肺炎疫情在4月擴散至全球,各國採取鎖國及停工政策重創全球經濟,以致影響消費性電子產品之需求。
2020/31.0165.9-3.52.31-18.522.310.62-
2020/20.61-12.17-14.181.3-27.312.20.65-
2020/10.69-23.16-35.910.69-35.912.460.59-
2019/120.94.3-15.7711.280.890.0N/A-
2019/110.862.55-19.7710.382.650.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.912023/11.032022/10.682021/10.942020/10.69
2024/20.532023/20.792022/20.712021/20.622020/20.61
2024/31.012023/31.192022/31.042021/31.052020/31.01
2024/41.032023/40.862022/41.122021/40.962020/40.44
2024/50.762023/50.622022/51.232021/51.02020/50.48
2024/60.82023/60.862022/60.852021/60.872020/60.73
2024/71.052023/70.92022/70.932021/70.822020/70.93
2024/80.912023/80.862022/80.922021/80.712020/81.31
2024/90.912023/90.832022/90.92021/90.72020/91.24
2024/100.842023/100.632022/101.322021/100.752020/101.08
N/AN/A2023/110.772022/111.82021/111.012020/111.06
N/AN/A2023/120.612022/121.532021/120.892020/121.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.27%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1-23.0811.11
24Q2 (19)0.13-7.14-48.0
24Q1 (18)0.1475.0-74.55
23Q4 (17)0.08-11.11-94.52
23Q3 (16)0.09-64.0-96.48
23Q2 (15)0.25-54.55-87.62
23Q1 (14)0.55-62.33-53.39
22Q4 (13)1.46-42.971522.22
22Q3 (12)2.5626.734166.67
22Q2 (11)2.0271.193940.0
22Q1 (10)1.181211.111866.67
21Q4 (9)0.0950.050.0
21Q3 (8)0.0620.0-60.0
21Q2 (7)0.05-16.6725.0
21Q1 (6)0.060.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.06-60.050.0
20Q3 (4)0.15275.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.04-33.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.0650.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.040.00.0

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