玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.05-2.7-4.9420.528.046.5N/A-
2024/92.11-10.159.2718.479.76.791.7-
2024/82.350.4711.2216.369.766.761.71-
2024/72.3312.116.9814.029.526.621.75-
2024/62.08-5.4711.0111.688.146.321.77-
2024/52.28.532.359.67.546.351.75-
2024/42.03-4.277.247.49.185.262.12-
2024/32.1291.46-2.225.379.945.371.95-
2024/21.11-48.18-35.853.2519.675.591.87-
2024/12.14-8.99117.042.14117.046.891.52去年過年較早,今年1月份受農曆春節之淡季影響較小,故今年較去年度大幅成長。
2023/122.35-2.360.1623.75-2.386.911.44-
2023/112.4111.52-4.7121.4-2.666.491.53-
2023/102.1611.84-5.7918.99-2.396.21.6-
2023/91.93-8.54-8.2516.84-1.946.031.8-
2023/82.115.67-7.8914.91-1.065.981.82-
2023/72.06.37-4.1412.80.166.021.8-
2023/61.88-12.84-12.2710.81.05.921.94-
2023/52.1513.718.88.934.326.221.85-
2023/41.89-12.72-0.736.772.975.791.99-
2023/32.1725.59-0.864.884.494.882.47-
2023/21.7375.3347.792.719.25.062.38-
2023/10.98-58.0-25.080.98-25.085.862.06-
2022/122.35-7.11-4.6124.336.837.161.58-
2022/112.5210.255.8521.998.216.921.63-
2022/102.298.9111.2519.468.536.681.69-
2022/92.1-8.185.8117.178.176.471.86-
2022/82.299.9616.0115.078.516.511.85-
2022/72.08-2.646.1212.787.276.21.95-
2022/62.148.115.1510.77.56.021.87-
2022/51.983.7416.158.565.746.071.85-
2022/41.91-12.83-4.946.582.975.262.14-
2022/32.1987.233.964.676.594.672.41-
2022/21.17-11.1297.542.489.034.942.28今年過年較早,2月份受農曆春節之淡季影響較小,故今年較去年度大幅成長。
2022/11.31-46.52-22.011.31-22.016.161.83-
2021/122.463.087.8922.779.056.91.62-
2021/112.3915.885.320.329.26.431.74-
2021/102.063.59-0.1417.939.746.021.85-
2021/91.990.66-3.4715.8711.165.921.93-
2021/81.970.590.413.8913.635.791.97-
2021/71.965.64-0.3311.9116.175.522.07-
2021/61.869.040.09.9520.095.571.99-
2021/51.7-15.1-1.448.0925.95.811.91-
2021/42.01-4.6622.326.3935.964.72.36-
2021/32.1255.7744.854.3843.274.382.59-
2021/20.59-64.91-19.722.2841.844.562.49-
2021/11.69-26.0194.051.6994.056.231.82去年同期適逢農曆春節連假,上班日數較少,本期為正常上班日數故營收較去年同期增加。
2020/122.280.61-20.7220.88-18.916.611.75-
2020/112.279.88-10.118.6-18.686.381.82-
2020/102.060.130.7416.34-19.746.091.9-
2020/92.064.71-11.4914.28-22.035.992.13-
2020/81.97-0.14-22.6212.22-23.565.792.21-
2020/71.976.0-14.8210.25-23.745.552.3-
2020/61.867.46-2.238.28-25.595.232.56-
2020/51.735.37-19.666.43-30.44.822.78-
2020/41.6412.88-24.094.7-33.663.833.5-
2020/31.4597.16-34.393.06-37.863.064.58-
2020/20.74-15.18-19.561.61-40.74.483.13-
2020/10.87-69.77-51.510.87-51.516.262.24因本月適逢農曆春節連假,上班日數較少,故本月營收較去年同期及上月減少。
2019/122.8714.0911.5925.751.10.0N/A-
2019/112.5223.145.1422.88-0.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.142023/10.982022/11.312021/11.692020/10.87
2024/21.112023/21.732022/21.172021/20.592020/20.74
2024/32.122023/32.172022/32.192021/32.12020/31.45
2024/42.032023/41.892022/41.912021/42.012020/41.64
2024/52.22023/52.152022/51.982021/51.72020/51.73
2024/62.082023/61.882022/62.142021/61.862020/61.86
2024/72.332023/72.02022/72.082021/71.962020/71.97
2024/82.352023/82.112022/82.292021/81.972020/81.97
2024/92.112023/91.932022/92.12021/91.992020/92.06
2024/102.052023/102.162022/102.292021/102.062020/102.06
N/AN/A2023/112.412022/112.522021/112.392020/112.27
N/AN/A2023/122.352022/122.352021/122.462020/122.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.73%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.80.0-2.44
24Q2 (19)0.815.9437.93
24Q1 (18)0.697.8125.45
23Q4 (17)0.64-21.9510.34
23Q3 (16)0.8241.38105.0
23Q2 (15)0.585.4548.72
23Q1 (14)0.55-5.1722.22
22Q4 (13)0.5845.0-21.62
22Q3 (12)0.42.56-20.0
22Q2 (11)0.39-13.33-9.3
22Q1 (10)0.45-39.1928.57
21Q4 (9)0.7448.072.09
21Q3 (8)0.516.2831.58
21Q2 (7)0.4322.8616.22
21Q1 (6)0.35-18.62.94
20Q4 (5)0.4313.1613.16
20Q3 (4)0.382.70.0
20Q2 (3)0.378.820.0
20Q1 (2)0.34-10.530.0
19Q4 (1)0.380.00.0

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